Short Option Income Update
Alongside the long-term stock portfolio, options continue to provide income. These below expired last Friday and this Monday.
$CLS has been a top option income provider for me so far this year, while
$ADI and
$DELL are newcomers to the portfolio (and may or may not be here to stay).
6/5-6/8/26 ended as income:
$ADI $380, $382.50 puts
$CLS $365, $370 puts*
$DELL $400 puts (rolled at majority gain)
$META $625 calls
$V $330 calls
Open:
$DELL 6/12 $400 puts (rec'd $19)
$AXP 6/12 $320 calls
$NFLX 6/12 $93 calls
$V 6/12 $330 calls
$SPX 6/17 $6660/$5600 bull put spread
$FIGR 6/26 $45 puts (should be rolled or accepted as shares)
$ABNB 6/26 $130 puts/$140 calls short strangle
$MSFT 7/10 $435 puts
Friday's 4% decline in the Nasdaq was a reminder of how enthusiastic prices have been in recent weeks, and how quickly selling can materialize.
In the face of rising interest rates, earnings growing so quickly at market leaders is probably the main factor lifting stock indexes. Yet, for most of those leaders, free cash flow is evaporating to investments in AI. That's fine for one-time investments, but how cash hungry will data centers and leading-edge AI be over the years? And will it pay off? Those remain the obvious questions that I don't need to repeat, but I can't help myself.
*Friday's decline (a mere one-day decline!) did clearly force the hand of many investors.
$CLS closed Friday at $371.48, easily above my $370 put strike. Yet, after the market closed, I was put 80% of the contracts written at $370, for a net buy price of $353. I should have never gotten those shares, but apparently someone was forced to raise cash. If that's any indicator of the risk in the market, we should listen to it. Margin levels are at a nominal high now, and up more than 50% in the last year.
I need to watch my AI-related exposure now that Dell is in the mix alongside CLS and ADI (along with the big tech stocks owned). But with all three, I like that I can justify the valuations; ADI and Dell have diversified businesses; CLS has invested in infrastructure to build full rack systems, working tightly with customers in a way that builds loyalty and even co-dependence.
Option premiums on AI-related stocks remain high, reflecting the risks that investors see in all the unknowns of the narrative. In writing puts (or calls) here, I'm not suggesting these stocks won't fall or rise, but estimating that the repeated premiums received can exceed the distance the stocks fall or rise over a given (long) time period. This was true of
$APP, too, when I was steadily writing options on it. This has worked very well with CLS given its high premiums; it would have worked well with
$CRDO. Currently, like CLS, DELL's options offer a lot of cushion on rolling.
I put in a request to buy some IPO shares of energy provider
$EROC, and received a tiny fraction of the shares asked for. Eight shares. But that's fine. It was just for fun. It starts trading today. I won't notice. Ha.
No question that risks are elevated in tech stocks. Maybe the SPCX IPO will bring all that to a head, in some way. I do think at least some of this intense selling and volatility is due to SPCX positioning (crazily).
But also, when you look at history, every large buildout that I've read about hits a wall at some point. It's just the nature of humans. We over-invest, and over-inflate prices in the process. In the case of AI, now that more debt is starting to be raised to fund the build, the risks are going up.
Just carry on...?