The $200 AI plans are subsidized far harder than anyone assumed
SemiAnalysis bought the top Anthropic and OpenAI subscriptions and ran coding tasks until the weekly limits hit. At API prices, Claude's plan paid out roughly $8k in tokens. OpenAI's paid out roughly $14k.
That's a 40-70x subsidy on power users.
And it's still the cheapest way to acquire customers in software. Let builders overuse your model until their habits, repos, and prompts live inside it.
The labs are buying the daily-driver slot now. Rent will be due soon enough
Recently, we purchased one of each Anthropic/OpenAI subscription plan and randomly ran long horizon coding tasks until we exhausted the weekly limit. It's widely believed that a $200/month plan maxes out at ~$2000/month worth of tokens (assuming API pricing). However, we found that the subscriptions are actually far more generous. (2/4)