Day Trader | $BTC | @ParagonDen | TA-Focused • Patterns • Waves • Liquidity | High-Quality Market Updates & Trade Setups
Joined July 2025
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Jun 4
$BTC is Approaching My Spot Buys Zone
The plan has been clear from the very beginning. I did not change my bias, I did not buy into the FOMO, and I did not deviate from the plan.
Now it's time to start scaling in, loading heavy, and positioning for the next 2-4 years. The prices Bitcoin is trading at right now will likely never be seen again in the future, which makes anything in this region a solid opportunity for long-term investment.
Personally, I like being precise because lower entries = higher rewards. While I still believe a max pain scenario could take us into the 37k region, I will be starting to accumulate spot below 60k.
The reason is simple: below 60k, we're entering the bottoming zone.
Maybe the bottom forms at 58k.
Maybe it forms between 49k-42k.
Maybe we get the full flush into 37k.
But regardless of where the exact bottom ends up being, one thing I'm highly confident about is that anything below 60k is part of the accumulation range.
Whether it takes weeks or months, I expect this region to form a bottom and eventually reverse back to the upside.
Feb 5
Decided to take more profits from my Swing Short on $BTC after catching a 25k drop without taking any partials along the way.
The reason for taking profits here is simple: the trend is showing clear exhaustion, and we’re now retesting the previous All-Time High. There’s a high chance we hold this level, bounce, and eventually move into a consolidation phase around this area.
Instead of holding the full position, I’m prioritizing securing profits and waiting for pullbacks. From there, I’ll decide whether to add back to the Short depending on PA.
I have also placed Spot Buy Limit at 58.8k-54.5k region, with adds extending all the way down to 37.6k.
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$BTC
Going into the next week, I'm observing these two scenarios that are likely to play out:
The first scenario is where we reject from the Daily FVG / Weekly Bearish Continuation region between 64.7k-65.7k. This area is currently a major liquidity pool, and I expect it to be taken out.
If we manage to reclaim 65.7k, then a push towards 68.2k will come into play. That level is where we have the current Quarterly Open, and a rejection from there is quite likely considering we dumped aggressively at the start of the month.
Whenever we see an aggressive move on a Monthly Open, whether it's a pump or a dump, we usually see some form of pullback or accumulation around the middle of the month before continuing in the broader direction.
That's pretty much what I'm expecting to play out this month.
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Jun 12
$BTC | 2W
This kind of sell pressure doesn't look good. We swept the previous low and then closed below the bodies of the previous candles, showing continued weakness.
The current candle is now struggling to reclaim the 2W open level, which suggests there is still selling pressure present in the market.
That being said, I wouldn't rule out a retest of the 65.7k region. However, if we fail to reclaim that level, then a move towards 54.5k-48.8k becomes the most likely scenario before the end of the month.
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Jun 12
bitcoin:native
A reclaim of 63.7k will likely push the price up towards the Wave 4 Fib Levels but as long as we are rejecting 63.7k, We will stay inside this range.
However if we do breakout of this range then I'm looking for a retest of 68.2k region where we have the Quarterly open and a good amount of untapped imbalance as well.
Now Wave 4 could also be shallow and complete anywhere between 64.7k and 66.3k region, However I personally think it would make more sense to tap into the 68.2k region.
Once we have the Wave 4 completed, I'm expecting a dump all the down to the 54.5k region where we have the first POI for Wave 5.
Jun 12
$BTC
We are forming another compressed range after sweeping the previous low, which has historically led to further continuation in similar situations.
When we sweep or tap into a significant key area, the reaction from that level is what determines whether it will hold or fail. A simple thing to keep in mind is that if a level is going to hold, it will usually provide a strong V-shaped reversal.
The longer we continue ranging around a key area, the higher the chances of losing that area become. Given that we dumped right after the Monthly Candle opened, it's likely that we continue ranging for a while, sweep some liquidity towards the upside, and then eventually resume the move back to the downside.
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Jun 12
$BTC
We are forming another compressed range after sweeping the previous low, which has historically led to further continuation in similar situations.
When we sweep or tap into a significant key area, the reaction from that level is what determines whether it will hold or fail. A simple thing to keep in mind is that if a level is going to hold, it will usually provide a strong V-shaped reversal.
The longer we continue ranging around a key area, the higher the chances of losing that area become. Given that we dumped right after the Monthly Candle opened, it's likely that we continue ranging for a while, sweep some liquidity towards the upside, and then eventually resume the move back to the downside.
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Jun 11
TP'ed 25% Here From My $BTC Long
I'll take more profits around 65.2k-65.7k region and leave a runner for a final TP at 68.2k
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Jun 11
$BTC | Update (4H)
Held the 60.7k support and now we're slowly pushing back towards the upside. The structure here is looking quite favorable for bullish continuation as well.
Looking for a sweep of 64.2k, where we previously created EQH's. This area also sits right below the daily FVG at 65.7k, making it a nice liquidity pocket that we can potentially tap into.
Right now, we are rejecting from a LTF S/R level, which we need to flip for continuation towards the upside. Failure to flip this level could result in a revisit of the daily open region before taping into the liquidity zone above us at 65k's.
Jun 10
$BTC | Update (4H)
We saw a bearish breakout from the symmetrical triangle and are now moving towards the 50% Wick Fill region of the last weekly candle, where we have some untested liquidity as well as a Long Limit that got front-ran earlier.
I still expect that long to be filled. However, the risk on that position is only 0.25%, and it's also acting as a hedge against my short, so it's basically risk-free.
Although I am leaning more bullish for the rest of the month, I still need confirmation of that BIAS, which a bounce from 60.7k would provide.
Losing 60.7k will open room for lower prices, bringing 58.9k into the picture. Given that the Daily trend is showing signs of exhaustion, it's very likely that we hold the 60.7k-58.9k region and start recovering back towards the upside.
However, exhaustion does not always mean reversal. Sometimes the market can slowly bleed lower while hunting liquidity on both sides, leading to extremely choppy conditions. This type of price action is commonly seen near major tops and bottoms.
Considering that we are getting closer to a macro bottom, a slow and choppy bleed to the downside is not something to ignore. If that scenario starts playing out, then the 54.5k-49k region will become the next downside target.
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Jun 10
$BTC Short we took inside the Discord reached 6R and is currently working as a hedge against the Long.
Jun 10
Free Discord For More Trades & Updates:
discord.gg/xymzvBJa
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Jun 10
$BTC | Update (4H)
We saw a bearish breakout from the symmetrical triangle and are now moving towards the 50% Wick Fill region of the last weekly candle, where we have some untested liquidity as well as a Long Limit that got front-ran earlier.
I still expect that long to be filled. However, the risk on that position is only 0.25%, and it's also acting as a hedge against my short, so it's basically risk-free.
Although I am leaning more bullish for the rest of the month, I still need confirmation of that BIAS, which a bounce from 60.7k would provide.
Losing 60.7k will open room for lower prices, bringing 58.9k into the picture. Given that the Daily trend is showing signs of exhaustion, it's very likely that we hold the 60.7k-58.9k region and start recovering back towards the upside.
However, exhaustion does not always mean reversal. Sometimes the market can slowly bleed lower while hunting liquidity on both sides, leading to extremely choppy conditions. This type of price action is commonly seen near major tops and bottoms.
Considering that we are getting closer to a macro bottom, a slow and choppy bleed to the downside is not something to ignore. If that scenario starts playing out, then the 54.5k-49k region will become the next downside target.
Jun 9
bitcoin:native
Observing the same key areas mentioned in the last update.
As of now, we are trading inside a symmetrical triangle, which is generally considered a neutral chart pattern. This means the probability of a breakout in either direction is roughly 50/50.
If we get a bearish breakout, then I expect a move down towards the 60.7k region. That level needs to hold if we want to see continuation towards the upside.
Lose 60.7k, and 58.9k will be next.
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Jun 9
bitcoin:native
Observing the same key areas mentioned in the last update.
As of now, we are trading inside a symmetrical triangle, which is generally considered a neutral chart pattern. This means the probability of a breakout in either direction is roughly 50/50.
If we get a bearish breakout, then I expect a move down towards the 60.7k region. That level needs to hold if we want to see continuation towards the upside.
Lose 60.7k, and 58.9k will be next.
Jun 8
$BTC | Update (1D)
We bounced from 59.8k after sweeping the previous low and closed the weekly with a wick to the downside. Inside that wick, we have some LTF levels with untapped liquidity created over the weekend that is still pending to be taken out.
A pullback towards 60,708 would fill roughly 50% of the last weekly candle's wick while also clearing some of the liquidity created over the weekend. If we get that pullback, I'll be looking for a scalp long from there.
In terms of where I see us headed this week, I'm eyeing 64.9k as the pivotal level that will determine the next move.
If we tap it and see a sharp rejection, it would suggest further continuation towards the downside this week. If we break above it, then we can assume the local bottom is in for now and likely see a move towards the Quarterly Open at 68,241 at minimum followed by sideways and choppy price action for the rest of the month.
I'm bullish here given that we've already seen a 28% drop over the last 25 days or so. There's clearly more liquidity and imbalance sitting above current price that still needs to be taken out.
That being said, we're still inside an impulsive HTF leg to the downside. If we fail to reclaim 64.9k, then we will likely continue lower towards 54.5k before finally catching a breather.
The 58.9k monthly low was front-ran, which is where I had my first spot order as well as the next TP for my swing short. I'm not going to FOMO here because that area still holds a significant amount of liquidity and it's going to get taken sooner or later.
However, I might be adjusting my TP on the swing short down to the 54.5k region because it's very likely that we dump straight through the 58k-59k region on revisit
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Jun 8
$BTC | Update (1D)
We bounced from 59.8k after sweeping the previous low and closed the weekly with a wick to the downside. Inside that wick, we have some LTF levels with untapped liquidity created over the weekend that is still pending to be taken out.
A pullback towards 60,708 would fill roughly 50% of the last weekly candle's wick while also clearing some of the liquidity created over the weekend. If we get that pullback, I'll be looking for a scalp long from there.
In terms of where I see us headed this week, I'm eyeing 64.9k as the pivotal level that will determine the next move.
If we tap it and see a sharp rejection, it would suggest further continuation towards the downside this week. If we break above it, then we can assume the local bottom is in for now and likely see a move towards the Quarterly Open at 68,241 at minimum followed by sideways and choppy price action for the rest of the month.
I'm bullish here given that we've already seen a 28% drop over the last 25 days or so. There's clearly more liquidity and imbalance sitting above current price that still needs to be taken out.
That being said, we're still inside an impulsive HTF leg to the downside. If we fail to reclaim 64.9k, then we will likely continue lower towards 54.5k before finally catching a breather.
The 58.9k monthly low was front-ran, which is where I had my first spot order as well as the next TP for my swing short. I'm not going to FOMO here because that area still holds a significant amount of liquidity and it's going to get taken sooner or later.
However, I might be adjusting my TP on the swing short down to the 54.5k region because it's very likely that we dump straight through the 58k-59k region on revisit
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Jun 6
$BTC | Update (4H)
We swept the previous low we marked in February, but something to observe closely here is that even after the sweep, we still did not get a decent reaction to the upside.
Instead, we're printing a symmetrical triangle here, which can also be treated as a bear flag considering the move leading into it was bearish.
Even if we ignore the flag itself and focus purely on the PA, we're still forming lower highs after sweeping the previous low.
This suggests there's not enough bullish volume in the market right now, and scenarios like these usually lead to continuation to the downside.
What I'm looking for next is a sweep of 58.9k, where we have an untapped monthly low. If we hold that area, there's a high chance we reverse back to the upside.
However, if we lose 58.9k then this bear flag will likely play out to its measured move, putting us around the 54.5k region where we have liquidity resting alongside a strong weekly support.
Towards the upside, I'm looking at the 64.7k region for a bearish retest, where we have a Daily Bearish FVG. A retest of that area is definitely in play before continuing lower. If we break above the FVG, then a retest of the Quarterly Open around 68.2k comes into the picture.
I do not expect a sharp retracement to the upside from current levels. It's much more likely that we retest one of these key levels, spend some time moving sideways, and then continue the move lower.
These are the levels I'm currently eyeing, and I'll be trading around them throughout the next week.
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Jun 5
$BTC
Target Reached✅
If we lose 58.8k, 54.5k will be next.
Jun 5
$BTC Just Broke Out From a Bear Flag on the LTF
If we lose the Grey Box around the 62k-62.5k region, we might get one final flush into the 58.9k area before seeing a meaningful reversal to the upside.
As long as that level remains untapped, I will continue treating any bounce as a relief rally inside a broader bearish structure.
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Jun 5
First POI for a Swing Long is 54.5k on $BTC
I do no have any limits placed yet (other than spot orders) but I will share the exact futures setup when I'll take it.
Jun 5
Publicly Shorted the Entire Bear-Market & Shared Every Trade with the Idea Behind it.
Now I will Long the Exact Bottom and Take Swing Longs along the way just like I took Swing Shorts during the Bear Market.
We are gonna print so much, You may even get tired of printing. $BTC
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Jun 5
Publicly Shorted the Entire Bear-Market & Shared Every Trade with the Idea Behind it.
Now I will Long the Exact Bottom and Take Swing Longs along the way just like I took Swing Shorts during the Bear Market.
We are gonna print so much, You may even get tired of printing. $BTC
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