“Most European officials will concede that Trump’s second-term behavior—along with the rising threat from Russian revanchism—has finally convinced them to try to stand on their own feet in military and intelligence matters,” writes @GioeINT. foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

“The United States’ transatlantic allies not only doubt its commitment to them; they are also questioning Washington’s fundamental strategic judgment,” writes @GioeINT. foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

Why the transatlantic crisis may be a blessing in disguise? Prof David V Gioe argues #US unreliability & Russian aggression have forced a geopolitical awakening. By boosting its own defence, #Europe builds a more balanced alliance for the future. 🔗bit.ly/4uhlHN9

“The very crisis Trump created is forcing U.S. allies to develop military and intelligence capabilities that could eventually make Washington’s partnerships stronger than ever,” writes @GioeINT. foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

“The transatlantic relationship will still need to be deliberately repaired in order to reap any future dividends from the current crisis,” writes @GioeINT. “Trust has been broken, and it will not simply reappear after Trump leaves office.” foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

Restoring transatlantic trust will require “a long-term change in the tone and behavior of U.S. leaders over multiple electoral cycles,” argues @GioeINT. “It will not simply reappear after Trump leaves office.” foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

Why the transatlantic crisis may be a blessing in disguise? Prof David V Gioe argues #US unreliability & Russian aggression have forced a geopolitical awakening. By boosting its own defence, #Europe builds a more balanced alliance for the future. 🔗bit.ly/4uhlHN9

“If transatlantic trust can eventually be restored, Europe’s present investments could yield a far more powerful military and intelligence collaboration than the one Trump has all but severed,” writes @GioeINT. foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

The United States urgently needs to mend the political and moral foundations of the transatlantic relationship, writes @GioeINT. “Washington will have to restore trust through a mix of action and restraint.” foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

“The tragedy is that Europe’s defense and intelligence spending is now shaped as much by the need to hedge against American unreliability as by a desire to make the transatlantic alliance more capable,” writes @GioeINT. foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

As I argue in @ForeignAffairs, the current transatlantic crisis of trust may actually yield a stronger future alliance bc Europeans are increasing their capabilities in #defense & #intelligence, but only if trust can be restored. @warstudies @KCLSecurity foreignaffairs.com/united-st…

Russia’s Influence Game: Church, State, and Espionage cepa.org/article/russias-inf…

Putin didn't invade Ukraine because of NATO. He invaded because Ukrainians were proving democracy works. Historian and Pulitzer Prize winner Anne Applebaum puts it plainly: Putin looked at Ukraine's democratic movement and thought, "If they can do it in Ukraine, then people could do it in Russia. So I need to crush this." That's the real threat Ukraine posed. Not missiles. Not borders. A working democracy next door. Applebaum frames the war as a fault line between the democratic and autocratic worlds. Russia isn't just trying to take territory. It's trying to erase Ukraine as a nation, reduce it to a colony, and send a message to every country that the post-1945 rules of Europe no longer apply. Those rules were simple: no invasions, no wars, borders don't change by force. Russia understood exactly what it was breaking when it crossed into Ukraine.

From Instructor to Participant: A Full-Circle Perspective | Strategic Competition and Russia David Gioe reflects on his experience as both a former presenter and participant #AtTheMarshallCenter. youtu.be/jhtO7q6QT2k ----

Come discuss the future of the transatlantic #intelligence and #defense alliance with me on the evening of 13 May at @KingsCollegeLon @warstudies @ISICambridge. Register (free!) here: eventbrite.co.uk/e/the-trans…

The book examines underexplored crises, draws on new archival material, and includes fresh interviews with decision-makers such as Tony Blair & George Robertson. Available for $35 if you order directly from Georgetown using the discount code TGUF. press.georgetown.edu/Book/Tr… 2/2

Another crisis in UK-US relations. How does the alliance survive repeated ruptures? Greg Kennedy & I brought together 14 brilliant scholars to answer that in Transatlantic Storms in Anglo-American Relations: How the Alliance Weathers Crises. Out today with @Georgetown_UP. 1/2

A fuller view of the long sweep of #military #history reveals, over time, that, once unleashed, the dogs of war frequently bite their masters. @washingtonpost washingtonpost.com/news/made…

In the past, Russia's hybrid war has focused on cyber and information operations. The Kremlin's shadow war is now kinetic — targeting critical infrastructure & harming civilians across Europe. @apolyakova explains why @nato needs a new theory about deterring Russian aggression. #MSC2026

How Russian military intelligence is recruiting young people online to carry out espionage, arson, and other attacks across Europe newyorker.com/magazine/2026/…