*** NEW PAPER ALERT ***
Led by our rockstar, Leonard (Assistant Prof.
@UCIrvine), in collaboration with an international team, just published in
@Nature. The first
#global assessment of
#Land Subsidence in
#Deltas,
#drivers, and
#socioeconomic impacts. Congratulations to Leonard and team for this groundbreaking work!
@vtgeosciences @UNUINWEH @EOI_lab @HIRSlab
Pub Link:
nature.com/articles/s41586-0…
🌍 Major Takeaways: Global Subsidence of River Deltas
• River deltas are sinking worldwide.
Over half of global delta land areais already subsiding—many at rates faster than sea-level rise.
• Subsidence is often the dominant driver of flooding risk.
In 18 of 40 major deltas, land is sinking faster than oceans are rising.
• This is happening now—not in the distant future.
Some deltas are sinking 2–10× faster than projected climate-driven sea-level rise this century.
• Groundwater pumping is the biggest culprit.
Among all human activities, groundwater extraction is the strongest driverof delta subsidence globally.
• Urban growth and sediment starvation make it worse.
Dams, levees, and rapid urbanization reduce sediment supply and increase land loading—accelerating sinking.
• Hundreds of millions are already affected.
About 236 million peoplelive in deltas where subsidence outpaces sea-level rise.
• The most vulnerable people live the lowest.
Of the 76 million people living below 1 m elevation, 84% are in rapidly sinking areas.
• Subsidence is highly uneven—even within the same delta.
Cities and infrastructure can sink much faster than surrounding rural areas, creating localized disaster hotspots.
• Climate adaptation plans are missing a key variable.
Most global risk assessments focus on sea-level rise—but ignore vertical land motion, underestimating real risk.
• The good news: subsidence is actionable.
Unlike sea-level rise, human-driven subsidence can be slowedthrough groundwater regulation, managed aquifer recharge, and sediment management.
• Failing to act now locks in irreversible risk.
Ignoring subsidence undermines flood defenses, adaptation investments, and long-term delta habitability.