Quantum & Deep Tech VC Investor - (πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±,πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ) - e/acc ⏩ - $IONQ

Joined December 2020
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Bitcoin has a quantum problem.
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A surface-code decoder that ignores 97% of the data. UC Irvine's Sparse Mamba Decoder reads only the ~3% of syndrome cells that actually fire. Result: up to **49% lower error than MWPM**, 95-467Γ— faster than near-optimal decoders, all on a gaming GPU. 🧡
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Reality check: β€’ Academic, no hardware partner; synthetic noise plus old Sycamore d=3,5 data β€’ At d=7 it only ties MWPM; the 16% edge is within error bars β€’ Belief Matching still beats it at d=7 β€’ Limited to d≀7 by compute budget; fault tolerance needs d=15 β€’ 'Faster' is GPU vs CPU, not apples-to-apples But zoom out: Decoding is the unglamorous bottleneck of fault tolerance. Near-optimal accuracy with O(k) scaling on a sub-$2k GPU matters, because classical decode cost is a real line item as codes scale. Direction: the QEC classical stack is getting cheaper, and that's bullish for everyone who has to deploy it.
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Miraex EPFL just built the first microwave-to-optical quantum transducer in thin-film lithium tantalate (TFLT). The pitch isn't speed. It's stability: days of operation on one static bias, plus wafer-scale fab. The unglamorous bottleneck of modular quantum. 🧡
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Investor read: β€’ $IBM, plus Google and Rigetti: every superconducting roadmap needs optical interconnects to go modular. This is upstream of that. β€’ Coherent, Lumentum: photonics picks-and-shovels. β€’ Cisco: quantum networking ambitions. β€’ Miraex (private, Swiss) EPFL: the actors here. Signal to watch: whether any superconducting vendor names a transduction partner.
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Reality check: β€’ On-chip efficiency ~0.04%. Needs orders of magnitude more to be useful. β€’ Microwave Q far below the material limit. Unexplained loss. β€’ ~10 dB per fiber coupler, unoptimized. β€’ Best numbers are simulated, not measured. But zoom out: Transduction has been a lab-bound art. This trades peak performance for two things that scale: a bias you set once and forget, and wafer-scale fab making hundreds of devices at a time. Direction: the quantum interconnect layer is starting to think like a foundry, not a physics experiment. arxiv.org/abs/2606.12726v1
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Open-source software that models neutral-atom qubit interactions just got 10x faster. New from a German-led team with @Atom_Computing inside: PairInteraction v2, validated against real ytterbium data. The design layer for neutral-atom quantum. 🧡
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Investor read: β€’ Atom Computing (private, Boulder, strontium) β€” co-author and direct beneficiary β€’ QuEra, Pasqal, Infleqtion (all private) β€” same tooling class underpins their gate design β€’ No clean public pure-play yet; neutral-atom exposure is still mostly pre-IPO Signal to watch: whether @infleqtion cites design-tooling maturity.
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Reality check: β€’ A software/tooling paper, not a new qubit or advantage result β€’ 10x is an engineering speedup, not a physics breakthrough β€’ Validation is one Yb Stark map, not a broad benchmark suite β€’ Open tools help every neutral-atom competitor equally, not one But zoom out: Quantum wins on unglamorous infrastructure as much as headline qubits. Fast, free, accurate modeling of divalent Rydberg atoms removes a real design-cycle tax for the whole neutral-atom field. Direction: the picks-and-shovels layer of neutral-atom quantum is maturing in public. arxiv.org/abs/2605.14993
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