Joined January 2026
36 Photos and videos
1.5 years of trading on Polymarket, $23,000,000 in turnover and $18 (only 18) in profit. On the one hand, I haven’t lost much money yet :)) On the other hand, it’s definitely not easy money.
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
May 13
Ceasefire markets again The rules have been significantly revised. Even a humanitarian pause is now allowed. Why this couldn’t have been done earlier instead of releasing dumb clarifications for over a year is beyond me. Instead, we got a ton of hate and disappointment.
May 9
I’m glad to wake up and see that the ceasefire markets resolved as YES - that means the war in Europe has ended... or not? 🤨 Maybe in some imaginary Polymarket world that’s true, but in reality - it’s not. Essentially, the market resolved solely because of a statement by Trump - the media picked up the loud headline, and the market settled. Even though I didn’t hold a single share in those markets, the precedent itself is truly terrible.
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
May 8
Replying to @OraculumNobius

ALT Pleurer Pleuré GIF

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I’ve lost. Again. One of the bots crashed, costing me 8k. I’m not giving up. I’m carrying on.
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
They will never return anything to anybody
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
May 6
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Hey, @Polymarket we have a problem... Lost $10,000 on Polymarket today, and not because of a wrong call. Because of how the platform handles market identifiers. After a market resolves, Polymarket reuses the same internal market_id for a brand new, unrelated market. The blockchain layer (UMA) sees one event for the old market — but every off-chain API has already silently rebound that id to the next one. So this is what happened on my side: The old market resolves on-chain. The settle event for that resolution carries the recycled id. By the time my bot reads the market data for that id, the platform’s API is happily returning a totally different, still-open market — currently trading around 45/55. The bot trusted the id. It saw “settled, winner = NO” and went to buy NO at ~99¢ on what it thought was a finished market. In reality, that NO was a coin-flip on a live market that hadn’t even closed yet. 10k USD, gone in one click, on a bet that has zero edge. The frustrating part isn’t the loss — it’s the design. A market identifier is supposed to be the one thing you can rely on. The moment a platform recycles ids across markets, every integration, bot, dashboard and analytics tool downstream is one race condition away from doing exactly what mine just did. Builders on Polymarket: assume ids can be reused. Pin everything to the on-chain question/condition hash, never to the numeric market_id. Cross-check the on-chain question text against the live market metadata before you act on a settle event. Polymarket: please stop reusing market ids. Or at minimum, version them. Retweet plz.
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
Replying to @OraculumNobius
Hi bro same shit with me on apple market above 265 -10k$….
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Big day, good day, Polymarket day!
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
you can chill now
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
Apr 20
You can now enable auto-claim for your winning market rewards! @Polymarket
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The biggest headache for developers of automated trading systems is updating all APIs and protocols. Polymarket is switching to its own currency pUSD, and everything will need to be tested by April 28.
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8,500 trades in half a month. It’s a tough job being a bond buyer :)))
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I just won $139,934.19 on @Polymarket! Join me and put your money where your mouth is: polymarket.com/redeem/eyJwcm…

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predictfolio.com/@OraculumNo… I've recovered from my losses and set a new profit record. I'm continuing to refine my trading strategy.
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Oraculum Nobius retweeted
Apr 8
You can watch three things forever: How water flows, how fire burns, and how retards burn their money in disputed markets. This is something that will be endless.
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