AI strategies everywhere hinge on widely available American frontier AI. Post-Mythos, amid compute crunches, security concerns and distillation crackdowns, that paradigm is under threat. Today, I argue the era of widespread access to frontier AI is almost over.

Beyond the obvious reasons why this is mad, citizen / noncitizen is a particularly odd axis to split this on. Plenty of nasty hackers with US passports, and surely foreign evil-doers wouldn’t find it that hard to spoof citizenship.

We’re excited to announce that @hlntnr has been named Executive Director of CSET, following her service as Interim Executive Director since September. Helen has been with CSET since our founding in 2019, and we are looking forward to a great future under her leadership!

🚨 NEW High Capacity podcast episode 🚨 I had an awesome conversation with Matt Sheehan (@mattsheehan88) about what US-China talks on AI might look like and how China's attitudes toward AI risks are changing, especially on job displacement.👇

"Even as Chinese companies race to stay at the cutting edge of AI development, Beijing is warning companies against replacing workers with AI, suggesting concern that the technology could create instability" @hannahmiao_ @raffaelehuang wsj.com/tech/ai/china-wants-… via @WSJ

I moved to London 3 years ago to join @AISecurityInst, at the time a few people with visitor passes and a whiteboard. Since then AISI has become the world’s largest and best-funded group in gov focused on AI security & safety. Fun to be in @nytimes!

As the two dominant powers in transformative AI, Washington and Beijing will determine whether it creates widely shared benefits or generates dangerous new risks. An AI model from either country could potentially be used to engineer a pathogen, launch cyberattacks, or create and disseminate realistic deepfakes — from anywhere in the world. In @ForeignAffairs, @cqknight_ and I argue that a prudent U.S. risk mitigation strategy does not mean slowing down innovation. Instead, it means working with Beijing to come to an understanding of safety research priorities, to coordinate testing for vulnerabilities and implementing safeguards, and to jointly establish best practices to contain truly global risks. Working together is necessary, and with the right approach, it is feasible. By focusing on how to look for risks rather than the specifics of what they find, Washington and Beijing can compete fiercely on AI while still mitigating the most extreme dangers it presents to the world.

Why is the Chinese public so optimistic about AI? Why are they not worried about job displacement? Why do so many people rush to use OpenClaw? People in China and the US are not different species with opposite societal and technological expectations. It is because the massive layoffs three decades ago taught the Chinese that every transformation is "the last bus" — miss this one, and history will progress without you. My new article @asteriskmgzn. Thanks @anton_d_leicht and @Scott_R_Singer for their feedbacks, and the editorial team for all the hard work.

We are entering a new era where the binding constraint on philanthropic startups is no longer funding. The scarce factors are good ideas & the talent who can execute on them. Now is the time for entrepreneurial people to start new organizations that create public goods.

During President Trump's visit to China, the two heads of state agreed to launch dialogue on #AI between the two governments, as MFA spokesperson Guo Jiakun announced today. As two leading AI powers, China and U.S. should join hands to promote the development & governance of AI, to ensure AI will better serve the progress of human civilization and common welfare of int’l community.

My new hobby is making oddly-specific AI-generated music. E.g. one album about working hard, another about unsung heroes, and one about CrossFit. I just put some on Spotify if you wanna listen.