אירועי השעה האחרונה ממחישים עד כמה המערכה האחרונה מול איראן היא ככישלון אסטרטגי מהדהד. ישראל ניצבת כעת בפני דילמה קשה: להגיב ולהסתכן בעימות חזיתי עם נשיא ארצות הברית, או להימנע מתגובה ולאפשר לאיראן לקבע משוואה חדשה שתצמצם משמעותית את חופש הפעולה הישראלי מול חזבאללה בעתיד. חשוב מכך, ההתפתחויות האחרונות ממחישות כי למרות שתי מערכות צבאיות מול טהראן, איראן רחוקה מלהיות מורתעת. להפך. ההנהגה האיראנית משדרת ביטחון עצמי גבוה ביכולותיה, ובעיקר משוכנעת שאין כיום איום אמין — לא מצד ישראל ולא מצד ארצות הברית, שיכול לכפות עליה שינוי מהותי במדיניותה. במקביל, הנשיא טראמפ ניצב בפני מציאות אסטרטגית בעייתית במיוחד. האפשרויות העומדות בפניו אינן טובות, והוא נראה כמי שמעדיף להגיע להסכם עם איראן כמעט בכל מחיר על פני הידרדרות לעימות אזורי רחב יותר. בסופו של דבר, זהו המחיר של מערכה שהניבה הישגים טקטיים מרשימים, אך לא הצליחה להשיג את יעדה האסטרטגי המרכזי: הפלת המשטר. במקום זאת, ישראל מוצאת את עצמה עם פחות חופש פעולה, איראן עם יותר ביטחון עצמי, וארצות הברית עם רצון גובר לסיים את המשבר באמצעות הסדרה מדינית.

THE METS ACTUALLY OWN THE BRAVES LMAOOOOOO

A.J. leaves the yard 😤

Sunday starters ⚾️ #LGM

JALEN BRUNSON WALKING OFF THE PLANE WITH LARRY O 🏆 (IG/lazyousuf)

BREAKING: Glen Whitley, a longtime Republican Judge in one of the most conservative counties in Texas, just announced he will not support Ken Paxton. This is huge news for James Talarico. Let’s go!

Ticketmaster is reportedly canceling and refunding Game 5 NBA Finals tickets purchased by fans who live outside a 150-mile radius of San Antonio — without notice 😳, per @nypost Some Knicks fans who already flew into town and booked hotels are reportedly having their tickets canceled at the last minute 😬

Breaking news: President Trump’s name is off the Kennedy Center. The building’s exterior reads “The John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts” once more. wapo.st/4fDvtWg

Please do not send any money to any emails offering partnerships in any of my horses. I am working with authorities and my lawyer on a matter that is a major issue.

Friday night ⚫️ #LGM

Iran war has no end in sight at 100 days, despite Trump’s vow thehill.com/homenews/adminis…

No flagrant upgrade on the uncalled foul of Spurs' Victor Wembanyama to Knicks' Jalen Brunson on Monday night, a league spokesperson tells ESPN. Wembanyama will stay at two flagrant points in postseason.

We have made the following roster moves.

cc: Ron Johnson Do you only lie about the 2020 election when you 𝒌𝒏𝒐𝒘 a camera is turned on?

During WNFM last week, Jonathan Hinze, president of @UxC_Nuclear stated that based on the 'known' growth of nuclear capacity (~400GW today to ~500GW ~2032) he is concerned about the supply chain. When pressed on this, he stated that he is most concerned about "uranium." (1/x)

Fuel prices have soared since last year: Regular gas: 33.2% Diesel: 51.6% Jet Fuel: 62.4%

"We Created a Monster" Iran’s reckless behavior over the last 24 hours, including its threat to attack Israel if Israel strikes Beirut, is a direct consequence of how the recent war ended. Tehran now feels far more confident in its position, believing it successfully withstood military pressure from what it views as the two most powerful militaries in the world: the United States and Israel. This is not a temporary spike in rhetoric. It is part of a broader and more dangerous trend. Iran increasingly sees itself as the patron and protector of its regional proxies, extending what amounts to an informal security umbrella over groups such as Hezbollah and other members of the so-called “Axis of Resistance.” The threat against Israel over Beirut reflects this growing sense of ownership and responsibility for its partners across the region. More importantly, this is further evidence of a profound shift in Iran’s decision-making process following the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. For decades, Khamenei was fundamentally cautious when it came to the direct use of Iranian military power, particularly when the risk of confrontation with the United States was involved. That restraint appears to be fading. We are entering a new era in which Tehran feels stronger, more secure, and increasingly confident in the credibility of its deterrence. Iranian leaders now appear to believe that their willingness to absorb military pressure and survive it, has enhanced rather than weakened their strategic position. The result is a more assertive Iran, a more dangerous Middle East, and a growing risk that future crises will escalate faster and further than anyone anticipated. #iran #IranWar‌

Bob Baffert on Englishman: "I will never run against that horse again. Crude Velocity will never see that horse in the gate again, unless they are going two turns. That was, I mean - wow. . . Crude Velocity was doing so well. I saw that time - that was crazy." (via NYRA notes)

As more tickets were released today, the Game 3 Knicks get-in has plummeted from a high of 11,000 per ticket to $7,700 and dropping.

Series finale ⚾️ #LGM