It's clear by now that AI is going to make routine computer programming obsolete. There's much more consensus that medium term AI is going to vastly outperform the best humans in many intellectual domains and verticals. This is clearly going to shake the foundation of higher education that focuses on transferring "hard" and "standard" knowledge. Some personal speculations for educators and students:
- Things are just going to have to change all the time - get used to it. You won't be teaching the same thing for a second time, let alone 3 years. Curriculum, software, materials, everything. The extra burden will be somewhat offset by AI tools that make the updates more expedient.
- Fundamentals will stay the same, but how they are applied will need to be updated frequently. Counterintuitively, in the world of cheap AI slops, understanding fundamentals (math, philosophy, language, etc.) can become more of a sought after differentiator.
- The focus will shift from mass "hard information" education to smaller, more personal "soft information" education: more laborious, more human to human interactions. At least for the short term, education will increasingly focus on things that can't easily be found in standard texts as sort of a moat until AI becomes more pervasive (or invasive).
- The ultimate question higher education has to answer is how and why education adds value to the student's life or career. Bull case: if there'll truly be some sort of universal basic income, higher education may evolve away from about survival (e.g., getting a job) to about enrichment or entertainment (e.g., the joy of understanding and discovery). Bear case: if AI simply creates a pressure cooker of a "race to the bottom," then there will be tremendous pressure for higher education to help students survive (and hopefully thrive) in the new world order; enjoyment will be a second/third order luxury. Unfortunately, I believe the bear case is likely more relevant in the short run. There will be inevitable confusion and pain.
Life gives us what we need. Here is to enjoying the journey, for all of us!