Joined December 2024
8 Photos and videos
Strider retweeted
I am delighted to presen WEsu — a trading terminal for weather prediction markets. Live METAR, PWS networks, and every forecast model plotted next to Polymarket's order book. Place orders at @Polymarket without leaving the chart. wesu.io $POLY
9
3
55
7,266
This is great news, thank you!
Replying to @strider_pm
We will be working on this and making it right
3
4
176
Strider retweeted
Replying to @strider_pm
We will be working on this and making it right
1
4
517
Lost 400 usd providing liquidity on polymarket Jakarta temperature markets today. Noticed highly suspicious behavior on the May 17 (32 degrees) bracket (new accounts buying the price straight up to 95 cents based on no data). Asked around and credible users said this was a known issue and that they already warned polymarket privately and in discord multiple times and asked to remove the market but they got no response. I am being neglected myself as well. It is unacceptable that polymarket enables third world manipulators at the expense of traders and liquidity providers. Hereby asking @Polymarket to make this right and remove this market so that other unbeknownst users are not scammed as well.
9
1
36
4,385
Strider retweeted
May 12
I am asking for brackets fix for 2 months and no one can take a time to look at it on Weather Markets. @mustafap0ly @williamlegate @devjoshstevens What you guys are doing.. Polymarket haves a big team, and no one can really fix it?? The liquidity is THE WORST right now. Even in major cities. Can you please Fix everything, or no one of your big team can really take a look at that?????
2
3
13
1,025
Strider retweeted
Hey, @Polymarket we have a problem... Lost $10,000 on Polymarket today, and not because of a wrong call. Because of how the platform handles market identifiers. After a market resolves, Polymarket reuses the same internal market_id for a brand new, unrelated market. The blockchain layer (UMA) sees one event for the old market — but every off-chain API has already silently rebound that id to the next one. So this is what happened on my side: The old market resolves on-chain. The settle event for that resolution carries the recycled id. By the time my bot reads the market data for that id, the platform’s API is happily returning a totally different, still-open market — currently trading around 45/55. The bot trusted the id. It saw “settled, winner = NO” and went to buy NO at ~99¢ on what it thought was a finished market. In reality, that NO was a coin-flip on a live market that hadn’t even closed yet. 10k USD, gone in one click, on a bet that has zero edge. The frustrating part isn’t the loss — it’s the design. A market identifier is supposed to be the one thing you can rely on. The moment a platform recycles ids across markets, every integration, bot, dashboard and analytics tool downstream is one race condition away from doing exactly what mine just did. Builders on Polymarket: assume ids can be reused. Pin everything to the on-chain question/condition hash, never to the numeric market_id. Cross-check the on-chain question text against the live market metadata before you act on a settle event. Polymarket: please stop reusing market ids. Or at minimum, version them. Retweet plz.
4
2
5
529
Strider retweeted
Mar 12
IRAN TRUMP ISRAEL WAR Fog of War // differentiating Facts from fictions and wishful thinking. A lot of non sense has been written on this war since the conflict began and I am going to try to offer some clarity: 99% of people and media didnt see this war coming nor understand the motivation behind this war and are wrongly assuming that that its a waste of time and trump will Taco any moment or once the oil goes up. Since the vast majority dont understand the purpose of the war and consider it a waste of time,they are assuming that the us already lost by simply starting it and are looking to confirm this bias everyday. My opinion: For once and under heavy influence from Kushner, Trump is playing the long game here. He sees this war as a corner stone for long term peace in the middle east and wants to be seen as the president that finally changed the middle east for good. While a air campaign alone will not bring down the regime, removing almost all of their weapons while keeping the sanctions on will in fact have a lasting impact contrary to what all the twitter experts are telling you. Iran will only decay from here similar to Irak from the first gulf war to the 2nd. The us is not losing the war, contrary to what the media are telling you, Iran is doing extremely poorly and its only going to get worse for them. In fact, Russia and china abstained from vetoing a S-C UN resolution against Iran yesterday(fair weather friends). I expect this bombing campaign to go on till at least easter with the 450kg of enriched uranium being some sort of end game/coup de grace here. News and images are coming out of more bunker busters,more b52s and more MOAB. This is what coming for Iran in the near term. While publicly Trump is saying the war is almost over(to reassure the market) behind the scene hes sending 1 more carrier and more heavy bombers that will benefit from the air supremacy that they have accomplished. (profile in bio) and Im happy to answer any questions in the comments.
22
3
58
6,143
Strider retweeted
Replying to @LeoMargolis_
Insiders kill liquidity and harm the long term health of prediction markets. In return we get marginally more accurate markets on what Supa Bowl ads will be played
2
1
7
553
Strider retweeted
Million and a half dollar heist in Polymarket Today I woke up with very bad news. Semi's account (slight-) got hacked. We don't know all the facts yet, but him being one of the biggest whales makes me think it was not the "private markets" scam but an elaborate hack. Polygonscan shows us $1.32M was withdrawn from his account in a one hour timeframe: polygonscan.com/tokentxns?a=… Plus the attacker market sold his shares, cleaning the order books and causing a $375K loss. As a positive note, @tsybka made over $30K because he had a limit order at 1c. He said he will return the money. Stay tuned for more updates and remember kids, CRYPTO IS NOT SAFE. The banking system spends annually $35B on cybersecurity, plus there is a whole legal and enforcement infrastructure built to get stolen funds back. In crypto? Crime is kinda legal, and when the funds are gone, there is not much to be done.
10
3
71
15,616
Strider retweeted
Yo CZ kind of reminds me of aenews.. Runs a public facing happy-go-lucky retard facade while you know behind the scenes he is scheming & fraudmaxxing so he can rape both sides of the orderbook with a network of smurf accounts all while he acts like he has no clue what’s going on
Replying to @0xZhang_Crypto
Their (sponsor's) strategy may be to attract the not-so-smart people to their platforms. Many scammers deliberately have typos/mistakes in their messages "feeling hapy, you send me 1 btc and I sent you 10 btc back". They want to filter OUT the smart ones. 😂
3
2
46
3,632
Strider retweeted
Two perfect illustrations of how dangerous communists are in one day. They have no conscience. They sleep like a baby while they unleash animals to terrorize your community. They want you dead and think it's funny.
Mayor Mamdani just visited a man who got shot while charging at a cop with a knife
9
138
572
31,772
Strider retweeted
Every cycle is the same. Yes, crypto could bounce. And honestly, it would be great for sentiment if it could. But even if it does, it would most likely result in a macro lower high. I don't try and time those bounces. I have tried before with mixed levels of success. Sometimes it works, other times I got rekt. When BTC drops below the 50W moving average, it then goes to the 100W moving average, spends a little time there, then goes to the 200W moving average. Every cycle is eventually the same. BTC topped when it always does (Q4 of the post-halving year), and so many have spent so many hours trying to convince you that it has not. And BTC entered into a bear market, and so many have tried to get you to believe that alt season is "just around the corner" because it always happens after BTC tops. What they fail to account for is social interest. After the 2019 top there was also no rotation into altcoins, which also occurred just before QT ended. I track the social interest in the asset class, and it has been trending down since 2021. There is no one new here for people to sell their altcoins to. Alt seasons historically occur *after* social interest has been trending up for a year, not after it has been trending down for 5 years. Have an actual plan on navigating this brutal asset class. Because if the altcoins you hold drop another 50%-80% from here, not a single influencer who promoted them will express an ounce of regret for it. And you will simply be living with the consequences. I get a lot of hate for saying the truth, but an inconvenient truth is better than a lie.
500
569
6,711
688,675
Strider retweeted
One of the primary donators on the shutdown market (which wasn’t a scam in any way) sold out of his entire $CUMMIES stack in order to buy 6.9 million shutdown shares, he’d previously bought most after winning betting against Tate… wew lad polymarket.com/@cryptocal69
9
2
34
4,136
My current thesis on the Iran situation is that strikes basically have been greenlighted. I think the first week of February are still off 1. to give negotiations a last chance (most likely just for show), 2. to get the final preparations in order, 3. to get the shutdown resolved, 4. to not cause to much stir before the superbowl, 5. and to provide time for markets to settle down from the 'Warsh shock'. We'll see!
4
6
282
Lots of conflicting messaging. I think Trump is still looking for a golden offramp trying to find a solution that pleases all sides. He has a small chance of succeeding unfortunately
91
Strider retweeted
Replying to @Claudia_Sahm
It is ridiculous to go back 15 years and focus on his potential mistakes (although he still was directionally correct) while ignoring the mess of the last few years at the FED
2
1
15
3,465
Polymarket Twitter is full of people who don't know how to predict or to trade, and hence have to resort to lowest common denominator schemes like copy trading or 'arbitraging'
2
8
297
Turns out no strikes are to be expected for the next 2 weeks according to the idf
1
128
Soon..
1
160
Strider retweeted
Since my post the price nearly doubled, should I sell half and make this a risk free bet?
1
1
194
I believe the longer shutdown options on polymarket are severely underpriced.
1
1
133
Since my post the price nearly doubled, should I sell half and make this a risk free bet?
1
1
194