A few points:
1. President Biden has always been a friend to Israel, but the arms-halt for Rafah is deeply misguided.
Hereâs why:
A. Israelâs leverage on Hamas leaders is that weâre coming to kill them and nobody likes dying.
If you prevent Israel from entering Rafah, youâve taken away Hamas leadersâ incentive to cut a hostage deal.
B. It may create a miscalculation for Hezbollah and the other Jihadists in the neighbourhood.
They might mistakenly think that Israel doesnât have enough arms and ammo-depth, which might tempt them to attack us.
C. If we run short on precision-bombs weâll have to use less precise ones>>more civilians will die.
The precise opposite of everybodyâs intention.
D. A halt sends a message of daylight btwn US and its ally Israel.
Bad here and everywhere.
E. Itâs morally wrong b/c it accepts the false narrative that Israel is supposedly targeting civilians or is nonchalant about civilian death.
If we didnât care weâd bomb the hell out of Gaza and finish this war in 3 days without losing boys in battle.
We just lost 5 boys over the weekend.
The fact is that almost half the Palestinian casualties are of Hamas members.
THAT IS PROBABLY THE LOWEST FIGHTER:CIVILAN DEATH RATIO IN THE HISTORY OF URBAN WARFARE.
2. Israeli government should have captured Rafah and destroyed Hamas four months ago.
Iâve no idea why our government is so slow and seemingly indecisive.
Neither do understand why we pulled out division 98 that had been sealing the Hamas fighters trapped in Rafah. Sort of like removing the lid on a can in which they were trapped, allowing them to disperse all across the Gaza Strip.
3. We canât assume we have endless time.
This wavering is damaging: international pressure building,
Hamas has ample time to boobytrap Rafah and escape to other areas.
Speed and continuity are basic tenets of winning wars.
Stop talking, just do it. FAST.
4. If we accept the premise that civilian death is unacceptable in war, it guarantees that all terror groups in the world will adopt Hamasâ MO of human shields. Many more civilians will die. In NYC, London and Paris.
5. Israeli ministers must stop their petty political postering and infantile rhetoric, and stop causing self inflicted damage.
We in Israel know that itâs all hot air, but people around the world assume that a ministerâs words are serious.
And Israel pays a tangible price for this clownship.
6. Somehow planning for post-Hamas Gaza has become a taboo in our government.
The mere discussion is portrayed as aâsoft lefty defeatistâ thing. Itâs not.
Itâs necessary so that when we capture a certain city (e.g. Han Yunus) in a tough and costly battle, we know who we hand it over to and who runs it.
This ensures that Hamas will not re-enter the moment we leave, thus causing us to have to fight 3-4 times to recapture the same place(!).
We can decide to keep Israeli temporary admin, or local Palestinian, or other options. But we need to decide SOMETHING.
Who fills the void.
Otherwise by default itâs Hamas, the worst of all options. And thatâs whatâs happening right now.
Thats like mopping water up a slanted floor just to have the water keep sliding down.
I think Israelâs leadership shuns this for (mistaken) political reasons.
So our government must get over it.
Bottom line:
Weâve lost precious time, but this is still winnable.
Israeli government must decide at last what it wants.
If we want to defeat Hamas, then letâs do it.
US should support Israel and if anything, urge its leadership to act more decisively and faster so we finish this ASAP.