Professional Gambler (AP), Speaker, Podcaster, published author: The 21st Century Card Counter/Tales From the Felt- Free time: My smokin hot wife/dogs/adventure
Joined February 2024
- Tweets 1,240
- Following 91
- Followers 302
- Likes 2,064
Photos and videos
New podcast up with surveillance agent "Fish". A must listen for any AP.
open.spotify.com/episode/6OO…
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May 26
insane timeline
May 26
Love Matt but…DK’s own hold on parlays runs like 25-40%. They limit or ban anyone who shows skill (which literally is the best part of prediction markets) then funnel casuals into boosted props engineered to lose. Wall Street market makers are tough ofc but at least they don’t kick you off the platform for winning.
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Same argument was made about Tesla. Just saying.
DraftKings co-founder says every sportsbook in America is building a prediction market right now and Kalshi is about to get decimated by competition
"There's not a sportsbook in the US who's not building an exchange right now. DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics, MGM. DraftKings just acquired a company called Railbird, and it's basically the same exact thing as Kalshi. It'll all just going to be in house stuff built by real consumer product teams that have real instinct around the customer and know how to actually make a normal person happy."
"That's the whole reason I don't think Kalshi has anything durable here. You have a couple months where maybe you're a first mover. But once the competition is there it's going to decimate them."
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SD1 retweeted
May 13
Slow Sportsbook Withdrawals Are A Gambling Consumer Protection Problem
gamblingharm.org/sportsbook-…
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May 12
Legalized sports betting destroys the lives of young men. It will turn out to be one of the most harmful public policy decisions ever.
I saw a video of a young man with a massive following (his name is Alex Eubank) talking about how a casino offered him $80K/month for a brand deal.
He explains that he turned it down because in order for the casino to make money, his audience has to lose money. And whatever they pay him, his audience will lose much more.
He talks about how these casinos target influencers with young, impressionable audiences to take advantage of them, and that no amount of money would convince him to take the deal.
Mad respect to this young man.
The NFL, NBA, and MLB should take notes.
Going all in on promoting sports betting to their fans is a disgrace. It’s a morally bankrupt move to drive profits by taking money from young, impressionable, often struggling, men.
They should be ashamed.
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SD1 retweeted
May 13
Thank you @danawhite for keeping up the pressure on @POTUS to restore the 100% tax deduction for gambling losses. I've led the fight here in Congress to get this fixed with bipartisan support. We cannot postpone this issue any longer.
May 13
New: UFC President Dana White has sent a letter to President Donald Trump asking him to help reverse the 90 percent limit on gambling loss deductions for US taxpayers that became law last year.
The issue has been a concern for both bettors and the gambling industry itself.
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SD1 retweeted
Apr 30
They've taken everything that was pure and honorable about sport and debased it in the pursuit of unquenchable greed. Keep in mind this is the same league that this very season had the DOJ indict a player and head coach for involvement in illegal gambling.
Check out the odds for today’s game on Prime courtesy of @FDSportsbook and tune into the action starting at 7:00pm/et!
More Info: tinyurl.com/4mrcwf4z
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SD1 retweeted
Apr 30
The truth is the recreational customer has NO CHANCE on any gambling venture. None. But they understand and accept that in their own way.
Operators spinning that any other way are, at best, lying to themselves. At worst, being slimy with the public trust.
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SD1 retweeted
Apr 29
Wrote about how prediction markets depend on user losses, and why Kalshi’s claim that their incentives are fundamentally different from casinos is a lie
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For the love of all that is holy.... STOP saying the dealer has an effect on the cards. They don't do anything and their advice is wrong most of the time. They don't know basic strategy at all with few exceptions.
Apr 28
Saw the 10 Million Megabucks hit at Mandalay and that the people did not tip anything from everyone's favorite local Vegas account going Viral.
What would you tip on 10 Mill? I would only give a few hundred. I see myself as quite generous I think, when I hit handpays the slot attendant always gets $100 and whatever the smalls are. But this is not Blackjack where the dealer (usually giving advice) and other players are having an effect on the cards (I won a 15k BJ progressive in Jan and the 2 other players and dealer I gave 1k each) Its a damn slot machine, The attendants are random from who is working the area or closest at the time. Am I supposed to pay off their house because they were the person closest to me at the time when I got lucky? Its a no from me. How much cash do you get there and then for that kind of win? Biggest single slot win I had is 38k and I gave 300. New tax rules on Slot wins for Americans play a part in your decision? So many questions
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Apr 20
Opinion | Your Child Is Already Gambling. You Just Haven’t Been Told Yet.
gamblingharm.org/your-child-…
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Listen up, kids.
That voice in your head telling you that 4 leg parlay of -500s is likely to win because each individual leg is likely to win?
That's 300,000 years of human brain optimized for hunting and survival, not for abstract probabilistic thinking. It's lying to you.
Apr 28
To give you an idea of how much cash comes in on some of these chalk ML parlays...
There is about as much money on Boston ML parlays than there is straights on: BOS spread PHI spread BOS ML PHI ML Over Under... COMBINED.
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SD1 retweeted
Apr 28
This lawmaker’s “moral” stance is, simply:
“It is wrong for people to be good enough at something that they make money from it. People should not profit from this legal and taxed activity. They should only lose.”
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Bought and paid for.
Apr 28
Colorado Senate voted to remove language from a now-neutered RG bill that would have disallowed sportsbooks from limiting bettors “because they win.”
Bill co-sponsor @Commish_Pelton said they had weekend talks w/ the industry about bettors “gaming the system” much like “card counters” in casinos. 1/
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Apr 28
Keep in mind, legislators are CLUELESS (by design). Anything they say is either purchased or indoctrinated.
So when this legislator is positively gleeful that professional gamblers can't earn a living easily - you have to wonder who purchased her?
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Dealers don't know how to play. They watch 1000s of hrs of BJ & yet 99.9% of them don't know basic strategy. They claim they do. The goal is to get a tip. That's it. Give advice, you win the hand→tip. You lose→🤷🏼♂️ Great toke hustlers will try & get a tip even when you lose.
Apr 15
Nothing better than a dealer telling you are retarded for doing retarded shit.
"Are you dumb.. what the fuck is wrong with you? Double on 19.... 28"
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Apr 14
Rec book limits close a door but they open a window for sharp bettors to scale up once they know the game.
But the devil you know is still the devil.
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Apr 14
Absolutely catastrophic for American men. If you are a sports better break away immediately. It is not worth it. You will not win it back. You will not beat the house. You are being exploited.
Apr 14
More than half of men ages 18-49 (52%) now say they have an active sports betting account with an online sportsbook like DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, or BetMGM.
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It should say, "why you should never gamble in Las Vegas." "Tighter than the strip"? Both have awful RTP. Better yet, Don't Gamble.
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Apr 13
NEW: Problem gambling involving online sports betting appears to have reached unprecedented levels, according to a leading annual survey released today.
The American Sport Fanship Survey, now in its third year, shows a dramatic worsening in user-reported behavior. The Siena Research Institute conducted the poll in February 2026, which included 3,084 responses from a proprietary online panel of U.S. residents. The margin of error was /- 1.9%.
More than a quarter (27%) of Americans have an active online sports betting account.
Let’s look at the key findings among these users.
🚨 Percentage of online sports bettors who report chasing losses
2026: 60%
2025: 52%
2024: 53%
🚨 Percentage who say someone else has expressed concern about their betting
2026: 31%
2025: 23%
2024: 22%
🚨 Percentage who say they have lied about the extent of their betting
2026: 27%
2025: 20%
2024: 19%
🚨 Percentage who say they bet more than they should
2026: 42%
2025: 37%
2024: 38%
🚨 Percentage who say they feel bad or ashamed after losing a bet
2026: 43%
2025: 37%
2024: 37%
🚨 Percentage who who say they lose money that causes financial issues
2026: 26%
2025: 20%
2024: 18%
🚨 Percentage who who say they seek help for their gambling
2026: 15%
2025: 9%
2024: 9%
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SD1 retweeted
Apr 13
When @POTUS comes to Nevada this week, we must urge him to restore the 100% tax deduction for gambling losses. That’s fair policy.
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