I think Opendoor could be a $500 stock in the next 5-7 years.
OPEN trades at $4.28 today. Wall Street targets are $2-$20. The architectural-intersection case nobody is pricing: the three-layer tokenization build Kaz Nejatian walked me through at OPEN's Toronto offices, the British Columbia leasehold proof-of-concept that already works at provincial scale, and the four prerequisites — asset-class control, pricing-data depth, vertical integration, operator-class with crypto-native architecture experience — that converge in exactly one publicly-traded operator.
This is the applied case study for the framework piece I published earlier today on tokenization as the fourth capital-markets infrastructure transition.
The math: at conservative probability calibrations, the asymmetric expected value of the position at $4.28 is 25-35x return from current price, against bounded downside at -100%. Same structural pattern as Carvana from single-digits to $487 (~140x), Shopify from $20 IPO to $1,700 (~85x), Tesla from single-digits to $400 (~200x), NVIDIA from single-digits to $150 (~30x) — what stocks capturing architectural transitions in their industries actually look like.
Why I Think OPEN Could Be A $500 Stock [Long OPEN]
open.substack.com/pub/eventh…