🚨 PORTFOLIO UPDATE: I bought 2 stocks today 💰
The market punished one for spending too much on AI… and the other for not being AI enough. I’m taking the other side of both, here’s the logic: 👇
🔵
$ORCL $178 down 11% on a BEAT
📊 Numbers: $19.2B rev ✅ | $2.11 EPS vs $1.89 est ✅
🚀 Backlog: $638B RPO, up 363%, bigger than Google’s and Microsoft’s.
😱 The “crime”: $95B capex $40B raise for FY27
💡 Truth: You don’t spend $95B unless demand is kicking the door down. Capacity problem ≠ demand problem.
🟣
$ADBE $222 bought ahead of tonight’s print.
⏰ Earnings: After the bell TODAY
🎯 Bar: $5.82 EPS / $6.45B rev, 13 straight revenue beats.
📉 The “crime”: Down 30% YTD on “AI kills Photoshop” fears.
💡 Truth: 15% EPS growth at multi year low multiples. The AI eats software thesis gets tested tonight, I’m betting on the squeeze.
Fear cuts both ways. Conviction doesn’t. 🧠
⚠️ Options pricing a 9% ADBE move tonight, size accordingly. NFA | DYOR