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things i check before touching a small cap, in order: dilution risk score active shelf or ATM? cash runway any reverse splits in the last 2 years insider transaction codes (P vs F vs S matters) going concern language in the last 10-Q warrant strike vs current price takes 4 minutes. saves you from buying someone else's exit liquidity.

9:45 AM ET open check. $SMSI -35.7% this morning. 8-K hit EDGAR at 6:12 AM ET. system parsed the cash model ~1 hour before open: $1.74M cash as of march 31. $1.25M monthly burn. runway: effectively zero. the filing: warrant inducement deal, 487K shares at $3.35. gross proceeds ~$1.6M. even with the exercise, runway extends to ~0.2 months. stock is now trading at $2.92. the inducement exercise price was $3.35. they raised money at a price the stock already blew through.

pre-market movers with filing catalysts - 7:54 AM ET: $MBX -17.1% - 8-K filed 54 min ago. canvuparatide 1-year OLE data: 57% responder rate vs 63% at 12 weeks. durability erosion is the read. 90% patient retention doesn't matter if the responder rate is trending the wrong way. phase 3 still on track Q3. dilution risk: 10/100. $DNTH -16.8% - 8-K filed this morning, conference presentation. the real hit was june 10 when sanofi halted its MOBILIZE trial - class-effect fear bled onto claseprubart. clinically distinct populations. analysts called it an overreaction. $1.2B cash, runway into 2030, dilution risk 10/100. the cap table isn't the problem. $HOFT 17.4% - 8-K filed yesterday, item 2.02. Q1 EPS $0.10 vs -$0.04 expected. returned to profitability in a soft furniture market. no debt. dilution risk: 0/100. the two biotech drops have clean balance sheets. the furniture beat has a clean cap table. the filing is the context the move doesn't give you.

$HRZN pre-market scan flag. CEO bought $434K on june 8. then the CFO, CIO, and 3 directors bought the same day. 6 distinct insiders. ~$630K combined. all open-market code P. all Form 4s filed jun 10-11. 52-week range: $3.80 to $8.46. they bought at $4.34. dilution risk: 4/100. no shelf. no ATM. no warrants. no convertibles. cash-flow positive. the whole C-suite and half the board put real cash in near the year low on a clean cap table. that's not one person's conviction. that's a meeting.

s&p 500 top gainers today: $SNDK 14.5% $KLAC 12.9% $LRCX 12.7% $MU 11.7% $AMAT 11.2% $TER 9.7% $UAL 9.6% five of the top six are semi equipment and memory. the losers list is a different story: $PTC -12%, $ADSK -7%, $ADBE -6%, $WDAY -5%. chips ripping. SaaS getting liquidated. the market picked a lane today.

post-close filing drop: $MRVL - 8-K, item 5.02. filed at 4:33 PM ET. 33 minutes after the bell. CFO Willem Meintjes out. Dan Durn in, effective june 15. Durn was on the board yesterday. resigned june 10. CFO june 15. board member to CFO in 24 hours is a specific kind of urgency. same day $MRVL closed 11.1% on 56.6M shares. guidance reaffirmed in the same filing. dilution risk: 0/100. no shelf. no ATM. clean cap table. the filing isn't bearish. the timing is just worth noting - companies don't bury good news at 4:33 PM.

$HUMA 424B5 hit EDGAR at 4:30 PM - 30 minutes after the bell. 47.6M shares at $1.05. $50M gross. stock closed at $1.08 today. already down 19.4% on the session. the offering price came in below the close. cash anchor from the march 10-Q: $48.7M with $8.4M/month burn. 3.4 months of runway. the $50M buys roughly 6 more. dilution score going into this: 43/100. active shelf at $516M on a $181M market cap. shares outstanding have doubled year over year. the tape already knew. the 424B5 was the confirmation.

Situational Awareness LP - Q1 2026 13F scorecard filed may 16. positions as of march 31. here's where they sit now: $SNDK - $724M at ~$635/share. now $1,759. 177% $MU - $584M at ~$338/share. now $911. 170% $AMD - $969M at ~$203/share. now $458. 125% $BE - $879M at ~$135/share. now $239. 77% $AVGO - $1.01B at ~$309/share. now $374. 21% $NVDA - $1.57B at ~$174/share. now $199. 14% $ORCL - $1.07B at ~$147/share. now $175. 19% on paper. that last one filed a $20B ATM in the same 8-K as its earnings beat this morning. the 13F said winner. the 8-K said read the footnotes.

$MTDR cluster just hit the scanner. three Form 4s filed today. CEO has been buying since may 26. not once - four separate purchases across two weeks. COO bought twice. CFO, CAO, and a Director all filed independently. 5 insiders. ~$655K total. all open-market, all code P. dilution risk: 0/100. no shelf. no ATM. no warrants. nothing. this is a C-suite that's been quietly loading their own stock while energy names got hit. the pattern took two weeks to build. the filings landed today.

$STRR midday scan flag. CEO has bought nearly every trading day since may 19. not a one-time signal. not a press release. just open-market purchases, day after day, across a 3-week window. then 4 other insiders joined in the last two weeks. 7 distinct buyers. 31 transactions. ~$796K total. all cash, all Form 4s. $41M market cap. no active shelf. no ATM. dilution risk is clean. the CEO isn't buying into a distressed cap table. he's buying into his own conviction.

PPI drops tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET. prior: 1.4% MoM. consensus: 0.7%. april was the largest monthly print since march 2022. a second consecutive hot number puts june CPI in a difficult position.

s&p 500 top gainers today: $CASY 20.3% $DVN 5.7% $APA 3.8% $TRGP 3.2% $OKE 3.2% $SJM 4.1% $CPB 3.4% CASY is an earnings print. the other six are energy and consumer staples. rotation out of growth, into things that pump gas and make soup. the market's threat model shifted today.

$BWFG. 5 directors. same stock. same week. Form 4s filed yesterday afternoon. Dale Eric J: $31,576 Dunne Jeffrey R: $16,916 Porto Carl M: $19,869 Seidman Lawrence B: $17,345 Drexler Blake S: $4,242 all at $53.70. all open-market purchases. all Connecticut bank directors deciding independently that the same price was worth their own cash. cluster total: ~$90K. not a huge dollar figure. but 5 board members coordinating a buy in a 2-day window is the signal, not the size. Seidman's been accumulating since march. this just added 4 more names to the conviction.