La guerre en Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 a désormais dépassé la durée de la Première Guerre mondiale et pourrait encore durer plusieurs années. Voici ce qu’il faut savoir en juin 2026 de ce conflit généralisé aux portes de l’Europe 🇪🇺 qui n'en finit plus. 🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️

1: I lost friends over giving the JCPOA an “A” and … god damn it … I hope this clusterfuck causes some people to rethink their approach to assessing diplomatic solutions. It was, given the constraints, basically a miracle.

Daily Ukraine map thread for Monday 15th June 2026 Kyiv and other cities were struck by numerous missiles last night. Whilst most of the footage was of attacks on the Lavra, it looks like a Firepoint drone production or assembly facility was hit somewhere judging by some of the photos going around of stacked wing spars in wreckage. As always, loose lips sink ships and all that - if you're hearing it from us, that means it's long gone public ready. The Ukrainian midstrike and long range campaign continues apace. Numerous units from across the spectrum show destroyed vehicles. The lesser shown off short range drones are still destroying many many vehicles, as demonstrated by a Russian quad driving a short distance towards Hulyaipole coming across at least 17 wrecks. No BDA from Rybinsk Strategic Oil Reserve yet, but Tamanneftegaz shows three further large oil tanks destroyed. Plenty more to go.

I think most governments have assessed that. Certainly that is the case in Europe. To most of us it is clear that he has the mental level of a very immature child in its most narcisistic phase of childhood. Dementia and his malevolent and cynical nature, does not help.

Firefighter Oleksandra Shchebilova, a recent recruit to the State Emergency Service, is among those injured in a double-tap strike on Kharkiv overnight on June 15. News was shared by the National University of Civil Protection of Ukraine, from which Oleksandra graduated earlier this year. ​young woman lost her right arm and is currently hospitalized.

🇺🇦 Greetings from a living Kyiv! 🔽 “The bells are ringing in the Lavra, which means everything will keep working. Everything is alive, just like the city of Kyiv.” — Ukrainian blogger Michael Sheitelman reporting from the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra after the Russian terrorist attack

That's what these MAGA creatures do not understand. War is politics. If you destroy more of the enemy, that is almost irrelevant if you end up losing politically. And clearly Iran,a despicable regime,won as expected. It should not take an expert like Tom to explain that really.

Spoke with a SAAB representative for the GL-SDB project which told me that all contracted missiles have been delivered to Ukraine and that no new other has been placed so far. The initial poor performance of the system came both from its extremely short development period and lack of proper training for the end user. By the time the system had been dialled in the Russians had gotten to a point that they could easily jam the GPS guidance of the GBU-39 which Boeing is now working to solve.

Yesterday, alongside the state-owned enterprise ‘Kombinat Temp’, the ‘Palkino’ oil pumping station—which facilitates the export of Russian oil via the port of Primorsk in the Leningrad Oblast—was also hit. Both sites are currently still ablaze. In fact, this is what we wrote about earlier. The defunding of terrorists continues.

Sytuacja w rejonie: Iskra - Nowoseliwka (Pokrowske). Pewien etap walk w rejonie Konstantynówki można uznać za zakończony. Czas więc zająć się ukraińską akcją zaczepną w rejonie Piddubne – Oleksandrohrad, która ma rzekomo tak rygorystyczny OPSEC, że w efekcie nikt nie jest w stanie napisać o niej niczego szczegółowego. Sprzyja to przedstawianiu jej jako wielkiej operacji ofensywnej, którą w rzeczywistości nie jest. Ale po kolei. W kwietniu 2026 roku Zgrupowanie Wojsk "Wschód", działając na skraju swojego prawego skrzydła siłami 69 Brygady Osłonowej oraz 336 Pułku Piechoty Morskiej ze składu 120 Dywizji Piechoty Morskiej, przeprowadziło akcję zaczepną przeciwko ukraińskiemu XX Korpusowi. W jej wyniku Rosjanie zdobyli Oleksandrohrad oraz tereny na północny zachód od niego, odrzucając za rzekę Wowczę broniący wsi 3 batalion zmech 141 Brygady Zmechanizowanej. Następnie, wykorzystując ten sukces, rosyjski 336 Pułk Piechoty Morskiej utworzył na północny-zachód od Oleksandrohradu niewielki przyczółek na zachodnim brzegu Wowczy, obejmujący fragment Rezerwatu Leśnego "Nowopawłowski Las". Sytuacja ta wywołała zaniepokojenie gen. Syrskiego i Sztabu Generalnego. Z tego względu podjęto decyzję o przygotowaniu i przeprowadzeniu kontrakcji zaczepnej w celu zlikwidowania rosyjskiego przyczółka na zachodnim brzegu Wowczy oraz odrzucenia sił przeciwnika z rejonu Oleksandrohradu. Na początku maja 2026 roku w rejon Iskra – Nowoseliwka przerzucono tradycyjną ukraińską „straż pożarną”, czyli jednostki powietrznodesantowe i szturmowe. W rejonie Iskry rozmieszczono 2 batalion 80 Brygady Desantowo-Szturmowej. W rejonie Nowosiłki skoncentrowano elementy 2 i 13 batalionu 95 Brygady Desantowo-Szturmowej oraz 1 batalion szturmowy z 425 Pułku Szturmowego „Skala”. Wsparcie ogniowe akcji zaczepnej miał dać jeden z bat 414 Brygady Systemów Bezzałogowych "Ptaki Madziara" oraz elementy 55 Brygady Artylerii. Około 12–15 maja 2026 roku opisane wyżej zgrupowanie uderzeniowe rozpoczęło działania zaczepne. Pododdziały 2 batalionu 80 Brygady Desantowo-Szturmowej uderzyły wzdłuż drogi Iskra – Piddubne w prawe skrzydło 336 Pułku Piechoty Morskiej. Po kilku tygodniach walk ukraińskim spadochroniarzom udało się wedrzeć do miejscowości Piddubne oraz posunąć o kilka kilometrów na południowy wschód w kierunku Oleksandrohradu. W tym samy czasie elementy 2 batalionu 95 Brygady Desantowo-Szturmowej nacierały na pozycje 69 Brygady Osłonowej w rejonie na płd od Oleksandrohradu i w okolicach końca maja wdarły się od zachodu do Woskresenki. Z kolei wspierający to natarcie 1. batalion szturmowy 425. Pułku „Skala” wyparł Rosjan z rejonu miejscowości Sicznewe. W ten sposób Ukraińcy stworzyli warunki do próby okrążenia wojsk rosyjskich broniących rejonu Oleksandrohradu, lub zmuszenia ich pod jego groźba do opuszczenia przyczółka na zachodnim brzegu Wowczy i wycofania się w rejon Komaru. Czas pokaże, czy ten plan zostanie w pełni zrealizowany.

On February 28, President Trump laid out five military objectives for the US war with Iran: - “Destroy Iran’s missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground.” - “Annihilate Iran’s navy.” - “Ensure that Iran’s terrorist proxies can no longer destabilize the region or the world and attack our forces.” - “Ensure that Iran does not obtain a nuclear weapon.” - Prevent Iran from using “IEDs or roadside bombs, as they are sometimes called, to so gravely wound and kill thousands and thousands of people, including many Americans.” Three-and-a-half months later, the US has achieved none of these objectives. - According to US intelligence assessments, Iran has retained roughly 70% of its prewar missile stockpile and mobile launchers. Iran’s missile and drone production infrastructure also remains largely intact. - US intelligence also concludes that Iran’s nuclear capacity remains broadly unchanged since last summer, with Iran still needing roughly a year to build a bomb. - While the U.S. succeeded in significantly damaging Iran’s conventional navy, it did not weaken Iran’s capacity to impose maritime costs or disrupt ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. - Iranian proxies (specifically Hezbollah) are still destabilizing the region. - The threat from Iranian IEDs no longer exists because US troops have been out of Iraq for 15 years. Indeed, the agreement reached this weekend with Iran only requires Tehran to reopen the Straits of Hormuz to maritime traffic ... an issue that arose solely BECAUSE of the war. Then there are the enormous direct and indirect costs of the war. After only three months, the war has cost the United States at least $30 billion in direct costs and the U.S. economy hundreds of billions in indirect costs. It has killed and wounded U.S. servicemembers, damaged U.S. bases, depleted scarce munitions, raised energy prices, strained relations with partners, and left Washington scrambling to restore the status quo it disrupted. Even if there were tangible benefits to the war, the costs would more than outweigh them. Even worse, the war empowered Iranian hard-liners, demonstrated its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and, in turn, the global economy, and, because of the depletion of America's weapons stockpiles, has made it more difficult for the US to respond to future military crises. This is worse than a failure. It is a strategic calamity. Read the comprehensive report that we published at the Stimson Center earlier this month on the disaster that is the Iran War. stimson.org/2026/is-the-iran…

❗️Poland has paused the transfer of MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine pending an agreement on drone technologies. Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk said Warsaw wants to benefit from Ukrainian experience with drone swarms and interceptor UAVs. Earlier reports indicated Poland was prepared to transfer nine MiG-29s as part of a broader defense cooperation arrangement. #Poland

Bulava loitering munition strike on the Russian fuel truck on the road between Nova Kakhovka and Melotopol

It's the cultural currency of the likes of Idi Amin and Muammar Khadaffi. A vulgar display of Roman reenactment that the German nazis did much better/grandiose and with far, far more style. Banana Republic display.

As Ukrainian strikes on Russia's oil infrastructure continue, the fuel crisis appears to be spreading across the country. Long queues at gas stations are now forming even along the highway connecting Moscow and St. Petersburg.

During the week from 00:00 AM 08.06.2026 to 23:59 PM 14.06.2026, the Unmanned Systems Forces Group units struck 11 297 unique enemy targets. • 2125 enemy personnel, 1082 of whom were eliminated • 497 UAV pilot positions • 742 vehicles • 354 motorbikes/buggy • 96 artillery systems • 5 tanks • 37 units of armored vehicles • 2699 enemy unmanned aerial vehicles (of the "quadcopter", "shahed-type", and "wing-type" varieties) USF: One step ahead!

Zelenskyy: Putin did not want uncomfortable questions while greeting President Trump on his birthday. So first he greeted him, as usual, cynically. Then attacked Ukraine. Journalist: What would you say to Putin after attack on Kyiv Lavra? Zelenskyy: We'll say more later.

“En Rusia existe una sacralización del Estado. La gente ha estado tradicionalmente dispuesta a renunciar a su libertad individual por la gloria del Estado, del zar o del imperio: vivimos mal, pero al menos oprimimos a otros y podemos estar orgullosos colectivamente como gran potencia”. elmundo.es/internacional/202… Entrevisto en Tallin a Yaroslav Trofimov, escritor y corresponsal de guerra ucraniano que tras una larga carrera se topó con la desgracia de cubrir una guerra en su casa. "Estar en Kiev con mi chaleco antibalas fue casi un insulto personal". "El frente ahora es una zona mortal donde nadie puede actuar por los drones" "El mayor error de Rusia fue no entender que la nación ucraniana existe. No es un concepto artificial. Y la nación ucraniana que existía en 2022 no era la misma de 1991, ni la que Putin quizá recordaba de sus viajes de juventud a Ucrania”. #Lennartmericonference