🚨Out in @NatureComms : our paper “Model-based evaluation of the impact of a potential HIV cure on HIV transmission dynamics”. We found that a cure could help end the epidemic, but only under the right conditions. Let’s break it down. nature.com/articles/s41467-0…

🧵1/ New preprint out on medrxiv: “Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: the Influcast experience” In this work, we analyze the first year of Influcast, Italy’s first collaborative hub for epidemic forecasting. medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/…

We estimated the incubation period, serial interval, and generation time distributions for mpox clade I from historical data the reproduction number of mpox clade Ib in Kamituga (DRC). We found slower dynamics compared to clade IIb wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/30…

Our assessment of nowcasting for estimating reproduction numbers during real-time surveillance is out: frontiersin.org/journals/pub… . A collaboration of @FBK_research and @istsupsan finalized thanks to the tireless efforts of @andreabizzotto_ 🙂

1/ 📢 Preprint news! 📢 📄"Quantifying infectious disease epidemic risks: A practical approach for seasonal pathogens" #EpiTwitter ✍️Authors: @AlexRKaye @GiGuR0 @mjtildesley @RobinNThompson 💻 code: github.com/KayeARK/Quantifyi… 🔗: doi.org/10.1101/2024.07.30.2…

Wartime bereavement is high (eg in 2023, 1 in every 67 Palestinians had lost a child to war) and is projected to endure. Reducing deaths now will prevent future escalation of violence fueled by resentment & generational trauma. Read @ScienceAdvances piece: science.org/doi/10.1126/scia…

Great to see more research on optimizing end-of-outbreak determinations! Deciding when to demobilize resources is an important component of public health response during outbreaks, and infectious disease modeling can support public health leadership in making those calls.

Wonderful opportunity for a PhD position with @vcolizza on epi modelling and behavioural aspects in collaboration with us at @DondenaCentre and working on data gathered in the @ERC_Research funded IMMUNE project.

We are looking for an *excellent* candidate for the PhD project "Data-driven modeling of disease transmission integrating risk perception and adaptive behavior" in collaboration with @melegaro @DondenaCentre @Unibocconi epicx-lab.com/open-positions… iddjobs.org/jobs/data-driven…

From Muhammad Abu Salmiya, the director of Al-Shifa Hospital in #Gaza: "a plea to every human being to help stop this genocide right now—we cannot live like this; the world should not be silent about the killing of civilians in the thousands." thelancet.com/journals/lance…

Incubation period, serial interval, generation time and reproduction number of mpox clade I medrxiv.org/cgi/content/shor… #medRxiv

It has been 6 months since the brutal attacks in #Israel by Hamas and other groups, in which 1,200 people were killed, many more injured and hundreds abducted. @WHO once again condemns this barbaric act of violence and demands the release of remaining hostages. However, this atrocity does not justify the horrific ongoing bombardment, siege and health system demolition by Israel in #Gaza, killing, injuring and starving hundreds of thousands of civilians, including aid workers. The deaths and grievous injuries of thousands of children in Gaza will remain a stain on all of humanity. This assault on present and future generations must end. The denial of basic needs -- food, fuel, sanitation, shelter, security and healthcare -- is inhumane and intolerable. @WHO, alongside our health and humanitarian partners, will continue to serve health workers, patients and communities in Gaza. But continued denial of access means the population's needs far exceed any aid we have been able to deliver so far. The fact that over 70% of deaths in Gaza are women and children should be a compelling reason to halt the war. We urge all parties to silence their guns. We appeal for peace. Now.

Oggi @LaStampa pubblica un editoriale del Professor Alessandro Vespignani @alexvespi sul nuovo piano pandemico

3-year postdoc position @OxUniMaths in infectious disease modelling, involving developing models of avian influenza transmission and control in the UK. maths.ox.ac.uk/node/66050 In collaboration with colleagues in Warwick and at the UK government’s Animal and Plant Health Agency.

Nell'ultimo numero di @le_scienze spiego come un gruppo di fisic* e matematic* italian* hanno rivoluzionato il modo di studiare e prevedere le epidemie. Oggi tutti i governi e le agenzie si rivolgono a loro. Nel rumore e nel rancore della pandemia non ce ne eravamo accorti.

Hiring! Opening of a new post-doc position @Unibocconi @DondenaCentre on @ERC_Research funded project IMMUNE on epi modelling, vaccination and human behaviours. Apply here: unibocconi.eu/faculty-postdo…

CLOSING SOON: PhD position (Povo (Trento), Italy) Statistical, mathematical and computational models of mosquito populations and mosquito-borne infections with @GiGuR0 @polettipiero @ilgaizka at @FBK_research More details: iddjobs.org/jobs/statistical…

Deadline 28th July! See link for further info and DM me if you have any questions.