Joined September 2018
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ENROLLING NOW. AI Accelerator: Agents in the Investment Process I am very excited to announce our new cohort based program called AI Accelerator: Agents in the Investment Process Chatbots were interesting, but far from transformational to the institutional investment process. In my opinion, the impact of agents in the investment process has the potential to completely rewire how investors do work. However, we are still in the "demo era" of agents for institutional investing and the necessary ingredients for institutional scaling are still being developed. We have designed a 6-month, live cohort structure to explore this possibility with incredible depth, including: > A 3-hour live Zoom Foundations Seminar June 8th to example the investment process, examine agents, and embark on the journey together of embedding agents > Five monthly Workflow Labs where we will provide a detailed workflow brief and the necessary Skills.md files, then guide the cohort through customizing and implementing an agentic approach into that workflow > Monthly office hours & guest speakers with the interesting vendors & builders in this space > All of the digital curriculum from our Sep '25 AI Cohort, including 15 recorded guest speakers. 15 hours in total, available today. > A group discord & mail bag to explore this fascinating trend together & share learnings (where a lot of the magic happens in the Fundamental Edge programs) > A December 7th Implementation Seminar where we will work guide the cohort on bringing discrete workflows into a coherent, AI-native operating layer The objective is simple. You will walk away with: > A personal Skills.md library > Five working agentic workflows > Material gains in speed & rigor > An AI-native operating cadence > The support & relationships built in a cohort > Alumni access to our upcoming in-person AI events The program is designed to be tool-agnostic and built around the foundations of the emerging capability set of Agentic Workspaces with MCP connectors & Skills.md workflow instructions (we suggest bringing a subscription to Claude Cowork, Copilot Cowork, Perplexity Computer or Codex). The program is designed as a cohort, but if your team is looking to build aligned literacy on agents in the investment process we also offer team discounts & custom programs, including tailored, in-office engagements. To learn more, see our website. We are also hosting an information session on May 28th (will post both in replies). Thank you!
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I am excited to announce a (free) live webinar June 9th at 12:30pm ET co-hosted with my friend @JaredKubin where we will walk through methods to evaluate the upcoming $SPCX IPO using AI research tools. We won't provide any answers, and certainly no recommendations - the focus of this session is an exhibition of the "art of the possible" to create a custom IPO primer built *how YOU think*. The objective of this entire exercise is to turn ~30 hours of manual up to speed work on SpaceX into a compacted ~3 hour work stack (and redeploy those 27 hours to go deeper in certain areas, if you so choose). My primer includes: > Exec summary > Deep industry primers (for 3 relevant industries) > Segment deep dives (for the 3 relevant segments) > My custom analytical stack (my personal frameworks like the Three Things and What You Have to Believe) > Pattern recognition from prior IPO pops, post pop trades & index inclusion studies > A proposed playbook including IPO day, year-one, a falsification monitor & a PM cheat cheat You can find my primer in the replies. IMPORTANTLY, we will walk through the annoying parts of building this primer that still need human intervention, such as: > Why AI thinks Starlink ARPU is the most critical dynamic (ignoring narrative impacts around Space & AI that could drive much larger TV perception expansions) > Some annoying simple errors made in the first pass, and how to use validation systems to catch them > How I, as an analyst, would use this primer before articulating a strategy to my PM
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Webinar starting in ~1 hour The goal here isn't to do the work for you and give you the answers (candidly I don't have a strong view on $SPCX at the moment) The goal is to show, in a rigorous way, both the promise & the perils of using AI in investment research and leave you with a playbook to use agentic workspaces to accelerate your own investment process Hope you can join us! link in replies
I am excited to announce a (free) live webinar June 9th at 12:30pm ET co-hosted with my friend @JaredKubin where we will walk through methods to evaluate the upcoming $SPCX IPO using AI research tools. We won't provide any answers, and certainly no recommendations - the focus of this session is an exhibition of the "art of the possible" to create a custom IPO primer built *how YOU think*. The objective of this entire exercise is to turn ~30 hours of manual up to speed work on SpaceX into a compacted ~3 hour work stack (and redeploy those 27 hours to go deeper in certain areas, if you so choose). My primer includes: > Exec summary > Deep industry primers (for 3 relevant industries) > Segment deep dives (for the 3 relevant segments) > My custom analytical stack (my personal frameworks like the Three Things and What You Have to Believe) > Pattern recognition from prior IPO pops, post pop trades & index inclusion studies > A proposed playbook including IPO day, year-one, a falsification monitor & a PM cheat cheat You can find my primer in the replies. IMPORTANTLY, we will walk through the annoying parts of building this primer that still need human intervention, such as: > Why AI thinks Starlink ARPU is the most critical dynamic (ignoring narrative impacts around Space & AI that could drive much larger TV perception expansions) > Some annoying simple errors made in the first pass, and how to use validation systems to catch them > How I, as an analyst, would use this primer before articulating a strategy to my PM
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I completely agree with this. Emerging agentic workspaces like Perplexity Computer have become so delightfully simple to use that the real leverage point in agents is shifting from technical knowhow to the ability to deeply articulate your instructions. Knowing what mountain to climb and having the ability to express your tacit knowledge is more important than ever. Data is critical as well, though the development of institutional grade MCP endpoints is also abstracting data strategy.
There’s no amount of intelligence that can get packed into AI models that replaces the need for context. For any sufficiently general purpose AI, you will always have to guide it in the direction you want as it has an infinite range of directions it can go in. As long as the same model is used by a lawyer, an engineer, a financial analyst, or a healthcare professional, and as long as you’re trying to do anything uniquely differentiated or specific, then instructions, domain context, and proprietary data will always need to get into the context window for the model to be useful. This is partly why AI automation doesn’t come for free, and why there’s still a wide spectrum of who’s getting the largest gains from AI and who’s not. You have to put in real work, and you get real value on the other end. This is one of the advantages that applied AI will also have in the market. Any layer of abstraction above just the raw intelligence that can meaningfully get you off to the races faster will likely continue to be valuable.
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Today is the day: we launch AI Accelerator, a 6-month guided program to help fundamental investors build Agentic Workflow Leverage into their investment process. I am certain you will not find a higher caliber group of investors gathered together in one cohort...I am excited and humbled to guide over 100 institutional investors along their AI implementation journey in a rigorous, evidence-based way. youtube.com/watch?v=yJPetcoA…
ENROLLING NOW. AI Accelerator: Agents in the Investment Process I am very excited to announce our new cohort based program called AI Accelerator: Agents in the Investment Process Chatbots were interesting, but far from transformational to the institutional investment process. In my opinion, the impact of agents in the investment process has the potential to completely rewire how investors do work. However, we are still in the "demo era" of agents for institutional investing and the necessary ingredients for institutional scaling are still being developed. We have designed a 6-month, live cohort structure to explore this possibility with incredible depth, including: > A 3-hour live Zoom Foundations Seminar June 8th to example the investment process, examine agents, and embark on the journey together of embedding agents > Five monthly Workflow Labs where we will provide a detailed workflow brief and the necessary Skills.md files, then guide the cohort through customizing and implementing an agentic approach into that workflow > Monthly office hours & guest speakers with the interesting vendors & builders in this space > All of the digital curriculum from our Sep '25 AI Cohort, including 15 recorded guest speakers. 15 hours in total, available today. > A group discord & mail bag to explore this fascinating trend together & share learnings (where a lot of the magic happens in the Fundamental Edge programs) > A December 7th Implementation Seminar where we will work guide the cohort on bringing discrete workflows into a coherent, AI-native operating layer The objective is simple. You will walk away with: > A personal Skills.md library > Five working agentic workflows > Material gains in speed & rigor > An AI-native operating cadence > The support & relationships built in a cohort > Alumni access to our upcoming in-person AI events The program is designed to be tool-agnostic and built around the foundations of the emerging capability set of Agentic Workspaces with MCP connectors & Skills.md workflow instructions (we suggest bringing a subscription to Claude Cowork, Copilot Cowork, Perplexity Computer or Codex). The program is designed as a cohort, but if your team is looking to build aligned literacy on agents in the investment process we also offer team discounts & custom programs, including tailored, in-office engagements. To learn more, see our website. We are also hosting an information session on May 28th (will post both in replies). Thank you!
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Brett Caughran retweeted
I like reading @FundamentEdge takes on using AI for equity research workflows. Best way to use AI is to increase quality over quantity of work. Alot of people using AI to speed through work with result being AI slop instead of using it to enhance workflows and output through more rigorous analysis, research, understanding, etc.
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Big congrats to the AlphaSense team @CharlieZvible I think it’s under discussed how much the AI capabilities here have improved here in the last 6-9 months for investors, and as I personally try to envision an agentic world, AlphaSense has a lot to the pieces to really make agentic workflow demos come to life in a safe, consistent, token efficient way (which no one has cracked yet and I personally believe will be extremely difficult for 97% of firms to do internally in a way that makes sense economically)
Exclusive: AI market-research platform AlphaSense is being valued at $7.5 billion in a fresh round of funding on.wsj.com/4asP7AL
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I am excited to announce a (free) live webinar June 9th at 12:30pm ET co-hosted with my friend @JaredKubin where we will walk through methods to evaluate the upcoming $SPCX IPO using AI research tools. We won't provide any answers, and certainly no recommendations - the focus of this session is an exhibition of the "art of the possible" to create a custom IPO primer built *how YOU think*. The objective of this entire exercise is to turn ~30 hours of manual up to speed work on SpaceX into a compacted ~3 hour work stack (and redeploy those 27 hours to go deeper in certain areas, if you so choose). My primer includes: > Exec summary > Deep industry primers (for 3 relevant industries) > Segment deep dives (for the 3 relevant segments) > My custom analytical stack (my personal frameworks like the Three Things and What You Have to Believe) > Pattern recognition from prior IPO pops, post pop trades & index inclusion studies > A proposed playbook including IPO day, year-one, a falsification monitor & a PM cheat cheat You can find my primer in the replies. IMPORTANTLY, we will walk through the annoying parts of building this primer that still need human intervention, such as: > Why AI thinks Starlink ARPU is the most critical dynamic (ignoring narrative impacts around Space & AI that could drive much larger TV perception expansions) > Some annoying simple errors made in the first pass, and how to use validation systems to catch them > How I, as an analyst, would use this primer before articulating a strategy to my PM
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SPCX IPO pt3: What will the AI line "do"? This matters.... you need to do work here / have a view Given Elon's comments yesterday about Colossus/ANT.. I talk about it below in the OP, but worth highlighting again... The distribution of outcomes are really wide here... go to the "Revenue_Build" tab and you can mess around with your own assumptions (this is an IPO model, if you are going to participate in SPCX you need to take my framework and really build it out... this is just step 1) *Model still live and downloadable* **ALSO ... you need to figure out if you count Elons share count incentive structure in the FDS... its alot* Or... you can be like my friend who told me they are investing because the World GDP is ~$110T... and that is the true TAM 😭😭😭😭
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As an analytical showcase, I had my agents create a ~140 page IPO primer on SpaceX $SPCX ahead of IPO in 2 weeks. This is NOT meant to be investment advice and while I ran validation agents on this document, I would be surprised if there are not some errors in these pages. These reports will become even more powerful with an institutional grade data stack and deterministic validation. That said, to me, the ability of agents to create reports like this with effectively the touch of a button is a powerful exhibition of how far agents have evolved. Full document available for download in replies. (Love any feedback on document in the replies, this is a highly iterative process, as always!)
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Brett Caughran retweeted
There has been a lot of ink on what it takes to be great as an analyst. My 2c on this is all sectors require different things.  Highly technical sectors like systems and semis require an understanding of the technology first and the cycle second because everyone will see the cycle but not everyone will understand the technology shifts underlying the cycle meaning the error rate on the tech is almost always higher than the error rate on the cycle. Lower technical sectors like financials and materials require an understanding of the cycle first and the product second for the opposite reason. The products are relatively easy to understand but timing the cycles that tend to be shorter than big technology cycles is much harder. I could go on with other examples and different vectors. The only thing that translates across all sectors imo is being able to identify what the most important thing is before everyone else decides it’s the most important thing.
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What a delightful episode. Thoroughly enjoyed.
My conversation with @DanielSLoeb1, his first ever podcast and one I've been wanting to do for years. Dan started Third Point in 1995 with $3 million. Today the firm manages over $24 billion across equities, credit, venture, and insurance. Along the way he wrote some of the most iconic activist letters. We discuss: - Why deep value stopped working - The power of writing - The Twitter and XAI credit trades - Lessons from FTX and Danaher - The Sony and Sotheby's stories - What makes a great analyst today - The importance of kindness I feel lucky we all get to learn from one of the greats. Enjoy! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 2:48 Macro Views and Tech Trends 5:13 The Roots of Third Point 10:30 Evolving to Quality and Thematic Investing 19:07 Market Psychology and Inefficiencies 24:10 Good and Bad Corporate Governance 29:19 Activism 31:23 Sotheby's 41:37 AI 44:28 Sony 52:50 Danaher's Operating System 56:31 Building an Insurance Business 59:25 FTX 1:05:17 What Makes a Great Analyst Today 1:07:24 The Next Decade 1:10:00 Kindest Thing
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As an analytical showcase, I had my agents create a ~140 page IPO primer on SpaceX $SPCX ahead of IPO in 2 weeks. This is NOT meant to be investment advice and while I ran validation agents on this document, I would be surprised if there are not some errors in these pages. These reports will become even more powerful with an institutional grade data stack and deterministic validation. That said, to me, the ability of agents to create reports like this with effectively the touch of a button is a powerful exhibition of how far agents have evolved. Full document available for download in replies. (Love any feedback on document in the replies, this is a highly iterative process, as always!)
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In case you missed it, I recently completed a 4-part webinar series exploring the agentic transition in investing and my resulting Exoskeleton Hypothesis: the belief that the agentic "demo era" is starting now and the deep personalization that agents allow can be a game changer for the deeply heterogeneous craft of investment research. For convenience, we dropped all four sessions into a landing page with downloadable decks. It total, it is over 7 hours of videos with 400 slides. I hope you enjoy!
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And for those who are aligned with this vision, and want to do the work of turning this vision into reality, we are enrolling now for our June 8th AI Accelerator, where I will share my process primitives, context files & Skills.MD files for a subset of my agentic processes, and *more importantly* guide the group through deep customization of these processes to their specific investment approach & coverage area. fundamentedge.com/ai-acceler…
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