This is my updated 2026 US Senate map forecast.
Republicans are on track to easily retain their majority, winning 52 seats.
2026 US Senate
π΄Republicans 52
π΅Democrats 48
While Democrats are projected to flip North Carolina, they're expected to fall short in Maine, Texas, Ohio, and Alaska.
My forecast is based on 100,000 simulations for all 35 races on the ballot in November.
Forecast via
@Pollsmax.