Fearless polling expert, senior fellow of public opinion and foreign policy at The Chicago Council, film fanatic, chihuahua whisperer, explorer

Joined March 2013
148 Photos and videos
Experts also warn the conflict could increase the chances that China uses force against Taiwan in the coming years. Read the full analysis in @ForeignPolicy foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/06…
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At the Munich Security Conference (@MunSecConf), the Council and @CarterCenter presented groundbreaking research and results from recent public opinion surveys examining Chinese and American perspectives on international security, trade relations, and China’s global role. Drawing on results from a public opinion survey conducted last summer in mainland China, the Council’s Leslie Vinjamuri and Dina Smeltz joined The Carter Center’s Paige Alexander and Yawei Liu, and Tsinghua University Center for International Security and Strategy’s Da Wei, to examine the findings. The research, conducted with support from the Dr. Scholl Foundation, reveals a Chinese public highly confident in its country’s power status, with notable debate over dominance versus shared leadership. By comparison, the American public is more divided on the US role in the world. Explore the full report and survey findings: bit.ly/4aDTSXH Photos: Andreas Schaad / MSC #MSC2026
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Fifty years on, “All the Presidents Men” is still a powerful illustration of how investigative journalism can act as a check on institutional power. foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/12…
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Today, experts from @ChicagoCouncil and @CarterCenter presented findings from a groundbreaking survey of Chinese public opinion on foreign policy at the @MunSecConf. Explore the full report. 📊⤵️ #MSC2026 bit.ly/4tQjo4T

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1/ While there are exceptions, there appears to be a trend of America's traditional allies derisking from United States. As an American who long has viewed the US global alliance network as one of its asymmetric strengths, I take no satisfaction in this observation. (short 🧵).
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Which foreign policy issues unite Americans across party lines, and where are the sharpest disagreements? Hear from the Council's @ckafura, @LoyolaChicago's Sarah Maxey, and @WSJ's @gerardtbaker as they unpack data from the 2025 Chicago Council Survey today at 5:30 p.m. CT. Register to join in-person or virtually here: bit.ly/3M8ij7g
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Craig Kafura, Sarah Maxey, and Gerard Baker discuss findings from the 2025 Chicago Council Survey, highlighting where Americans are divided—and where consensus still exists—on the US role in the world. x.com/i/broadcasts/1ynKOMymz…

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Deepening political polarization within the United States is eroding longstanding bipartisan public consensus on key American foreign policy challenges, a new @ChicagoCouncil study finds. Explore more from our Annual Survey ➡️ bit.ly/3NKc1v1
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The United States is falling behind China in the race to secure critical minerals and rare earth elements. Can Washington and its allies close the gap? @ChicagoCouncil Fellow Karl Friedhoff presents a path forward ⛏️➡️ brnw.ch/21wWsgJ
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To celebrate the release of a groundbreaking Chinese public opinion survey from the Council and @CarterCenter, our community gathered earlier this week to hear @PaulJHeer, @yawei_liu1960, @RoguePollster, and @londonvinjamuri unpack the survey data and analyze what it means for China’s global role, their relationship with the United States, and much more. “I think, fundamentally, what this survey shows is the destinies of [China and the US] are interconnected,” shared Liu onstage. “It’s up to the people to uphold peace, but it’s really up to the leaders to find a path forward.” Visit our website to watch the full program and learn more about the survey: globalaffairs.org/events/chi…
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Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace this week, escalating tensions between Moscow and NATO. @RoguePollster unpacks new @ChicagoCouncil survey data on how Americans think the United States should respond to Russian aggression in Eastern Europe ⤵️ brnw.ch/21wVIEh
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A majority of the Chinese population prefers a policy of global free trade and sees it as beneficial for China’s economy and population. 💰 brnw.ch/21wVpgs
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Chinese citizens see themselves living next to some unfriendly neighbors, including India, South Korea, and Japan. They consider China's closest friends to be ordinary Taiwanese people, Russia, and North Korea. 🌏 brnw.ch/21wVpgp
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The Chinese public is concerned about geopolitical competition with the United States, including a potential conflict over Taiwan. Still, a majority want to pursue a balanced approach to US-China relations. 🇺🇸 brnw.ch/21wVpgn
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Everyday Chinese citizens are confident in their country and believe it will grow stronger in the coming years. Most want Beijing to be actively involved in world affairs. 🇨🇳 brnw.ch/21wVpfV
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