DFS | Sports Betting | Prediction Markets | The Risk Takers Podcast
Joined November 2018
- Tweets 2,301
- Following 287
- Followers 4,087
- Likes 3,414
713 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
7 Feb 2025
I have started to co-host a weekly podcast talking about all things betting and DFS. We recorded our first episode yesterday. You can find it at the link below.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Jun 8
Huge week as @Sports__Proj makes a triumphant return to the pod while some great news items pop off. Please leave any questions you have below - main topic will be dead originating edges we will go over in some detail
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How it felt listening to a great episode of TRTP
Jun 4
New episode of TRTP where @peanut_bettor fills in for @Sports__Proj and realizes how hard it is to keep a podcast under 2 hours. Some people think we try to make them this long on purpose! Links below
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For those asking, yes, this article is about our little family pub on the Upper East Side. Full interview out on local news tomorrow. Come out and enjoy a pint with us. Go Knicks!
Jun 1
Kalshi's first example of a small business using it as hedging tool is The Jeffrey, an NYC bar that's promising free drinks to all customers if New York Knicks wins NBA Finals Game 1 on Wednesday
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May 26
When will you all wake up?
May 26
Love Matt but…DK’s own hold on parlays runs like 25-40%. They limit or ban anyone who shows skill (which literally is the best part of prediction markets) then funnel casuals into boosted props engineered to lose. Wall Street market makers are tough ofc but at least they don’t kick you off the platform for winning.
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May 23
Was a great morning spending time with likeminded people passionate about the intersection of beef and beta hedging.
May 22
You can’t serve an industry without listening to the people on its front lines. Speaking with @FLCattlemen who have relied on our markets for decades only reinforced how important these markets are in helping hardworking Americans manage risk, plan ahead, and keep their operations running.
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May 21
New show up. I loved talking to @nigeleccles, @BigBuckHunterrr, and @Sports__Proj about all things Prediction Markets.
Learned a ton about the product that's reshaping sports betting. Free here or on ETR pod feed: youtu.be/_yQWX6BNRqM?si=kZmg…
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May 18
Let's freaking go - hope to see all of the people who last until the Bayesian updates show up
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May 12
I am excited to talk all things prediction markets with some titans of the industry
May 12
Recording a show on Prediction Markets later this week.
Guests will be @nigeleccles (FanDuel founder), @BigBuckHunterrr (NoVig VP of Trading), @Sports__Proj (DFS player turned big winner on PMs).
If you have any questions for the show, get them in by replying to this. Ty in advance.
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May 10
Good article - most people's idea of math breaks when the distribution is bounded (e.g. 0 <= P <= 1).
Vig removal on large favorites is back in the discourse, so I'm reposting the article I wrote on it before.
It's not as simple as everyone's making it out to be, and @FezzikSports is at least somewhat correct.
plusevanalytics.wordpress.co…
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May 10
@goldenpants013 we should talk 40-50 minutes about how this applicable to tick sizes I think the people are dying to hear that.
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May 10
Fezzik this week
May 9
And DK will come back!
Great NEWS!
78% of limited bettors are NOT big winners!
We don't limit big winners...... just guys gaming the system, who hurt everyone.....
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May 6
New Episode out where @Sports__Proj and I interview top Kalshi Trader @alter_clay
Clay has made over $1.2M in 2026 on Kalshi alone w/ 100% manual trading. Great listen - check out the episode links below ⬇️
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Kalshi on Monday: Wake up cupcake of course only a small percentage of people win money - this is a financial market
Kalshi on Tuesday: Everyone has an edge
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I am begging PMs to stop giving their opposition the easiest talking points for just one single day.
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May 4
This week @Sports__Proj and I are recording a podcast with one of the most profitable ( $1.6M) public traders on Kalshi - @alter_clay
Drop some Qs in the comments for this PM crusher!
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Sports Projections retweeted
Apr 29
New Episode Dropped
@Sports__Proj and I discuss the thing everyone else is too afraid to discuss...Are deterministic models dead in 2026?
We also catch up on a crazy few weeks of news and hit some great listener Qs. Links below ⬇️
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Apr 27
Hey all - me and @Sports__Proj are looking for questions for this weeks episode. Feels like a crazy amount of news these last two weeks, looking forward to this one.
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