Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northwestern Gulf of America: A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development is not expected during the next day or so while the trough remains inland. However, the system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late Tuesday or Wednesday, and environmental conditions there are marginally conducive for the formation of a short-lived tropical storm on Wednesday into Thursday. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, interests across southern and eastern Texas and portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should prepare for periods of intense rainfall over the next several days which could produce widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and river flooding. Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible along portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings could be required on Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northwestern Gulf of America: A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is not expected during the next day or so while the trough remains inland and drifts generally northward over northeastern Mexico and southern Texas. The system is then forecast to move northeastward and could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions may support some development around midweek. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall, flash flooding and gusty winds are possible across portions of eastern and southern Texas and Louisiana this week. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Northwestern Gulf of America: A broad area of low pressure located over eastern Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is not expected during the next day or so while the low remains inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas during the next day or so. The system could then re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America around midweek while interacting with a frontal boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only marginally conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Adams/Blake

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Southwestern Gulf of America: A broad area of low pressure just offshore of eastern Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Significant development is not anticipated before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico by early Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America on Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only marginally conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Western Gulf: A broad low pressure area moving west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche is accompanied by poorly organized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive for any development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Western Gulf: A broad area of low pressure has formed over the far southern Bay of Campeche and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive for any development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Hello Everyone, My apologies for being a day late in sharing this information. On Wednesday, June 10, Dr. Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University issued his first update to the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast. In his update, he stated: "We have reduced our 2026 Atlantic basin hurricane season forecast and anticipate a below-normal season. Warm neutral ENSO conditions are likely to transition to El Niño shortly, with a high potential for a moderate to strong El Niño during the peak of hurricane season. Sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Atlantic are near average but are cooler than normal in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. We anticipate El Niño being the dominant factor for the upcoming hurricane season, driving increased levels of tropical Atlantic vertical wind shear. We are forecasting a below-average probability for major hurricane landfalls along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity." Dr. Klotzbach's initial forecast, issued on April 9, called for 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). His updated forecast now calls for 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. Regardless of any seasonal forecast, it only takes one landfalling hurricane to make it a memorable and destructive season. Need a reminder? Think back to Hurricane Andrew in 1992. When is the best time to prepare for a hurricane? The answer is simple: NOW. If you need a Family Emergency Plan or Emergency Preparedness Checklist, please visit our website at HWN.org. Near the bottom of the page, you will find a section titled "Great Downloadable Information" containing resources to help you and your family prepare before a storm threatens. Take care, stay prepared, and God Bless. Bobby Graves KB5HAV Net Manager President Hurricane Watch Net #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Bay of Campeche: A broad area of low pressure is likely to form over the Bay of Campeche on Friday from a westward-moving tropical wave currently located over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Bay of Campeche: A broad area of low pressure could form over the Bay of Campeche on Friday from a westward-moving tropical wave currently located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development, and the system should move inland over eastern Mexico by late this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Adams/Papin #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Bay of Campeche: A broad area of low pressure could form over the Bay of Campeche late this week. Conditions are not expected to be favorable for significant development, and the system should move inland over eastern Mexico late this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bucci #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bucci #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Berg #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Adams #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kelly #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3, respectively. The list of names for 2026 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation -------------------------------------------------------------------- Arthur AR-thur Leah LEE-ah Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar Edouard eh-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET Fay fay Rene re-NAY Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred Kyle KY-ull A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and pronunciations can be found at: nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_… This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 72 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three", etc.). The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. It can also be used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under the WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5. All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text and graphical products can be found at nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product…. New and updated products for the 2026 season can be found at nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/2026NHCNewP… You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via X when select National Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our Atlantic X feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available at nhc.noaa.gov/socialmedia/. $$ Forecaster Pasch #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun May 31 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch #WeatherReadyNation #WRN #SKYWARN #CANWARN #Hamradio #AmateurRadio #SATERN #HurricaneHams