Transparent setups and market reads, heavy on risk management and process. Independent thoughts, 7 years of lessons. šļøšŖ£
Joined January 2024
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May 11
April/May results so far
(setups posted)
solana:5UUH9RTDiSpq6HKS6bp4NdU9PNJpXRXuiw6ShBTBhgH2 832%
$ZEC 145%
$RKLB 70%
$CFG 34%
$SPX 30% (crypto)
$USUAL 25%
$SERV 20% (early initially looks better now)
$XLK 20%
$MSTR 15%
$SOL 10%
$COMP 8% (not feeling it anymore)
$ETH 6%
$COIN 1% (maybe little early looks better now)
$MOO -2% (early to narrative/tech took off)
$LAND -4% (early to narrative/tech took off)
$DUSK -7% (stopped following zec)
This is simply charts/setups i posted before hand. Not to bad looking back heh
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Jun 10
Many ādiversifiedā portfolios are all betting on the same trade. If hyperscaler capex cracked how would your portfolio hold up?
Iāll answer for you, If your only holding hyperscalers, their suppliers or the energy powering them, not well
The recent days, yes days not even weeks have shown how overexposed people are to this trade. Obviously itās good to have exposure but risk management is not something you want to let slip.
Not saying the crack is happening but Iāve been around markets long enough to know anything can happen and if youāre not prepared for the worst you will one day be caught with your wiener in your hand.
People rushing the process trying to squeeze every penny out of the market will inevitably get burnt.
This is why I try to look elsewhere when I can.
Same reason Iām comfy in my $TGT and like $ET for its stability dividend.
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Jun 10
Claude fable bitcoin prediction
Pretty impressed tbh I kept it loose ended to let it do its thing
Iām sure many would do alright if used as a rough guide
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Jun 9
I often forget about $TGT until days like today.
Have 25% left from my ~$100 entry earlier in the year. Entry was shared. Pretty wild we are already halfway through 2026.
Updated chart
$145-155 is the target (gap)
Lower trendline been holding well will sell on breakdown of that
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Jun 8
Bitcoin
Played the bounce I posted, just moved SL around 62k
Risk free
No need to force anything
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Jun 9
Stopped out for a small gain š
Had I held Iād be approaching B/E
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Jun 9
$BOT been super strong the past week
Good long term hold, have a small bag around $30 will add on dips
36 is a short term POI likely depends how their investor investor presentation goes tomorrow
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Jun 9
solana:33eum82LaAhtv5YkUq1BdwEviSErH5CnFxqVNLT5pump
Up over 200% the last week
I didnāt post about it or take a trade so donāt want to say too much aside from I looked into this during the recent dipš. Had seen it once before then big dip came and thought mm World Cup still approaching probably a good time to buy, chart looked bad.
However itās easy to say now at the time there was āmacroā uncertainty and with the amount of āWorld Cupā coins I wasnāt sure if it would rug or what. I guess thatās where onchain skills would come in handy. Passed up a few opportunities like this recently so next time I will go with my gut.
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Jun 7
$SERV vs $BTC
Is serv the new btc?š
Serv is only 30% from ATHās
BTC is over 100% from ATHās
Serv is down 24% from its local high
Btc is down 25% from its local high
Many āmajorā alts are down 30%
Pretty crazy the strength on this guyā¦not one id want to fade
Is there any other small cap with recent strength like this?
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Jun 7
Holy canes came back
Thanks early payoutā¦Best steak I ever had
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Jun 5
Alt strength got thinned out pretty quick
ethereum:0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2 ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 pretty unfazed though, keep an eye on these
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Jun 5
@aixbt_agent thoughts on these? Compare Lit rev and mc to HL. Beta play? Seen wld get some attention from bigger names recently. why
Anything else showing strength rn?
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Jun 5
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Jun 5
$BTC
I believe we see a bounce here, obviously sentiment is in the gutter and i dont think late longs will get the laugh they want.
I outlined some areas of interest. In the short term i think 60-58k is where we bounce. 70-74k would be a appropriate place to land on a bounce here IMO. Before a possible rejection bringing us back down to new lows.
Could this be wrong sure but TIME has been the most effective way for predicting tops/bottoms in BTC since inception. Based on that i expect the low to come around october hence the red box.
However i dont really care what happens to btc and if it has bottomed or not. I did buy some more for the long term on this dip.
Say november comes and price looks good, I would simply claim my analysis as invalid and buy more on dips/opportunities from there on out. Weather the price is higher or lower than now doesnt matter, whats important is buying lower than you sell (:
The most simple way to play the next 4-5 months is to simply DCA.
The main thing is that you have a plan and stick to it.
There are many great minds on X so its fine to borrow things from people and create your own plan.
The WORST thing you can do is blindly follow what you see on X.
The issue comes when you have no plan and use X to feed the hopium and confirm what you already want to believe.
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Jun 5
This is why you take profits ;)
$ZEC
May 24
The goal is to catch some of the move not the whole move.
I dumped my $ZEC after a 100% gain, scaling out on the way up. Had I simple bought and held Iād have made another 40%ā¦ but that is exactly why i got burnt so many timesā¦holding to long waiting to sell the top. Whatās the point if you are not going to take profits.
1. Can always re enter
2. Will always be another play
No need to force anything, patience.
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Jun 4
I like $XMR here with recent $ZEC drama
XMR is the real privacy coin, always has been. ZEC however has had the spotlight recently.
Strong uptrend still on XMR weekly and a bounce here would bring us to key level around 10b mc. That would be a good TP1 in these conditions. If strength comes back ~20b the target reasoning is simple, new higher high.
Not a time for big positions IMO size down and take profits where you can tight stops š
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