🇩🇪🇬🇧🇿🇦Int Law & War Studies Prof in 🇦🇺 | eo Doc War S @Forsvarshogsk | RF DSS @StellenboschUni | LTC (R) & Vet @Bundeswehr Opinions are my own.

Joined May 2013
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted

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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
It takes a special kind of strategic incompetence to achieve total military dominance and still pathetically lose a war, yet that is exactly what Donald Trump did in Iran. The US and Israel ruled the skies, hitting almost every target with virtually zero resistance and few aircraft losses. Even so, the entire operation failed because Trump is a loudmouth fraud who was never actually ready to commit. Before the war started, I wrote that Iran's best move would be to just to try to somehow survive the first wave, and call Trump's bluff, and that is exactly what they did. They realized early on that Trump's tough-guy routine was entirely hollow. Airstrikes alone rarely force an aggressive regime to collapse. Trump ignored every historian and military advisor, charging ahead with Israel without a clear objective. This was not a typical asymmetric victory like Ukraine's resistance against Russia, where the smaller nation wins by inflicting severe costs on the occupier. Iran's military performance was miserable. Their air defenses were a joke, and their retaliatory strikes achieved almost nothing. They won the war of wits because survival was existential for them, while for Trump, it was a political stunt. They correctly gambled that the US had no stomach for a prolonged ground invasion. They just had to absorb the hits and choke off global oil supplies in the Strait of Hormuz. Both sides held back some of their biggest moves, since Washington kept ground troops out of the fight and Tehran chose not to make the Houthis completely seal off Bab el Mandeb. I have absolutely zero sympathy for the horrific Iranian regime. Trump deeply betrayed the people of Iran by waiting until their domestic uprisings were brutally crushed before launching his badly prepared operation. He talked big and made sweeping demands, yet everyone knew he lacked the resolve to follow through. The upcoming peace deal will inevitably be far worse than the JCPOA he originally tore down. This war exposed the hard limits of Trump's posturing. When an adversary stood their ground and called his bluff, the entire might of the US armed forces could not cover up his cowardice and stupidity
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
Keir Starmer and I disagree on many things, but good people across the political spectrum will welcome today’s verdicts, condemn these appalling attacks which seem to have been sponsored by Russia, and wish the PM and his family well. Whatever our political differences, no one should face intimidation, threats or attacks because they hold public office. Democracy is settled at the ballot box, not through fear or violence and definitely not through foreign interference from hostile countries.
Russia was behind arson attacks targeting PM, BBC reveals bbc.in/4uv12VT
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The UK Court of Appeal has ruled the government’s ban on Palestine Action as a terrorist organisation lawful, overturning a High Court decision from February 2026. The group, founded in 2020, has carried out direct actions including breaking into factories and airbases, vandalising aircraft, and causing criminal damage to protest UK links to Israel’s military. It was proscribed under the Terrorism Act 2000 in July 2025 for using serious property damage for political aims. The ruling, issued on Monday, restores the ban. Support or membership now carries up to 14 years in prison. Judges said the group’s tactics, including secret cells, went far beyond legitimate protest and upheld the Home Secretary’s national security discretion.
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
💥 The Court of Appeal just ruled AGAINST Palestine Action founder Huda Ammori upholding the ban on the group. Amazing news 🙌
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Trump capitulated
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
There’s something chilling about this interview with Qesser Zurah after the terror ban on Palestine Action was upheld. She’s charged with the same attack on the Elbit factory we just saw heavy sentencing on. She talks of “victory” being “promised”. Watch and understand them.
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The art of the deal. Now the UFC spectacle makes even more sense. Trump losing once again. MALA - Make America Loose Again.
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just published all 14 clauses of the MoU. Read them carefully, because this is not the deal Trump described. The headline numbers: $300 billion in reconstruction commitments from the US and allies. $24 billion in released frozen funds, half before negotiations even start. Complete naval blockade lifted within 30 days. US forces withdrawn from around Iran. Here's the big one: Hormuz reopens under Iranian arrangements, meaning Iran keeps management of the strait. The nuclear clause is Clause 9: Iran reiterates its commitment not to produce nuclear weapons. That's it. No enrichment cap. No dismantlement. No inspector access beyond existing frameworks. The actual nuclear terms get negotiated in a separate 60-day window, and Clause 14 explicitly removes Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups from the agenda entirely. Permanently. Iran's Deputy FM called it a total victory this morning. He wasn't spinning. Source: Mehr News / Writer: Oliver
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
This deal is way worse than the one Obama negotiated that trump tore up in 2018. So much winning!!!! 😵‍💫🤮🤮🤮
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just published all 14 clauses of the MoU. Read them carefully, because this is not the deal Trump described. The headline numbers: $300 billion in reconstruction commitments from the US and allies. $24 billion in released frozen funds, half before negotiations even start. Complete naval blockade lifted within 30 days. US forces withdrawn from around Iran. Here's the big one: Hormuz reopens under Iranian arrangements, meaning Iran keeps management of the strait. The nuclear clause is Clause 9: Iran reiterates its commitment not to produce nuclear weapons. That's it. No enrichment cap. No dismantlement. No inspector access beyond existing frameworks. The actual nuclear terms get negotiated in a separate 60-day window, and Clause 14 explicitly removes Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups from the agenda entirely. Permanently. Iran's Deputy FM called it a total victory this morning. He wasn't spinning. Source: Mehr News / Writer: Oliver
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
The most inept President in American history…
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Good and should put an end to all the shrill voices calling foul play.
The UK's ban on protest group Palestine Action under terror legislation was lawful, Court of Appeal says cnn.it/4eJuW44
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
He’s as stupid as he is dangerous.
We are trapped in an endless, global arms race. We must break the cycle to trigger a new path: toward disarmament, de-escalation and peace. My piece for @M_Star_Online ahead of this weekend’s International Conference Against War. morningstaronline.co.uk/arti…
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
This isn't a deal, it's a ceasefire and an agreement to reopen Hormuz. All of the tricky stuff like what to do with the nuclear material, future nuclear enrichment, ballistic missiles, proxies etc has all been kicked into the long grass. I am doubtful that a comprehensive deal will ever be reached. Ideological rigidity, leadership disarray and a perception of victory on the Iranian side, together with Trump's short attention span and urge to distract attention and move on with an eye to the midterms, mean that we're unlikely to see a detailed and comprehensive JCPOA 2.0 (which crucially, would also need to be perceived as 'better' than Obama's version to be palatable to Trump). Importantly too, Israel was not a party to the deal, and conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon could easily derail everything. Ultimately, we'll probably see a sort of cold war develop between the US and Iran, with another round of fighting at some point in the future a likely outcome.
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
For months, South African social media has been awash with videos of men marching through the country's streets carrying sticks, clubs and whips. Some of the clips are theatrical, others are more menacing. Running through them are repeated references to a date: 30 June, the deadline set by anti-immigration groups for illegal migrants from neighbouring African countries to leave the country… or else. South Africa has seen this before. A protest movement appears, gathers momentum online, threatens to spiral, and then usually dissipates. Yet this country is far too combustible for anyone to assume that this movement will simply pass. ✍️ Robert King Article | spectator.com/article/south-…
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Prof S Dov Bachmann retweeted
"Australian leaders consider maintaining the relationship with the United States to be their most vital defence responsibility. They pretend not to notice when the US starts an illegal war, threatens allies, or implements a vindictive tariff policy." trib.al/RtK6ZKX
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RT @rpotter_9: Mary literally runs Russian propaganda about war crimes in Bucha against Ukranian civilians. The world is upside down. https…
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