DFS | Sports Betting | Prediction Markets | The Risk Takers Podcast

Joined November 2018
713 Photos and videos
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I have started to co-host a weekly podcast talking about all things betting and DFS. We recorded our first episode yesterday. You can find it at the link below. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Sports Projections retweeted
Huge week as @Sports__Proj makes a triumphant return to the pod while some great news items pop off. Please leave any questions you have below - main topic will be dead originating edges we will go over in some detail
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How it felt listening to a great episode of TRTP
New episode of TRTP where @peanut_bettor fills in for @Sports__Proj and realizes how hard it is to keep a podcast under 2 hours. Some people think we try to make them this long on purpose! Links below
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For those asking, yes, this article is about our little family pub on the Upper East Side. Full interview out on local news tomorrow. Come out and enjoy a pint with us. Go Knicks!
Kalshi's first example of a small business using it as hedging tool is The Jeffrey, an NYC bar that's promising free drinks to all customers if New York Knicks wins NBA Finals Game 1 on Wednesday
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When will you all wake up?
May 26
Love Matt but…DK’s own hold on parlays runs like 25-40%. They limit or ban anyone who shows skill (which literally is the best part of prediction markets) then funnel casuals into boosted props engineered to lose. Wall Street market makers are tough ofc but at least they don’t kick you off the platform for winning.
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Was a great morning spending time with likeminded people passionate about the intersection of beef and beta hedging.
You can’t serve an industry without listening to the people on its front lines. Speaking with @FLCattlemen who have relied on our markets for decades only reinforced how important these markets are in helping hardworking Americans manage risk, plan ahead, and keep their operations running.
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Sports Projections retweeted
New show up. I loved talking to @nigeleccles, @BigBuckHunterrr, and @Sports__Proj about all things Prediction Markets. Learned a ton about the product that's reshaping sports betting. Free here or on ETR pod feed: youtu.be/_yQWX6BNRqM?si=kZmg…
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Sports Projections retweeted
Let's freaking go - hope to see all of the people who last until the Bayesian updates show up
May 18
See Risk Takers Podcast with @goldenpants013 and @Sports__Proj live at @bet_bash!
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I am excited to talk all things prediction markets with some titans of the industry
Recording a show on Prediction Markets later this week. Guests will be @nigeleccles (FanDuel founder), @BigBuckHunterrr (NoVig VP of Trading), @Sports__Proj (DFS player turned big winner on PMs). If you have any questions for the show, get them in by replying to this. Ty in advance.
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Good article - most people's idea of math breaks when the distribution is bounded (e.g. 0 <= P <= 1).
Vig removal on large favorites is back in the discourse, so I'm reposting the article I wrote on it before. It's not as simple as everyone's making it out to be, and @FezzikSports is at least somewhat correct. plusevanalytics.wordpress.co…
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@goldenpants013 we should talk 40-50 minutes about how this applicable to tick sizes I think the people are dying to hear that.
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Fezzik this week
And DK will come back! Great NEWS! 78% of limited bettors are NOT big winners! We don't limit big winners...... just guys gaming the system, who hurt everyone.....
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Sports Projections retweeted
New Episode out where @Sports__Proj and I interview top Kalshi Trader @alter_clay Clay has made over $1.2M in 2026 on Kalshi alone w/ 100% manual trading. Great listen - check out the episode links below ⬇️
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Kalshi on Monday: Wake up cupcake of course only a small percentage of people win money - this is a financial market Kalshi on Tuesday: Everyone has an edge
May 5
There’s markets on Kalshi for everyone
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I am begging PMs to stop giving their opposition the easiest talking points for just one single day.
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Sports Projections retweeted
This week @Sports__Proj and I are recording a podcast with one of the most profitable ( $1.6M) public traders on Kalshi - @alter_clay Drop some Qs in the comments for this PM crusher!
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Let the people trade
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Sports Projections retweeted
New Episode Dropped @Sports__Proj and I discuss the thing everyone else is too afraid to discuss...Are deterministic models dead in 2026? We also catch up on a crazy few weeks of news and hit some great listener Qs. Links below ⬇️
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Finally found someone who hates sharp takers marginally more than @goldenpants013
I found someone that hates pro gamblers more than McKay Coppins
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Sports Projections retweeted
Hey all - me and @Sports__Proj are looking for questions for this weeks episode. Feels like a crazy amount of news these last two weeks, looking forward to this one.
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