Hedge fund allocator on an island. Got 99 problems but backtested returns ain’t one.
Joined August 2019
- Tweets 14,589
- Following 1,871
- Followers 4,752
- Likes 41,997
2,874 Photos and videos
Identifying and owning the bottlenecks of the AI build-out, China edition.
1
6
1,092
Gm from white picket fence America 🇺🇸
2
7
703
Just when I thought it was getting late...
1
1
12
3,124
Wow. That’s some serious commitment. Not a good era to be bearish AI. Goes on to say:
“The idea is to rely on local suppliers including Huawei Technologies Co. for at least 80% of technology such as AI chips, effectively squeezing out $NVDA and $AMD”
7
2
21
4,256
Idorsia refinanziert Schulden und verlängert Liquiditätsreichweite brnw.ch/21x3bWl
2
4
3,014
Barely Investible Capital Management Ltd retweeted
Jun 5
Barium Titanate consumption will go up a lot more
Check out NCI as well
Sakai Chemical 4078 seeing delectric materials used in MLCCs for AI data centers 2x-3x in revs, per transcript. Electronic materials are 10% of total sales, around 20% segment margins. Trades around 15x ev/ebit and 1x p/b, with Zennor (9.3%) expected to make proposals to mgmt.
6
11
127
27,180
Taps sign. The irony might be that it’s irrelevant for oil and risk assets cause after a while nobody gaf.
Middle East ceasefires almost never resolve the underlying conflict, they freeze it. Both parties tend to use ceasefires as pauses to rearm, regroup, or reposition politically.
Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk.
3
609
Positioning is crowded, markets ran hard, this is no suprise.
I would not rush to conflate macro, flow & technical signals with a fundamental AI thesis break though. Completely different set of indicators to watch (AI capex, token spend, frontier lab runrates, memory prices).
6
630
Remember guys, if it flies, floats or fucks.
Rent it.
Sentosa Marina Fire #SentosaFire
25
45
462
118,818
Barely Investible Capital Management Ltd retweeted
Harvesting risk premia: “haha! Yes!!! I’m so smart! Fuck you Taleb!!!”
Finding out why it’s a risk premia: “AAAAAHHHHHHHH”
11
33
548
26,857
More Serenity followers have China A Shares access than I would've guessed...
2
13
1,917
This time is different?
3
4
34
11,020
Like I said, Colombia will likely swing to the right and pro US. It’s the desired outcome for the current US administration but more importantly most Colombians are sick and tired of leftist policies under Petro.
This ties in with the 2nd catalyst that Petro's party will not win reelection. I'm sure as hell the US will not allow anyone other than a US friendly right leaning candidate to win. And if not, well we know what will happen. So I think Colombia shifts to the right also.
2
683
Goldman: In May, Asia focused Fundamental L/S managers recorded their second largest monthly returns in a decade ( 10.2%), only behind April returns. Alpha continues to be the main driver of returns with asset selection, short and medium-term momentum, Info Tech tilts.
7
917
Musk runs Tesla like a Hong Kong family conglomerate: voting control demanded beyond his stake, related-party tangles across SpaceX/xAI/X, a board Delaware ruled captured, and minorities told to like it or leave. The tycoon model, just in English and in space.
1
1
16
1,493
Panasonic about to clear a 26 year ceiling in a massive breakout. Anyway, no biggie, not like Japanese traders are into technical analysis or charts or anything.
2
10
2,936
🇯🇵Japan on fire again.
Ibiden and Nippon Chemical Industrial also flying, Sakai Chemical taking a breather.
What breaks this market?
2
2
647
22-100 layer high-end PCBs for AI servers 1.6T network switches, 12-15% global market share in high-speed switch applications (60% of revenue), already in volume on 1.6T, technical reserves for 3.2T. Customers: Google, Meta, broader TPU ecosystem.
9
1,687