NQ Stats provides free actionable statistical insights and market analytics tailored for the NASDAQ-100 E-mini. Created by @ProbableChris

Joined February 2025
65 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
2 Mar 2025
NQ Stats was created to catalog various metrics centered around $NQ. It is a collection of many years of testing for various analytical edges. To give back to the trading community, these concepts and ideas are shared for free. NQ Stats was created by @ProbableChris
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Highly recommend it to anyone who is “close” to make it! Helped me to make the step!
The NQ Stats website has added a "Coaching" tab. This is where you can inquire about coaching related to personal process improvement or specific NQ Stats content via deep dives. Learn more at nqstats.com/coaching.html
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The NQ Stats website has added a "Coaching" tab. This is where you can inquire about coaching related to personal process improvement or specific NQ Stats content via deep dives. Learn more at nqstats.com/coaching.html

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youtu.be/pxs2MuqvH3w New vid for the new site on "Price Distributions". "Price Distributions" is a statistical framework I use to tell what regime we are in, what my bias should be (trend vs mean reversion), and when to time my entries. It uses percent net change from open to close of various time windows to calculate samples and derive data from said sample.
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NQ Stats currently focuses on the 6 modules listed below, providing a primary focus and a specific context for each. Coming Soon --> Frameworks around price distribution and multi-module confluences.
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Going into 8am ET, NQ is in a Pattern 4. What does this mean, see pictures attached, or learn more at nqstats.com/aln_sessions.htm…
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NQ Stats website has received a redesign, with additional metrics and data around the existing stats/concepts. Check it out at nqstats.com/ and leave some feedback in the comments!
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In 2026, I am doing a free month long coaching, each month, for one randomly selected person. The intent of this coaching is to work with traders who are near profitable, hovering breakeven, who need refinements to get them across the finish line. We will refine YOUR current process, utilizing your current strategy. If you are interested in applying, please use this form. I will draw someone for the month of March tomorrow, 27 Feb. If you have previously applied, no need to apply again. docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
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5 Nov 2025
If you have created indicators related to NQ Stats data or concepts, and would like to share them, consider posting them in this thread.
2 Jun 2025
Starting to see people create and sell Trading View indicators based on the content, stats and concepts I have shared for free. If you are someone who has created indicators and/or tools and are sharing them for free, please post them in this thread so others can avoid unnecessarily paying for something.
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4 Nov 2025
ALN Session stats gave a pattern 4 today going into 8am, so expectancy wise, the London low of 25645 would be the target....HOWEVER.....At the time of the New Your range opening at 8am ET, price was at a daily -1.0 distribution. Asking price to go lower down to that London low would be asking price to make an outlier day move as a normal distribution would be expected to reside inside /- 1.0. Without a anticipated new catalyst, there would not be a reason to anticipate an outlier move. So while the expectancy given the stat was down, real-time price did not align. Realtime price was already a 133% of its 60 day average range and extended near a key reversion point. For this reason, avoiding the ALN Session based setup was the optimal choice.
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Thank you. @NQStats refined my trading
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27 Oct 2025
No idea who this was, but thanks for the donation to help keep the site live! ✌️
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23 Oct 2025
The final part (part 5) of my "Day Trader's Blueprint" series is complete. Part 5 covers Strategy Refinement. You can get the entire playlist here: youtube.com/playlist?list=PL…
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16 Oct 2025
x.com/i/spaces/1jMJgRnkZVwGL If you have any questions regarding the stuff I post, or the content on my @NQStats website, this is the place to ask.
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16 Oct 2025
Combining ALN Sessions data and RTH data, here is this morning. ALN Sessions is giving a pattern 3, which creates a historical probability of 79% that price will break the London High. Additionally, if price can hold inside prior days RTH (green box), there is a 73% probability price will break outside it, which given the ALN Sessions pattern, this break favors the upside.
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28 Sep 2025
“The Day Trader's Blueprint", a five-part series designed to equip traders with the essential foundations for consistent success. This series focuses on the fundamental principles that underpin a disciplined trading approach. Part 1: Intro & Expectations youtu.be/H0Xwn2thdT4 Part 2: Process youtu.be/fbtKDz9JlaY Part 3: Self Control youtu.be/B25RFDK88hI Part 4: Risk Management -TBD Part 5: Strategy Refinement -TBD

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9 Sep 2025
youtu.be/dIIE3ezP1z8 This video is using the 9/9/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when two separate stats overlap for added scalability.
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29 Aug 2025
youtu.be/lhkMb_k7TWk This video is using the 8/29/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the IB Breaks stats and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur.
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