Foresight in geopolitics, global trends, and security affairs (with an eye on science fiction)
Joined September 2009
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Jun 13
Futurist at the movies microreview: "Earth vs. the Flying Saucers," which came out 70 years ago today.
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Jun 12
Given that “Disclosure Day” is said to be a kind of companion to “Close Encounters of the Third Kind,” here’s my microreview of Spielberg's first alien film. It rates as the overall best futurist movie of the 1970s.
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Jun 9
"Jack Clark, an Anthropic co-founder, thinks there is a 60% chance that, by the end of 2028, an AI system will be capable of creating its own successor with no human involvement." #AI #future economist.com/science-and-te…
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Jun 11
"Tegmark offers a variety of scenarios in which things go wrong: powerful AI systems could outcompete humans as the decisionmakers in government and commerce, disempowering humanity; they could offer supreme power to whoever first builds them, ushering in global totalitarianism"
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Jun 11
A detailed scenario for the geography of habitability in 2100. #future #climatechange interaktiv.morgenpost.de/kli…
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Jun 9
Futurist at the movies microreview: "Awake," which came out 5 years ago today.
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Jun 9
This was AI's best attempt at drawing me a green woolly mammoth 4 years ago.
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Jun 5
"India, where more than 90% of women get married and only 33% work, is seeing fertility slump, too." economist.com/briefing/2026/…
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Jun 5
Futurist at the movies microreview: "Greenland 2: Migration." Depicting the 5-year aftermath of a giant comet impact, the movie is not as good as the first in every dimension.
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Jun 5
"AI exposure—and related potential political anxiety—concentrates in Democratic-leaning places: Sixty-two of the 100 most AI-exposed U.S. counties went “blue” in the 2024 presidential election." #AI #future brookings.edu/articles/ai-po…
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Jun 3
Foresight ignored: years of war games predicted Iran closing the Straight of Hormuz if attacked -- nytimes.com/2026/06/02/us/po…
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Jun 3
Futurist at the movies microreview: "Into the Forest," which came out 10 years ago today, and is one of the better futurist films of 2016.
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Jun 1
"Cuba would be harder than Venezuela to reconstruct, both politically and economically." "Every option is fraught. A deal big enough to satisfy Messrs Trump and Rubio looks hard to achieve; military action may fail to accomplish what diplomacy has not." economist.com/the-americas/2…
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May 29
"A more radical option is to offer workers direct stakes in the progress of AI. One way to do this would be to spread ownership of the companies developing the technology more widely, whether by handing out shares or through sovereign-wealth funds." economist.com/finance-and-ec…
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May 28
Futurist at the movies microreview: "A Quiet Place 2," which came out 5 years ago today.
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May 27
“Not only can our military not save American democracy, it can’t even save itself from democracy.” foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/22…
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May 26
Futurist at the movies microreview: "X-Men: The Last Stand," which came out 20 years ago today.
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May 26
Trump could blunder into a complex, messy, and possibly bloody situation in Cuba -- foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/22…
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