Tak o tom přesně mluvím, i když na rozdíl od autora si myslím že baterie se budou kanibalizovat také
Solar capture rates are falling across Europe.
In Spain, the monthly average briefly fell below 10% of average market prices earlier this year.
In Germany, they have been among the weakest on the continent for years.
This is not a sudden step change. Solar deployment has grown steadily, but the revenue impact is accelerating.
That non-linearity is the story: as more capacity connects, prices compress faster than capacity grows.
A few things stand out from our latest data:
The trend is sharpening. Capture rates tracked fairly closely to 100% until around mid-2023. Since then, the divergence has widened materially across the six markets below.
Seasonality matters. In Spain, a sharp winter dip precedes the air-conditioning season, when demand lifts prices back up.
GB is holding up better than most. But even wind-influenced Great Britain is not immune to the trend.
What this means for storage is significant - every £/€ lost in solar capture could be value that flexible assets can arbitrage.
The wider the spread between low-capture solar hours and high-demand periods, the stronger the case for co-located or standalone BESS.