Fellow @ConGeostrategy covering Taiwan/cross-strait relations, and PhD'ing @lsehistory UK-US China policies 1957-72. No longer tweeting, follow Substack below:

Joined September 2010
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Taiwan's inclusion in the Integrated Review 'refresh' follows a recent shift in the UK's approach to cross-Strait tensions. Britain is taking the costs of a crisis seriously and is working more closely with allies to support stability. My thoughts for @ConGeostrategy:
Today in #BritainsWorld, @GraySergeant assesses the mention of Taiwan in the Integrated Review ‘refresh’ and the UK’s evolving policy towards the Taiwan Strait... ‘This mention is symbolic of a wider shift.’ 👇 geostrategy.org.uk/britains-…
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🚨 New Article Alert! 🚨 In my latest piece for The Diplomat, I explore the dramatic changes in Hong Kong since the 2019 pro-democracy protests, mentioned in my latest @ConGeostrategy briefing on #HongKong. Read the full article at thediplomat.com/2024/08/how-… 🔒 Erosion of Freedoms: The National Security Law and Article 23 have dismantled pro-democracy groups and stifled civil liberties. 📉 Economic Challenges: A mass exodus and economic slowdown have hampered recovery despite efforts to attract mainland Chinese residents. 🌐 Geopolitical Implications: Hong Kong is now a testing ground for Beijing's global ambitions, including financial ties with the Middle East and serving as a trading hub for allies like Russia and North Korea. ⚖️ Dysfunctional Governance: The absence of pro-democracy lawmakers has led to dysfunctional governance and strained public reserves. 🏙️ Changing Demographics: The influx of mainland Chinese is reshaping Hong Kong's cultural and social fabric. #Geopolitics #Economy #Governance #NationalSecurity #ProDemocracy
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Read the latest article by @GraySergeant, our Research Fellow, on what the recent elections in the UK and France mean for British and French foreign policy 👇
由英國智庫地緣戰略委員會印太地緣政治研究員Gray Sergeant撰寫【The French and UK Elections: What Do They Mean for their Foreign Policy】 2024 Prospects & Perspectives No. 40 pf.org.tw/en/pfen/33-10819.h…
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What is the best approach for the new strategic defence review to take? 🇬🇧 We asked seven experts for their thoughts in today’s Big Ask... ✍️ @bbaxendalesmith, Neil Brown, Sir Michael Fallon, @paulmasonnews, @JAParker29, @annietrev and Adm. The Lord West britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-b…
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In this Memorandum, @RJohnsonCCW1 explains how money alone won’t solve Britain’s defence gap 🇬🇧 ‘Long term, the steady costs of adequate defence are the smallest price to pay.’ britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-m…
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Four Chinese Coast Guard ships intruded into restricted waters near the outlying islands of Kinmen. It's the third such incursion this month.
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China warns von der Leyen is "playing with fire" on Taiwan
Political guidelines by @vonderleyen for the next @EU_Commission contain gross interference into #China’s internal affair. Playing with fire on #Taiwan is highly dangerous. Meddling and even trying to join forces is by no means a right choice for #Europe.
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The latest edition of ‘Observing China’ is out now! 📩 🇹🇼 Trump’s Taiwan slam 💻 Chinese censors to ensure socialist AI 📰 Selina Cheng fired 🇩🇪 Germany sort-of ditches Huawei Read more and subscribe to the newsletter here 👉 chinaobservatory.substack.co…
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One for those on the Labour benches:
‘Fielding a persistent British security presence in the Indo-Pacific is not only about counter-balancing the PRC or pleasing the Americans.’ ✍️ @graham_euan on why Britain’s new government cannot afford another ‘east of Suez’ moment britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-m…
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Insightful and important reporting from @DSORennie @jarmiles on the 80% of Tibetan children now in state-run boarding schools, including children who live in towns and cities near their schools. This is about political control, not education. Listen here: economist.com/podcasts/2024/…
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In this Memorandum, @JohnHemmings2 and @DavidSantoro1 explain why NATO should cover Hawaii 🌎 ‘...it is astonishing that Hawaii’s exclusion from the Washington Treaty is not, at a minimum, an agenda item at the summit.’ britainsworld.org.uk/p/memor…

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The first duty of my government is to keep our country safe. I look forward to meeting the UK’s closest allies at the #NATOSummit in Washington D.C. tomorrow.
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Last week, we relaunched #BritainsWorld on @substack! Sign up to receive our content. We’ll publish our first Cable tomorrow, with a roundup of British foreign policy, how others frame the #UK, and important @RoyalNavy deployments... britainsworld.org.uk/
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2 Jul 2024
"Labour has chosen to keep its Indo-Pacific cards close to its chest. Success for a future British government in the region will require dexterity and a robust understanding of what regional players want" buff.ly/3RRR4gK | by @Discoplomacy

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“Perhaps this ugly incident, which has once again exposed the Faustian nature of UK-China relations, could act as an impetus for a flourishing of British-Taiwanese twinning agreements.” #Edinburgh 🇬🇧🇹🇼 spectator.co.uk/article/how-…
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🚨 NEW NEWSLETTER: OBSERVING CHINA 🚨 📰 Latest China-related news 🔍 Expert insight 🏢 Parliamentary updates 🇨🇳 Chinese narratives on the UK 🇹🇼 Cross-strait relations Subscribe now for all the latest on UK-China relations 📩 chinaobservatory.substack.co…
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'Anyone with the faintest understanding of Beijing’s paranoia over Taiwan ... will know that the suspension of the Edinburgh-Kaohsiung partnership has little to do with safeguarding the sensibilities of the Chinese people. It was motivated by fear.'
How Edinburgh kowtowed to Beijing spectator.co.uk/article/how-…
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Excellent op-ed by @GraySergeant about the latest council to kowtow to the #CCP's demands. We agree that other #Scotland council leaders should show solidarity with @Edinburgh_CC by exploring opportunities to develop ties with #Taiwan.
Beijing's threats appear to have scuppered a proposed friendship agreement between Edinburgh City Council and Kaohsiung, in southern Taiwan. My latest piece for @spectator spectator.co.uk/article/how-…
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