DPhil/PhD Intl Relations @UniofOxford Assoc Fellow @RUSI_org Author "Russia in Africa" & "Putin's War on Ukraine" @HurstPublishers Email samuel.ramani@gmail.com
Joined October 2013
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3,142 Photos and videos
Jun 3
Strong statement of solidarity from the UAE’s key foreign policy voice with Kuwait and Bahrain
Jun 3
في ظل العدوان الإيراني المتكرر على دولة الكويت ومملكة البحرين الشقيقتين، لا بد من موقف خليجي صلب وموحد ومتماسك. فلا يجوز أن تُترك أي دولة خليجية تواجه الاستهداف منفردة، فيما أمن دول الخليج العربي مترابط، ومصالحها مشتركة، ومصيرها واحد.
هذا العدوان لا يستهدف دولة بعينها، بل يستهدفنا جميعا.
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Jun 2
"This practice will continue”
Russia’s response to the residential attacks on Kyiv
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Jun 1
The siloviki vs economic organs fault line is surfacing again
Not even Belousov economist turned Defence Minister can bridge the gap
Signs of internal divisions in Moscow: Bloomberg says Russia's Finance Ministry & Central Bank privately warned Putin that current defense spending is unsustainable, but the Defense Ministry is demanding more funding, not less. Putin says to start w the nonmilitary spending cuts.
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Jun 1
Cut to immigration and U.S. diplomatic clout in Africa
Jun 1
WASHINGTON (AP) — US to slash the number of embassies in Africa that process visas, AP sources say, as Trump has moved to limit migration.
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Jun 1
Bader al Saif is a must follow analyst for anyone trying to understand the Iran War’s impact on Kuwait and the broader region
Iran attacks Kuwait…again. What does that mean for #Kuwait, the region, and the parameters of the conflict? My two cents on the BBC.
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May 31
Ireland has emerged as a key enabler of Russian aggression against Ukraine
Irish neutrality is not what it seems
The most striking example is Ireland's critical role in alumina supply chains for Rusal
Rusal was founded by oligarch Oleg Deripaska
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May 31
This article is a must-read. Much like the debates over Russian energy in the past, Ireland is making the claim that sanctions on these alumina transfers hurts Europe more than Russia
x.com/KyivIndependent/status…
⚡️Data reveals Irish alumina factory exporting more product to Russia than government claimed.
Ireland's prime minister claimed that including Aughinish Alumina in the EU's next sanctions would harm Europe more than Russia, but evidence shows otherwise.
kyivindependent.com/data-rev…
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May 31
There's also a migration dimension: 14,000 Russians have been granted access to Ireland since the 2022 Ukraine invasion
This gives them access to the UK and hostile agents are included in the mix
Austria gets more heat but Ireland is a weak link
irishtimes.com/ireland/2026/…
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May 30
Iraq did not insert itself into the Iran War
The PMF has consistently been the hardest proxy for Iran to mobilize in regional engagements
Nonetheless, Iraq is facing a major energy crisis with summer electrical blackouts on the horizon
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May 30
The new Iraqi government was approved on May 14 after the chaotic post-November 2025 election cycle process. The energy crisis is a key early stress test
ft.com/content/f121e88a-46c7…
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May 30
There is a compelling case to be made that the Iran War cannot be won until Iran's threats to global shipping and commerce are neutralised
U.S. squabbling with allies weakened multilateralism and Hormuz wavering emboldens Russia and China
thehill.com/opinion/national…
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May 30
Ukrainian drone strikes are expanding in Crimea
The aim is to degrade energy infrastructure that is linked to Crimea's status as a hub in the war machine and nexus of Russian occupation in Ukraine
Feodosia was attacked overnight
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May 30
The impact of fuel shortages in Crimea which resemble the supply bottlenecks in Russia's far-flung eastern regions during prior waves of Ukrainian fuel depot attacks
x.com/nexta_tv/status/206076…
⛽️ The oil superpower has suddenly run out of gasoline
Huge lines have formed at gas stations across Crimea. Some stations have already run dry, while others are limiting sales to just 20 liters per customer.
It turns out that producing oil and actually having gasoline at the pump are not always the same thing. 😊
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May 30
100%
Duqm is a strategically vital investment destination in the Gulf and not a trojan horse for Chinese power projection or Russian/Iranian influence
May 30
غياب النفوذ المبالغ فيه: يتوافق واقع #الدقم مع ملاحظاتك بالعين المجردة؛ إذ لا يوجد فيها ذلك الحضور الصيني أو الروسي أو الإيراني الضخم الذي تروج له بعض التكهنات. تعمل عُمان على فصل الانفتاح الدبلوماسي عن المشاريع التجارية في المنطقة.
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Samuel Ramani retweeted
Realists in Washington know that a neutral, stable dialogue bridge is irreplaceable in a volatile region. Excellent analysis (and indeed, that seamless transition post-2020 under HM Sultan Haitham is proof of that deep internal stability!).
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May 30
Thank you very much for your feedback on my analysis of Oman's regional role
I analyzed these dynamics in depth during my trip to Oman in April/May 2025
An exceptionally balanced and accurate breakdown, @SamRamani2 . Framing Oman as an 'offshore balancer' hits the nail on the head. For decades, Muscat's quiet, steady diplomacy has been a vital safety valve for global security, not an adversarial stance.
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May 30
Oman is in the crosshairs of the White House
Trump has threatened military aggression against Oman
Here is what is true and not true about Oman's multi-faceted relationship with Iran /THREAD
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May 30
Duqm has much less Chinese, Russian or Iranian presence than beleived (I saw this with my own eyes)
It is also a reliable energy storage hub and is attracting Saudi and Kuwaiti capital. Add renewables, green hydrogen and space to the mix, and Duqm is a smart city in the making
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May 30
While Omani coordination with Iran and strait control proposals with Iran rankle the White House, its important to see the big picture
Oman is much more often a partner for the U.S. and its allies than an adversarial thorn in their side /END
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