At current trajectory, Hamas will die in 2027. In the past several weeks, major changes have forced me to bring this to light.
Hamas is dying because it lost control over the financial system almost completely. In 2027, Hamas will not have any means to collect money from Gazans to fund itself.
Not only this, the UNRWA has began suspending Hamas affiliated workers including 72 which were fired several days ago without recourse.
The bank of Palestine has been suspending en masse all digital wallets affiliated with hamas operatives and their affiliates. Effectively, Hamas lost the ability to trade because it lost the means to even accept payment.
Lastly, all Gazans are now forced to have a digital ID. This ID means you have to present yourself in person to your bank so you can be issued one. If you dont, you are unable to bank.
If we add the network effects for this and do the maths, Hamas has 3-12 months to die. Without cash, Hamas dies.
Frankly, unless Hamas comes up with a financial miracle, I cannot see them surviving this financial war.
This model is also set to be exported to Syria and Lebanon next year.
Unless Syria enters the war and China goes for Taiwan war in 2027, Hamas will die before that.
FYI hamas guys are not self aware of this disaster but their bosses are.
I am sad to have been always right about this. Hamas was stupid and maybe it deserves to die anyway.