Joined February 2019
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12 Sep 2022
The FINAL GrainCast 2022 #corn yield forecast is 170.1 bpa. Good luck with harvest, everyone!
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10 Jul 2025
Well you have all had an eventful week now, haven't you?!
Haven't done a forecast in a while but if I did one now I bet it would be big.
I bet you can just ask the AI now and get a pretty good forecast.
Good luck out there! š¤
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12 Oct 2022
171.9 today, and average adjustment from October to January final is 187mbu or about 2bpa
12 Oct 2022
U.S. #corn yield falls 0.6 bu/acre from last month's forecast to 171.9. Illinois is expected to tie it's prior record, though lower yields in the Plains - Nebraska, South Dakota, Kansas - brought down the average.
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13 Sep 2022
Sounds like these magic seeds are really going to mess up the yield model
13 Sep 2022
To combat rising hunger, Bill Gates argues for what he calls "magic seeds," which are modified to increase yields or resist pests. But some experts warn the technology is too slow to develop and conflicts with goals to reduce emissions. apnews.com/article/russia-ukā¦
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GrainCast retweeted
30 Aug 2022
Crop Consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier cut his corn yield forecast by 3 bu. to 170 bpa amid the continued decline in crop condition ratings, persistent dry conditions in areas of the western Corn Belt & confirmation of lower yields from recent crop tours, including ours.
#pfnews
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GrainCast retweeted
29 Aug 2022
These guys follow a proprietary model with multiple variables.
Most folksā āguesstimatesā are based on biased inputs most of the time š
This is one of the few that are not
Much respect for their work š¤š»
Disclosure: My own *guess* is a 170-173 *final* yield
#corn #harvest22
29 Aug 2022
Finally some good developments from the yield model. Today's #corn yield forecast has risen to 170.7 bpa
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29 Aug 2022
Finally some good developments from the yield model. Today's #corn yield forecast has risen to 170.7 bpa
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26 Aug 2022
Fairly tight agreement among yield estimates should probably lead to a little more confidence they're in the right range
This was true last year
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26 Aug 2022
But you, my friends, knew that already! 168.1!!
26 Aug 2022
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GrainCast retweeted
22 Aug 2022
I donāt disagree with you Duane.
Iām more in the 172-175 camp than in the sun 172 camp. However, I like Graincastās neutral approach & respect their work, so canāt discount it, even though I donāt see eye to eye currently.
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22 Aug 2022
If I were invited to do a podcast or commentary, I would say 2 things:
1) people are discounting the impact of late planting, and,
2) every single factor in our model; weather, rainfall, and several others, is negative this year. trend: 180, everything else subtracts.
22 Aug 2022
Happy #pftour22 everyone.
Our latest #corn yield forecast is 169.8. Warm weather in August has continued to take the best potential out of the crop.
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22 Aug 2022
Usually it's a mix. some factors add yield, some subtract. this year, everything subtracts.
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22 Aug 2022
It is a good time to reiterate that GrainCast has no bias about the crop or the market. It's simply a statistical model that you plug numbers in to, and it spits out a number. Today, this is the number it's spitting out. All the best to all the producers out there this year.
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22 Aug 2022
That 170.7 doesn't seem so crazy now with these #pftour22 results so far
12 Aug 2022
Acreage changes in today's report added a fraction of a bushel to our forecast, it's now 170.7. we will see how the rest of the growing season plays out, bit it's pretty well baked by now.
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12 Aug 2022
Acreage changes in today's report added a fraction of a bushel to our forecast, it's now 170.7. we will see how the rest of the growing season plays out, bit it's pretty well baked by now.
11 Aug 2022
Latest #corn yield forecast is 170.3. I expect the USDA number to come down tomorrow, but who knows. #oatt
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