"From AGI to ASI": new paper from our team. This report investigates how AI might develop beyond AGI. It describes theoretical limits, potential pathways, and potential bottlenecks. arxiv.org/abs/2606.12683

This was a fantastic conversation with Ian Smith from the Baseline AI @BaselineAI We cover AI, decentralisation, and The Innovation Game youtu.be/kzJXt7SgAwM?feature…

Alright you guys have made it clear what you want $QUIL and then $TIG videos coming up next

pop quiz: why did no one ever remove Google's search moat using "decentralization"?

This ugly reality is staring us right in the face: Americans will have walled AI gardens where we beg for access from a few East India companies, open source will get banned on national security grounds, and 6 billion people who aren't American, aka the rest of the world, will standardized on a Chinese AI stack. Bloated. Broken. Slow. Ugly. There's still time to change it but it's slipping through our fingers like fast running sand. Read this passage below from Bill Gurley because it's about to become our hideous reality if we don't change course quickly. "If a credible Western open frontier player does not emerge, the consequences cascade quickly. This is the inverse of the early Internet wave. In the 2000s and 2010s, Western companies — Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft — dominated globally while China carved out its own walled garden. The AI version flips that dynamic on its head. Without a credible Western open frontier player, the only open models capable of running entire economies are made in China. If U.S. policy further restricts Chinese open-weight access on national-security grounds, the U.S. ends up with two or three closed Cathedrals serving the U.S. market — and the rest of the world picks the AI stack that is free, capable, self-hostable, and not embargoed. Europe, Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin America, India, the Middle East. Roughly six billion people. Chinese open models become the global default by 2030, and the United States ends up technologically isolated from the majority of the world’s AI users. We would have done it to ourselves." Fully essay in replies.

TIG is already positioned to do this. This week John met Thibaut Vidal in London, who owns the vehicle routing challenge on TIG and wrote the algorithm that's been state of the art since 2023. It runs in global logistics, at NASA routing spacecraft through orbit, and in Stanford labs automating pharmaceutical research. Same week, John spoke at AIDDA, the first conference of its kind on AI-assisted algorithm discovery, alongside Sakana AI and Nebius AI, fresh off a $27B Meta deal. TIG was the only crypto project there. Prometheus ran live and the swarm produced a provisional new best on the optimizer challenge. x.com/AIDDA_Institute/status…

Good day to re-post, given the attention on @satyanadella 's latest article x.com/satyanadella/status/20… Sayta first outlined this vision 6 months ago. See clip below.. Naturally, The Innovation Game was onto this a bit earlier.. My first article on the subject x.com/Dr_JohnFletcher/status…

Good day to re-post, given the attention on @satyanadella 's latest article x.com/satyanadella/status/20… Sayta first outlined this vision 6 months ago. See clip below.. The Innovation Game was onto this a bit earlier.. My first article on the subject x.com/Dr_JohnFletcher/status…

I don’t believe in a monopolistic AI future because the decentralization of AI training and inference counterbalances it and removes the moats.