Joined February 2013
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18 Sep 2025
New month, new walkthrough of the dashboard. We’ve packed so much more into it lately that I honestly don’t use anything else for my day-to-day analysis. From liquidity models like the GLI and CLI, to liquidation maps, alt league, risk intel, treasury trackers and the letters page, everything you need to stay ahead is in one place. It’s structured to cover both the serious macro side of your portfolio and the fun stuff like memes and alts, so you’re never flying blind. All of this costs less than a meal out, which is mad when you think about the edge it gives you. We’re just getting started. Each month will bring even more tools, so I’ll be doing walkthroughs regularly. Get on the dashboard and give yourself the structure and clarity most investors are missing. TRW and Real Vision members, DM me for your discount codes.
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I've been digging into the inflation data the past few days, preparing some points for this weeks market analysis. The analysis of late has been really tough to write, mainly because nothing has been changing at great pace. Something I write about 4 weeks ago is still relevant today and not a lot else matters, except for a few points. Finally, we have some good news on the Iran war and with it, a drop in oil prices which will bring inflation down. I've been mapping out the expected time scales, correlations, what will move first etc. I'm going to post a report within the letters page of the dashboard that I've thrown together with AI. You don't need to read it, the important parts will be summarised within this weeks market analysis. But it will be there if you're really cool like me and want to understand the flows. Stay classy. rjalpha.app/en/letters
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Rob retweeted
Another amazing move from the Alt league here. ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 now up 79% since the alt league entry a few weeks back. This market has been brutal and we are absolutely sailing through it with our systems.
Switched up my ethereum:0x6944e1df6bf5972305f9ab25df47ef10de01bcc8 position just after UTC for ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 Kicked out once again by the alt league and once again, an amazing entry. I'll be honest as say I actually got up 1 hour after UTC to do this because I couldn't get out of bed haha WLD was already up 4% at that point so its a 11% day currently not 15%. Still, amazing entry again on a day of red.
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Rob retweeted
Our risk-averse / dominant rotation strategy has handled this market so amazingly, exactly how it was built to. Crypto has seen some ugly drawdowns over the past few weeks. Most over optimised and less robust strategies would have chopped themselves to pieces by now, jumping out, back in, then out again multiple times. I've seen them everywhere. This system is slower by design, working on the weekly and not the daily. That patience of the system is the edge. The idea is simple: If the market is still oversold or undervalued, it does not rush to remove exposure. Instead, it rotates into the strongest major asset at the time using our dominant asset rotation model. Recently, that asset has clearly been hyperliquid:native . While influencers like Arthur Hayes were screaming about HYPE one week and dumping on their followers the next, the system saw no reason to leave. It stayed locked in. Today hyperliquid:native is once again pushing towards all-time highs. Will it close here? Maybe not. But the point is having a system that can sit through noise when strength is still there. In situations like the past few weeks, it's REALLY tough to know what to do. Even I was feeling a little lost, I have a lot of money in my portfolio and you don't want to see it going down. But your feelings on the market will never be a match for a good, robust system. A system will beat your decision marking nine times out of ten. And, will help control your emotions The slow moving system is the one winning right now. Let systems guide your investing, not your feelings. Live on the dashboard. Free 3 day trial still available upon sign up. TRW and RV members, Dm for discount codes.
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Jun 15
AKT 17% in a matter of days. ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 finally started to move again. All 5 positions i'm in from the last few weeks are heavily up... Awful bear market.
Jun 14
I posted a portfolio announcement update for dashboard users explaining why I was entering small hedge positions in $AKT and bittensor:native. This came after the utility token report last week, and a discussion with a member about the recent Anthropic censorship concerns. The thinking was simple: If AI becomes more censored, centralised and controlled, then decentralised compute and decentralised AI become more interesting as a hedge. Market is red today but AKT is up around 8%. This is exactly the type of thing we are looking for on the dashboard and moving forward in the market. Finding where the market may rotate and utility is absolutely key. Utility and timing. Dashboard users will always get the updates first.
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Jun 14
I posted a portfolio announcement update for dashboard users explaining why I was entering small hedge positions in $AKT and bittensor:native. This came after the utility token report last week, and a discussion with a member about the recent Anthropic censorship concerns. The thinking was simple: If AI becomes more censored, centralised and controlled, then decentralised compute and decentralised AI become more interesting as a hedge. Market is red today but AKT is up around 8%. This is exactly the type of thing we are looking for on the dashboard and moving forward in the market. Finding where the market may rotate and utility is absolutely key. Utility and timing. Dashboard users will always get the updates first.
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Rob retweeted
Jun 11
Market analysis is now live on the dashboard. TL;DR: The market feels ugly, but the portfolio is still holding up well. HYPE is still well up from entry, BEAT has done exactly what the alt league was designed to catch, and the rotation system is still doing its job. That said, I’m not buying the “bottom is in” calls yet. Liquidity is flat, transmissions are still weak, credit is not flowing properly into risk assets, and BTC still looks more exposed to downside than upside here. This week’s write-up covers: Why the recent HYPE drawdown is not the disaster people are making it out to be Why I’m moving more focus towards assets with real utility The deep dive into HYPE, ETH, LINK, AAVE, XMR, BNB, TRX and the wider utility-token bucket Why the SpaceX IPO is fascinating, but not something I’d blindly chase at the current proposed valuation Why FOMC and Warsh’s wording matter so much next week Why I’m still cautious until liquidity and transmissions turn properly Main takeaway: In this market, I don’t want the core portfolio in assets that only survive when sentiment is hot. I want utility, liquidity, survival, and timing. Full analysis is live on the dashboard now.
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Rob retweeted
Jun 11
As the market gets more and more heavily manipulated and we now often see large one day co-ordinated drawdowns that most tokens don't recover from, I have noticed the ones with real utility generally come back extremely strong. This week I've been digging into what I see for the future of finance, where I see crypto in particular heading and trying to map out what tokens will be the most valuable moving forward. The main thesis is to not be in a token with any large capital that has a chance of going to zero. Sticking to tokens with real utility. With the help of AI I made myself a report to narrow the search down and place tokens into different buckets, depending the criteria. For dashboard users, I thought it would be helpful to share the created report - it's now live on the letters page. I will be working it into this weeks market analysis letter which I ensure I write in full. This report is almost entirely written by ai, but the research is my own < just giving you the heads up.
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Jun 11
$BEAT continues its absolutely staggering run since it's first entry signal on the Alt league. A whopping 460% since its first entry signal. I faded it for too long but managed to get in on Tuesday when I come back from my holiday. Already 100% up on the trade. Gutted it was only 2% of my portfolio 😂
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Finally back from holiday. A lot of deep research and analysis coming to the dashboard this week. We’re digging into utility across the crypto space: which tokens actually have strong use cases, which ones look best positioned for the future, and why. Also covering the big SpaceX IPO: whether it’s worth getting involved, how to think about valuation, and what kind of trading/allocation framework makes sense. Plus the usual weekly analysis. A few weeks back we said June was looking rough: liquidity was draining, transmissions were moving into the dirt, and that has played out almost exactly. Now the focus turns to what comes next, and when we expect conditions to change. Loads coming up. Stay tuned.
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Rob retweeted
Jun 8
Let's goooo! This is potentially 500k-600k of new buy pressure per day for hyperliquid:native and even more if it is retroactive from the deal date
Coinbase is now the official deployer of @HyperliquidX's USDC treasury wallet. We will be activating AQAv2 from the two addresses below: 0x4E5319dEb1072B01439EE674db5C321d11fd96F8 0xc20699185c15D0a2fD65779BB5d69f5b0B113c00
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Rob retweeted
🚨 It's not just ZCash. Opus 4.8 also found a vulnerability in $USD that allows for unlimited issuance which could theoretically enrich insiders at the expense of all holders huge breaking
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Rob retweeted
Possibly the worst time for me to have gone on holiday Genuinely not really looking or paying attention to the market, just enjoying my time. I'm lucky enough to understand that generally I don't ever need to take money out of my portfolio to live day to day and that gives me a sense of not really caring about what happens short term. I follow the systems and look ahead in the macro, keeping it simple. For clarity I have zero plan to sell my hype position yet. I sold VVV for 50% profit this morning and my XLM position yesterday. Kept my ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 position running. Adding to it with a portion of my VVV profits. I will sell hype if the dom major hodl index says to on Sunday and will re enter when the dom asset rotation isn't heavily skewed to hype from its recent outperformance. Other than that, not much to do. Just chill and wait. June and July both look absolute garbage to me. over $4 trillion in debt roller over, while the banking and credit system is on its knees. Credit transmissions are in the dirt. Liquidity isn't hitting. TGA rebuild. Pretty much nothing good for a few months unless Warsh helps out with an unexpected rate cut. Time will tell. One thing I will say is the transmission lead has been one of the most accurate models I have ever seen since its creation last year. Currently writing this with a beer in hand, apologies for spelling mistakes etc.
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This bellend doesn't control the markets people. No one on CT has enough clout to dump a whole asset. Just chill out, touch some grass and wait for tomorrow. If you've been in hype for a month you're still 60% up on the position, stop complaining 😂
JUST IN: Arthur Hayes dumps his entire $HYPE and $NEAR position.
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Hype 8% Worldcoin 41% Vvv 13% Dashboarders are living the highlife while CT is moaning about BTC.
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For those on the dashboard. This was a glorious day.
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