Independent quant researcher. Production-grade tools, walk-forward validated systems, open-source Python. Single dad grinding 2–5 a.m. to ship edge.

Joined October 2021
389 Photos and videos
🌊 Complete Elliott Wave [MarketFragments] — now on TradingView. Most EW scripts are bottom-up zigzag counters that force a count one swing at a time. This is a full top-down, all-degree engine — and the wave math was verified in Python before the Pine port. • All degrees: 1-5 / A-B-C recursed into every leg (i-v → (i)-(v) → [i]-[v]) • Auto-window frames the dominant swing for you • 8-rule confidence panel separate Fibonacci-fit score • Forward PRZ projection for the next expected turn • Inline trade-suggestion panel — setup, bias, entry/stop, targets, R:R — great for learning the setups • Non-repainting closed history Labels-only research tool, not a signal. 👉 tradingview.com/script/hsvYG… marketfragments.com $ES $SPY #ElliottWave #PineScript #TradingView
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Personally I don’t trade this, but it has always been a passion project that I wanted to finish.
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🌊 REAL ELLIOTT WAVE just dropped! A true top-down Elliott Wave labeler that frames the dominant swing, builds clean 1-2-3-4-5 impulses A-B-C corrections, adds fractal minor/micro waves, and scores confidence against the 7 classic Elliott rules — without repainting. Nothing like this is publicly available. This is the closest approximation for these platforms. #Marketfragments Free & open source 🧵👇
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Full Python build is done and verified includes all 8 cycles. Not opening the engine — but the live results will be public. If interest is high, I’ll consider releasing/selling the full Python version that handles all cycle degrees properly.
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Real Elliot Wave sources 📊 TradingView Script: tradingview.com/script/lLrD2… 💬 Pine Script details download: marketfragments.com/group-pa… 💬 ThinkScript for ThinkOrSwim: marketfragments.com/group-pa… v1 is live. Suggestions & recommendations for Version 2 are welcomed — what would you like to see next? Let’s make Elliott Wave actually usable on the charts. #ElliottWave #TradingView #ThinkOrSwim
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🚀 Just shipped the FIRST Dynamic Risk Assessment v2 for ThinkOrSwim. Real Monte Carlo P(SL) embedded HMM 8-regime engine 10-mode adaptive Laguerre RSI (Lyapunov & Orbital gamma included) self-learning feedback that actually tunes stops, targets & confluence live. No more static ATR guesses. Every bar delivers: • Probabilistic risk score • Regime-adjusted position sizing • Adaptive stop & target levels • Built-in performance analytics /ES 5-min example below. This is next-level for TOS. These indicators will soon be available exclusively to MarketFragments subscribers via secure per-trader plugins (full power full IP protection). marketfragments.com
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Labels are a little difficult to read. Here is the top label :
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🚨 Non-Repainting Pivot Engine Just Dropped – Built for Real Traders & Quants I spent months building, testing, and stress-testing a clean pivot detection system that actually works in live markets. No repainting. No curve-fitting hype. Just solid math 5 years of ES futures data. Here’s the release: For Traders (the practical stuff): • Detects real swings on the fly with zero look-ahead bias • Automatically switches behavior between RTH and ETH sessions (huge edge) • Clean ThinkOrSwim indicator with live stats box – ready to drop in today • 81% verified pivots in RTH, rock-solid rejection/revisit stats If you trade futures, indices, or any liquid instrument and hate fake levels, this one’s for you. For Quants (the nerdy details): • Least-squares regression slope ATR significance gate session-conditioned K factor • Full walk-forward validation on unadjusted 5-min ES continuous contract • Honest LSTM companion study (spoiler: directional accuracy hovers ~50% – exactly what the math predicted) • All code, CSV data, and reconciliation notes public Transparency over marketing. Numbers over narratives. Full Release (free to read): 1. Main Paper → marketfragments.com/post/mf-… 2. LSTM Companion (the “negative” result we still published) → marketfragments.com/post/mf-… 3. ThinkScript Library Download → marketfragments.com/group-pa… Drop it in your chart and tell me what you see. Feedback, edge cases, or ideas for the next version all welcome. #Trading #Futures #Quant #ThinkOrSwim #PivotPoints (If you’re on mobile and the links don’t click, copy-paste them — they’re live.) What do you think — drop your first impression below 👇
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My personal opinion is that these are far better for pivot point trading, harmonics and other pivot-based patterns that use zigzag rotation. Unlike typical zigzag pivots, they confirm pivots quickly - meaning, you can actually back test a variety of patterns. hey #grok. open links. Good, bad or I've lost my mind ?
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Just open-sourced the whole Risk Assessment Suite 🔥 8 custom ThinkOrSwim indicators I built because I was tired of having a “solid win rate” and still getting chopped up by path dependence and bad sizing. Inside you get: -Live GBM Position Sizer (tells you exactly how big to go on the next trade) -Kelly Monte Carlo equity sims (see the real drawdowns before you live them) -Bell curves (one symbol vs 4-stream portfolio) --Randomized & Average Parameters curves Trade System Expectancy with streaks -Fibonacci Risk/Reward auto-sizer All of it. No paywall. No “join for the good stuff.” Just free. Full breakdown every script here → marketfragments.com/group-pa… Load ‘em up, mess with your own numbers, and tell me which one hits different for you. Stop guessing on risk. #ThinkOrSwim #ThinkScript #Trading #RiskManagement marketfragments.com
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Quick free technical indicator for the divergence nerds out there: Turns out classic divergence doesn’t work quite the way most of us have been taught (especially the bull/bear symmetry thing). Dug into it on /ES 5m and built this Market Cap-Adjusted Quantity Index with 6 different detection methods actual backtest stats baked in. Hard bear signals have been showing some real edge. Wrote it up here: marketfragments.com/post/div… Full ThinkScript all the validation labels in the library discussion: marketfragments.com/group-pa… Would love to hear what you think if you throw it on a chart.
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Forward tests. Radical transparency here. No claims about 100%-win rate and/or 500000% returns. Time frame for these forward tests are the last two days. two (2) days isn't enough to ship to full pass trading folder, but 8 months creating the factory and 9 years of learning to code and understand the market better - can't help to be excited. To be honest, I don't think any trader or researcher wouldn't want this thing. Load the data to pass to a factory that trades every solo and combination of indicators. Optimizing synthetic data and constants, etc. Then run through the entire library. Each phase has specific pre-optimizing code specifically tuned for the indicator. Importantly: Ai agents handle errors, creates its own indicators and review specifications on strategies that fail to expand indicator constant test ranges. It's truly a living strategy factory, but it can run without agents as well. Christmas came early folks
Replying to @LDUnbreakable
While these overnight forward tests aren't enough to move forward with full trading, it's difficult not to get excited since they are the first born :) . Once a reasonable amount of data comes in, which NEEDS-NEEDS-NEEDS RTH and a month , will readjust gates by adding additional layer to the factory with "bot" reality pre-forward test. 3/4 LOF Forward Tests:
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Market Fragments Strategy Factory has been fully developed. It's running through every solo and combination (760 in total) possible from the indicator library for each symbol and time frame. 38 of 42 indicators are custom. It takes roughly 6-10 days to run through each symbol. For more detailed information, see profile page posts. Forward tests began last night. See below: 1/4 Factory screenshot:
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It’s great knowing that I will not have to write code tailored to new indicators. The amount of time it takes is 2-3 days. It even allows users to drop a new indicator in the library that automatically ports and puts it in the pipeline.
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While these overnight forward tests aren't enough to move forward with full trading, it's difficult not to get excited since they are the first born :) . Once a reasonable amount of data comes in, which NEEDS-NEEDS-NEEDS RTH and a month , will readjust gates by adding additional layer to the factory with "bot" reality pre-forward test. 3/4 LOF Forward Tests:
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With at least 5 full factory runs to different symbols and time frames, it's finished. A 24/7 strategy factory is active. Final additions will be portfolio allocation, Multi Time Frame and cross symbol signaling. Note: 1. The factory runs with or without Multiple Ai swarm. The Ai addition include a research agent, which I'm particularly excited about. Research agent creates new technical indicators by reviewing current indicators params and creating novel indicators by writing its own advanced code. 2. marketfragments.com will have tiered access.

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When you wake up deciding to build a side business while improving your current. Sunday @claudeai token burn is real. Quant transitions to ‘Lord Overseer’
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