Research Scholar @ GovAI
Joined February 2026
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2 Photos and videos
Jake Steckler retweeted
Jun 11
Experts argue that AI’s military advantage lies less in access to technology than in the capacity to exploit it. foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/10…
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Jake Steckler retweeted
Jun 11
Thoughtful piece on AI, warfare, and foreign policy from my man @JakeASteckler
foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/10…
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Jun 10
There’s a lot of discussion about how the U.S. and China will use frontier AI in their militaries, but comparatively little about everyone else.
Virtually every relevant middle power military is investing in some form of AI, but their approach to general-purpose models is still very much up for grabs.
In @ForeignPolicy I wrote about how middle power militaries may approach adoption of frontier AI, and what that means for U.S. export promotion.
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Jun 10
Second, AI labs are not traditional arms exporters.
Their ethical considerations about military use matter in ways that don’t map neatly onto the old defense-industrial base.
The Anthropic-Pentagon controversy over model use could be a preview of what could happen repeatedly as frontier labs consider deeper integration with other militaries.
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Jun 10
America's longheld position as the world's preeminent arms exporter and as the anchor of allied coordination is at risk.
Whether American technology underpins the next generation of military power may depends on how it navigates these challenges.
Full piece here: foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/10…
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Jake Steckler retweeted
May 18
When units that quietly fail get rewarded and units that report failure get sidelined, you don't get honest feedback. You get a decade of wasted progress. warontherocks.com/2026/05/ar…
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May 18
When I was in middle school, the Army first paired Apache helicopters with drones in Iraq. 20 years later, Army aviation made little to no progress in manned-unmanned teaming.
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May 18
Failing to address these challenges risks another stagnant decade where the tools change but the Army doesn't. Full article here: warontherocks.com/army-aviat…
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Jake Steckler retweeted
May 7
I don't think automation of AI R&D will rapidly lead to domain-general super-intelligence.
I think this will be true even if AIs can do *literally everything* a human AI researcher does today.
Even after the full automation of AI R&D, further capabilities progress will only happen through
(1) widespread deployment of AI throughout the economy, accompanied by data collection; and/or
(2) the wholesale recreation of much of the economy by AI labs.
Without access to the real-world signal provided by either of the above, I think that the only thing produced by automated AI researchers would be a "Goodhart Singularity".
If I'm right, this is obviously good news. I make the case for this in a new piece on my substack
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Jake Steckler retweeted
Ukraine recently started sharing millions of drone videos with allies to train AI models. In @lawfare, @JakeASteckler and I argue it offers useful lessons for middle-power AI strategy.
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Apr 29
Last month, Ukraine announced it would make battlefield data generated from millions of drone videos available for allies to train their AI models.
Ukraine is doing something most of the world's middle powers have failed to do: find leverage in the global AI race.
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Apr 29
While Trump says Ukraine has "no cards," Ukraine is showing other middle powers how to play a weak hand.
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