I suspect you are correct to a degree, but that’s different than oncogenic. According to historical precedent it will take 10-20 years since the discovery of SARS-Cov-2 to conclude whether it causes cancer:
From ChatGPT:
How many years since the discovery of HPV and other oncogenic viruses did it take for the scientific community to reach consensus that they cause cancer (ie are oncogenic)? Please give dates of discovery and consensus for each oncogenic virus.
Response:
The discovery and consensus on the oncogenic properties of viruses varied for different viruses. Here are some examples:
1Human papillomavirus (HPV): HPV was discovered in the 1970s, and initial evidence linking HPV to cervical cancer was published in the 1980s. However, it wasn't until the 1990s that the scientific community reached a consensus that certain types of HPV are a major cause of cervical cancer.
2Hepatitis B virus (HBV): HBV was discovered in the 1960s, and by the 1970s, evidence had emerged linking chronic HBV infection to liver cancer. It wasn't until the 1980s, however, that the scientific community reached a consensus that HBV is a definite cause of liver cancer.
3Hepatitis C virus (HCV): HCV was discovered in the late 1980s, and evidence linking HCV to liver cancer emerged soon thereafter. It wasn't until the 1990s, however, that the scientific community reached a consensus that HCV is a definite cause of liver cancer.
4Human T-lymphotropic virus type 1 (HTLV-1): HTLV-1 was discovered in the early 1980s, and evidence linking HTLV-1 to adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATL) emerged soon thereafter. It wasn't until the 1990s, however, that the scientific community reached a consensus that HTLV-1 is a definite cause of ATL.
It is important to note that the process of establishing causality for a virus and cancer can take many years and involves extensive research, including epidemiological, clinical, and laboratory studies.