The Idaho Republican Party currently has approximately $200,000 in the bank according to its latest Sunshine report. Do we honestly believe we’re prepared to take on an abortion ballot initiative backed by highly sophisticated political operatives and millions of dollars from national progressive groups?
In Ohio, the pro-abortion campaign spent nearly $40 million. In Montana, supporters spent $11 million. And those investments paid off.
This challenge goes beyond the initiative itself. Massive spending on the ballot measure will also energize Democratic turnout in competitive legislative districts across Idaho, including my own, where conservatives have an opportunity to pick up two seats.
What’s Dorothy Moon’s plan? So far, we’ve heard about buying signs and hoping volunteers will do the rest. Signs and volunteers are important, but they are not enough to defeat a motivated opponent with the resources to spend tens of millions of dollars on television and radio advertising, direct mail, social media, text messaging, canvassing, events, and more.
In the 2026 Idaho Public Policy Survey, 61% of Idahoans said they support the initiative based on what they know today. That means a major statewide messaging campaign will be necessary to explain just how far-reaching this proposal really is.
Anyone who thinks we’ve got this in the bag because we defeated Prop 1 in 2024 is sorely mistaken. Voters were widely confused by Prop 1, and when voters don’t understand a ballot initiative, they often default to voting no. Abortion is different. Most Idahoans already have firmly held opinions on the issue.
Constantly attacking conservative PACs isn’t a strategy either. At this point, PACs may be our best chance to raise the resources necessary for a serious statewide “No” campaign unless the direction of the Idaho Republican Party changes immediately. Idaho Republicans deserve leadership with a real plan to organize, fundraise, and fight.