@FusionMarkets profile picture
Fusion Markets @FusionMarkets
Joined May 2019
  • Tweets 1,807
  • Following 20
  • Followers 1,762
1,549 Photos and videos
Fusion Markets retweeted
Arno Venter
@ArnoVenter_
14h
Cross asset volatility continues to drift lower, at currently levels it might look like complacency but it's only because vol was already low despite the Middle East tensions, moving lower from here isn't complacency if hedging continues to roll off.
6
194
Internal note from @ArnoVenter_ today: 'Quick reminder that tomorrow is roll for CL1! so if you spot strange price action or gaps, put down the tinfoil hat, avoid the inevitable bad conspiracy takes and count to ten, it's most likely just roll having its way.' #WTI #XTIUSD
2
5
1,338
Just $10 to go on #WTI before we've erased the Middle East scare. Cannot wait for the next #ECB press conference, should be fun. #XTIUSD
1
2
5
1,532
Nature is healing... #SNB current interest rate pricing versus a month ago
2
3
1,265
No surprises here from the #RBA, left rates unchanged, still prepared to raise if they need to but think policy is restrictive after recent raises, not in any hurry to move. Unless inflation surprises meaningfull from here the hiking cycle has most likely ran its course.
2
5
1,313
Ahead of today's #RBA decision, rate markets are pricing 14.7 bp of tightening by year-end, a stark change from a month ago when markets were pricing a hike and a small premium towards a second.
1
3
4
1,450
The #RBA's tone has been neutral recently, with most comments from officials reflecting a balanced view on policy. Gov Bullock's remarks indicate that while inflation remains a concern, the board is not overly eager to signal further hikes, noting that policy is already somewhat restrictive. The emphasis on monitoring conditions and the acknowledgement that the effects of previous tightening will take time to pass through. Furthermore, the comments noted that the current cash rate is adequate to address inflation risks without requiring immediate further action.
1
2
102
After the recent three interest rate hikes, the #RBA currently has the highest policy rate among the major central banks, which was justified given the level of core inflation in AU versus peers (even before the Middle East disruptions started).
2
110
The #RBA is expected to hold rates at 4.35% today. The bank may want to keep the prospect of a hike in play, but recent data gives them no hurry to act. Specs have trimmed #AUD longs by a big margin, in line with rate markets that no longer expect hikes this year. #ausbiz
2
4
1,292
The #BoJ steps up to the plate a bit later today, with markets widely expecting the bank to hike rates 25bp to 1.00%. There is potential for some QT tapering talk, which could complicate the outcome for the #JPY.
2
4
1,533
Can a Warsh #Fed make economic data releases great again? Our analyst @ArnoVenter_ thinks if the new Chair gets his way for less guidance and less comms, it could mean more volatility around US tier 1 econ data releases. Catch the video below 👇 youtube.com/shorts/K-LhjYGiu…

What a Warsh Fed means for traders

Subscribe to Fusion Markets for more trading tips: https://www.yout...

youtube.com
1
2
7
2,231
Cocoa screens as one of the strongest bearish speculator positioning setups. Specs are net short by 11.6% of open interest and sitting in the 94th bearish percentile of its 52-week range after they trimmed longs and added to shorts last week. #Cocoa
2
5
1,611
Ahead of the #RBA, the #AUD shows bearish reversal pressure in the latest CFTC update. Specs trimmed longs and added to shorts. With positioning still net long this looks like some bearish reversal risk to watch rather than an unwind.
1
3
1,275
Ahead of this week's #BoJ, the #JPY screens as one of the strongest bearish speculator positioning setups. Specs are net short by 28.9% of open interest and sitting in the 100th bearish percentile of its 52-week range after they added to shorts.
1
3
1,641
USD screens as one of the strongest bullish speculator positioning setups. Specs are net long by 10.3% of open interest and sitting in the 98th bullish percentile of its 52-week range after they added to longs and covered shorts last week. #USD
1
6
1,233
It's a Central Bank BONANZA this week ahead with decisions from the #BoJ #RBA #FOMC #SNB & #BoE. Our analyst @ArnoVenter_ thinks there could be interesting opportunities, with some prior market assumptions challenged. Watch the full video below 👇 youtu.be/T74YEOPA9GE

Week Ahead: Central bank bonanza!

Subscribe to Fusion Markets for more trading tips: https://www.yout...

youtube.com
2
5
2,893
SpaceX ($SPCX) IPO recap: Opened at $150 — well above the $135 estimate Ran to nearly $177 on Friday before fading Small float = synthetic demand. Don't ignore that. Key levels to watch: 🔻 ~$150 (IPO open) 🔺 ~$177 (Friday's high) A clean break either way gets momentum traders moving. Watch the index inclusion news. That's a potential catalyst.
2
4
1,425
With the $SPCX IPO launch just around the corner, the sizeable valuation, small float and index inclusions will make for a very interesting and arguably volatile next few weeks, here's a few thoughts about the event from our analyst @ArnoVenter_ 👇
2:36
2
3
1,942
Fusion Markets retweeted
PiQ
@PiQSuite
Jun 11
🤣🤣🤣🤣 10/10. No comments.
Fusion Markets
@FusionMarkets
Jun 11
POV: explaining why you keep moving your stop loss
0:03
2
19
2,955
After yesterday's CPI data, markets price close to 22 bp of tightening for the #Fed by year-end, versus close to 70 for the #ECB. However, the current data suggest that either Fed hikes are underpriced or ECB hikes are overpriced (leaning towards the latter).
1
3
8
1,658
more replies
Inflation is a bigger problem in the US compared to the EU at the moment, whether looking at headline or Core inflation. A similar story with inflation expectations, which is not de-anchored on either side.
1
1
2
119
When we consider rate pricing across the curve for both banks, both of these can't be correct at the same time given the current economic backdrop.
1
96
Load more