I don’t think GBP/USD strength in 2025 was driven by UK issues; I think it was largely about US trade policy.
But we look to have convergence of two things right now: 1. markets increasingly unfazed by tariff news flow and 2. evidence that UK economy is dipping.
Hard to see much further GBP/USD strength and I continue to be overweight high quality US equities in my portfolio.
Yes the US has its own debt issue but its growth is a bit of a get out of jail card. UK does not - yet - have a growth card to play.