There's never been an immortal society. Figuring out why. Founder @bismarckanlys.

Joined January 2018
2,051 Photos and videos
Essentially true of employees, and this is why automation is preferable: There is no principle agent problem there.
The Roman agricultural guide De Re Rustica mentions the classic principal-agent problem of slave labor. Since slaves are not properly compensated with the fruits of their labor, they require constant supervision. But since good supervision is difficult to obtain—and the supervisors themselves require supervision to do a good job—free labor is often preferable in the end. "a man's personal supervision never fails to yield a larger return from his land than does that of a tenant..On far distant estates, however, which it is not easy for the owner to visit, it is better for every kind of land to be under free farmers"
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This is also why LLMs that can lie and are often lazy are actually the worst form of automation: They're just an artificial employee. LLMs are likely still preferable to employees when they work, but if you could replace them with a different automation you would.
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A functional institution backed by a live player? No SpaceX is still underpriced.
Jun 12
i am genuinely wracking my brain and cannot decide if SpaceX is under or over-priced
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Congratulations to @elonmusk and everyone at @SpaceX! The most impressive hard tech firm in the Western world and a key reasons I still believe in our civilization's potential for progress. Today's record-breaking IPO is well deserved and won't be the last record they set.
I love the incredible people of SpaceX beyond words
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Treasure your time. It is fleeting.
22 Aug 2021
Talking to my son (6 y.o.) this morning, I was starkly reminded how serious children are. They want to do what matters to them, not be stuck with fake tasks and activities. 1/n
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say we grant the premise... what would it look like to prep for the singularity? Is there any chance of a good society on the other side? come to NYC to argue it out with me and @jackclarkSF next week!
Our internal data shows Claude is accelerating AI development—a possible path to recursive self-improvement, or AI autonomously building a more capable successor. It’s happening faster than we thought, and the implications deserve greater attention. anthropic.com/institute/recu…
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If we reach 500, I will organize a great convention of the 500! A great meeting of those who are able and willing to contribute to the future.
Replying to @palladiummag
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Congratulations to @elonmusk and everyone at @SpaceX! The most impressive hard tech firm in the Western world and a key reasons I still believe in our civilization's potential for progress. Today's record-breaking IPO is well deserved and won't be the last record they set.
I love the incredible people of SpaceX beyond words
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That it is still possible to drive forward limits of human technological achievement in our decaying civilization and prosper for it too, remains a reason for hope.
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Pull this 🧵 It's short and kinda scary.
When it comes to intelligence, I don't think will see a great equalization, rather a Matthew effect: "For to every one who has will more be given..." There is definitely a correlation between your natural intelligence and the odds of you accessing cutting edge AI.
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If you've tried out Fable which came out after this post, you have likely seen his already.
Replying to @SamoBurja
As time goes on I also expect AI simply taking you more seriously when answering questions or working with you will come to matter more and more.
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We’re at the stage now where beheadings are regrettable, but tweets are unforgivable.
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When it comes to intelligence, I don't think will see a great equalization, rather a Matthew effect: "For to every one who has will more be given..." There is definitely a correlation between your natural intelligence and the odds of you accessing cutting edge AI.
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It was The End of Industrial Society that got me onto this line of thought. It found me at the perfect time since my history channel is preparing to do a deep dive on the middle 19th century I really appreciate your lens on industrialization and social technology and will have to read Great Founder Theory soon
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The prediction isn't that old yet is already aging well given news regarding Anthropic withholding certain capabilities from their latest release. In this era, as in every previous one, intelligence will continue to be distributed unequally.
When it comes to intelligence, I don't think will see a great equalization, rather a Matthew effect: "For to every one who has will more be given..." There is definitely a correlation between your natural intelligence and the odds of you accessing cutting edge AI.
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