Joined January 2012
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๐Ÿšจ TOP 10 Institutional Setups This Week ๐Ÿšจ Screened 2,497 liquid stocks. Only 130 passed the filter. These are the 10 names that offer the best combination of: โœ… Relative Strength โœ… Institutional Sponsorship โœ… Options Liquidity โœ… Multi-month Catalysts โœ… Favorable Price Structure Top Conviction: $RKLB $ALAB $NBIS $AMD $DDOG $ASTS My favorite options strategies right now: โ€ข CSP โ†’ AMD, MCHP, AMKR โ€ข Bull Put Spreads โ†’ DDOG, ALAB โ€ข Bull Call Spreads โ†’ RKLB, NBIS โ€ข Long Shares / LEAPS โ†’ STRL, SNOW The market continues rewarding leaders. Focus on the strongest names rather than trying to bottom-fish laggards. Which ticker on this list do you think outperforms over the next 30 days? ๐Ÿ‘‡ Drop your #1 pick below ๐Ÿ”– Save this watchlist for next week: $RKLB $ALAB $NBIS $AMD $DDOG $SNOW $STRL $AMKR $TTMI $MCHP
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Iโ€™ll be opening a series of positions this week. Fresh perspectives. Markets are digesting the news. Follow along ๐Ÿ‘€
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๐Ÿšจ TOP 10 Institutional Setups This Week ๐Ÿšจ Screened 2,497 liquid stocks. Only 130 passed the filter. These are the 10 names that offer the best combination of: โœ… Relative Strength โœ… Institutional Sponsorship โœ… Options Liquidity โœ… Multi-month Catalysts โœ… Favorable Price Structure Top Conviction: $RKLB $ALAB $NBIS $AMD $DDOG $ASTS My favorite options strategies right now: โ€ข CSP โ†’ AMD, MCHP, AMKR โ€ข Bull Put Spreads โ†’ DDOG, ALAB โ€ข Bull Call Spreads โ†’ RKLB, NBIS โ€ข Long Shares / LEAPS โ†’ STRL, SNOW The market continues rewarding leaders. Focus on the strongest names rather than trying to bottom-fish laggards. Which ticker on this list do you think outperforms over the next 30 days? ๐Ÿ‘‡ Drop your #1 pick below ๐Ÿ”– Save this watchlist for next week: $RKLB $ALAB $NBIS $AMD $DDOG $SNOW $STRL $AMKR $TTMI $MCHP
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There is no AI bubble. In fact, some of the highest-quality companies on Earth are trading at surprisingly compressed valuations. Forward P/E estimates (2028): โ€ข $NVDA โ†’ 16.1x โ€ข $MSFT โ†’ 16.8x โ€ข $META โ†’ 13.8x โ€ข $AVGO โ†’ 16.2x โ€ข $AMZN โ†’ 17.9x โ€ข $GOOGL โ†’ 20.6x Think about that for a second. The market is pricing: โŒ AI execution risk โŒ Slowing growth โŒ Margin pressure โŒ Excessive CapEx But largely ignoring: โœ… AI monetization โœ… Proprietary silicon โœ… Cloud acceleration โœ… Robotics & automation โœ… Operating leverage A few observations: โ€ข $MSFT might be the cheapest AI stock in large-cap tech. โ€ข $META is trading at a discount because investors donโ€™t trust the AI spending story. โ€ข $NVDAโ€™s valuation implies a much sharper slowdown than current demand suggests. โ€ข $AVGO remains one of the most underappreciated AI infrastructure winners. Meanwhile, all four remain in strong technical uptrends. If earnings continue to grow the way management teams expect, todayโ€™s valuations may look absurdly cheap in hindsight. My highest-conviction names for Q3โ€“Q4: 1. $NVDA 2. $MSFT 3. $META 4. $AVGO The biggest opportunities often appear when sentiment and fundamentals diverge. What am I missing?
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Shorting puts for a while now. $AAOI Time to go aggressive and get the shares assigned. Not financial advice.
Photonics is next.
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๐Ÿ“ˆ $AAOI IV skew is loud and clear. The market is paying up for upside calls. ๐Ÿ”น Jun 18 call IV jumps from ~165% to nearly 178% above $200 strikes ๐Ÿ”น July and September stay relatively flat around 148โ€“155% ๐Ÿ”น Front-month calls are meaningfully richer than longer-dated maturities What it suggests: โœ… Traders want upside exposure now โœ… Speculative momentum is still in play โœ… The priciest premium is in short-dated OTM calls Potential structures: โ€ข Covered calls โ€ข PMCCs โ€ข Call ratio spreads โ€ข Jade lizards โ€ข Cash-secured puts (for assignment-focused investors) When skew gets this steep, the edge often isnโ€™t chasing the move. Itโ€™s selling the expensive upside. Whatโ€™s your play: A) buy the $200 calls B) sell the $200 calls Drop your take ๐Ÿ‘‡
Sold a cash-secured put on $AAOI (exp. 06/18) Premium collected: $505 With implied volatility at 183%, the credit was too good to ignore. Not financial advice.
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Closed the $AAOI put for a $145 profit. ๐Ÿ’ต Position updates were shared on Slack. (link in bio)
Sold a cash-secured put on $AAOI (exp. 06/18) Premium collected: $505 With implied volatility at 183%, the credit was too good to ignore. Not financial advice.
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$NBIS waiting for another long signal. expect a strong year-end rally. not financial advice.
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If the Iran ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท deal is signed tomorrow, Iโ€™ll lock in ~$10โ€“$16k in profit from options premiums received for selling high-IV contracts on growth names. Will publish the full trading brief soon. Trade alerts hit Slack the moment we open a position in our account.
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Next rebound in $ASTS will be quick & beautiful! ๐Ÿš€
Over 10% discount on $ASTS because of the SpaceX IPO, which fundamentally changes nothing for AST SpaceMobile.
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Here you go: a quick analysis of what the options market thinks about $RKLB Source: @MenthorQpro
Do you have this for RKLB?
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$ASTS sold off today, but the options market is still constructive. Gamma condition remains positive. The environment is still call-dominated. Net GEX sits at 7.97M. Put support: $84 Call resistance: $100 Net GEX fell 81% day-over-day. Net DEX down 48%. Dealers have unwound speculative positioning, but have not shifted into negative gamma. That means the destabilizing feedback loop that amplifies moves in both directions is not in play yet. Current setup: โ€ข Spot: $83.82 โ€ข Put Support: $84 โ€ข HVL: $87 โ€ข Call Wall: $100 If $ASTS reclaims $87 and holds, the move back toward $100 opens up. The gamma structure supports it. Also, there's low float for borrowing for short sellers. A cover rally is possible if they start to unwind their short exposure. GEX chart via @MenthorQpro
$ASTS dipped today. Rolled my short puts up and out. New cost basis: $74 (2 contracts) Net credit collected: $10,186 ๐Ÿ’ต Waiting for the Q3 rebound. Looking at a potential $10K profit if it plays out. Not financial advice.
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Most traders look at $IREN and see a Bitcoin miner. They're missing the real story. IREN secured a $3.4B AI cloud contract with NVIDIA, expanded its AI cloud platform to Europe, and grew GPU capacity to 150,000, all within a few months. This is infrastructure buildout at a pace the market hasn't fully priced. Technically: - Parallel channel respected on the daily - Weekly bull-flag breakout intact - Trend direction bullish, with a divergence between price & RSI We're positioned via a long synthetic future (short put long call, same strike, same expiry). Net credit on entry. Full upside exposure. If assigned shares, that's even better; it's a strong Wheel candidate with high IV and a real growth engine underneath. Revenue forecast to grow 41% annually over the next 3 years, more than double the 15% growth forecast for the broader software industry. Don't forget that it also has an NVDA contract, EU expansion (Nostrum acquisition), GPU fleet scaling plans, and high-growth revenue expectations. Target: 70 near-term. 100 by Q4 under favorable conditions. Not financial advice.
$NBIS $IREN High-IV names with strong fundamentals. Perfect for selling puts. We closed our short put positions last week. Iran deal uncertainty had us risk-off until the macro picture clears. Once clarity hits, we're back in. Weekly premiums on these two can pull a solid ~$2k in income. Not financial advice.
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Everyone's calling $SPCX the trade of the decade. Maybe. But read the filing first. A stretched price and a deliberately thin float are a recipe for a sharp first move in either direction, followed by higher-than-normal volatility. That's not an opinion. That's the structure of the deal. What the bulls have right: - Starlink is genuinely profitable and growing - A small initial free float against global demand can force a sharp opening premium, and if $SPCX qualifies for large-cap indices, funds tracking those benchmarks become mechanical buyers within weeks - SpaceX operates a constellation of ~10,000 satellites, plus xAI (the AI unit that acquired @x). The asset base is real. What the bears have right: - Bulls see $2.5T by 2030. Bears see fair value at less than half today's tag. That's not a rounding error. That's a completely different company. - Existing shareholders, including Musk, are locked up for 366 days, which is longer than usual. Limits early selling, but also caps float and amplifies swings. - First earnings call as a public company isn't until September 2026. You're flying blind on fundamentals for months. The first move will be dominated by supply-demand technicals. Fundamentals won't get a real read until the first quarterly report. So far, $SPCX has hit a high of $176.50 today. Treat today's trading as price discovery, not a verdict. Not financial advice.
$SPCX IPO drops June 12. $1.75 trillion valuation. Largest IPO in history. The red flags are stacking up. Musk owns ~13% of Tesla (up to ~20% incl. options) and ~49% of SpaceX, while controlling ~84% of SpaceX votes post-IPO. SpaceX now drives more of his net worth than Tesla. In any stock-for-stock deal, the exchange ratio is everything, and the person setting it gains ~3.8x more from a $1 SpaceX markup than a $1 Tesla markup. The pattern is ugly: SolarCity got a premium bailout; Tesla disclosed a $2B xAI investment after shareholders had rejected it; SpaceX absorbed xAI weeks later; then Musk admitted xAI "was not built right." Three times out of three, the more-Musk-owned, weaker asset gets marked up, and public shareholders pay. Timing favors him too: Tesla just posted a 16% delivery drop and its first annual revenue decline, while SpaceX is riding IPO euphoria. If he wants a favorable ratio, this is the window. Valuation concerns: Morningstar values SpaceX at $63/share, 53% below the $135 IPO price. Even in their moonshot scenario ($154/share), they assign just a 7% probability. At $1.75T, SpaceX trades at 94x trailing revenue and 266x EBITDA. For context, that's 3x Nvidia's sales multiple. SpaceX posted an $18.7B revenue in 2025, but also a $4.94B net loss after reporting profit the year before. The reversal matters. Only Starlink is profitable. The space segment lost $619M; the AI unit burned $2.5B. SpaceX's S-1 states: "history of net losses and may not achieve profitability in the future." Much of the value relies on novel, untested tech, reusable Starship at scale, orbital data centers, which won't be proven until 2028 at the earliest. Sen. Warren urged the SEC to delay the IPO, citing governance risks, dual-class structure giving Musk outsized control, and rapid Nasdaq 100 inclusion that could force $60B in passive flows into retail and pension accounts. That said, the bull case is real. Starlink hit 10.3M subscribers, growing 50% YoY with $11.4B in revenue and 39% operating margin. That's SaaS-like profitability in a hardware business. The Anthropic-xAI compute deal: $1.25B/month through May 2029. Over $40B in locked revenue. Validates the xAI merger thesis in one contract. Nasdaq fast-entry rules mean SpaceX enters the Nasdaq 100 within weeks. Analysts estimate $7B in forced buying on inclusion day alone;$60B across passive funds. That creates a structural bid. Vertical integration moat: rocket manufacturing, satellite production, ground infrastructure, consumer services. No competitor replicates that in 5 years. 165 Falcon launches in 2025. 2,213 metric tons to orbit. Starship operational by 2027 in the bull case unlocks Mars missions, deep-space logistics, and cost curves no one else can match. If Starlink maintains growth and xAI delivers on orbital compute, the $1.75T valuation starts to pencil. The institutional base case is $1.0โ€“1.2T, but the bull scenario reaches $1.7โ€“2.0T. I subscribed for 100 shares. The risks are clear. The governance is messy. The valuation prices in perfection. But I want to be part of this mission. SpaceX is building the infrastructure for humanity's next frontier, whether that's global connectivity, AI in orbit, or eventual interplanetary commerce. Not every trade is about the cleanest setup. Some are about being there when the future gets built. Not financial advice.
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$ASTS dipped today. Rolled my short puts up and out. New cost basis: $74 (2 contracts) Net credit collected: $10,186 ๐Ÿ’ต Waiting for the Q3 rebound. Looking at a potential $10K profit if it plays out. Not financial advice.
Wheel Update: $ASTS Markets corrected today on the jobs report. Rate hike fears back in play. $ASTS plunged ~8% (high IV stock). We had 2 short puts open at a 108 cost basis (June 05, 112, 113 strikes). Rolled into July. Collected $5400 credit. ๐Ÿ’ต Reduced cost basis to ~$93. โœ… Next move: Close for profit if it bounces. If not, take assignment and sell covered calls. This is what the Wheel does. You collect premium. You wait for your thesis. And get paid for just waiting. Sure, it won't give you the fake triple-digit returns the scammers brag about. But it builds real cash flow and hits double-digit returns year after year. That, my friend, is a gift in the world of investment management. $SPCX poses competition, but new government backing for space ventures should support the sector. $GS also reported north of $330B in revenue for $SPCX by 2030. At those numbers, one can naively expect a smaller piece of the pie is sufficient to boost this stock for the long term, not to mention potential synergies between $SPCX and $ASTS. But there's a weird risk on the table: will $ASTS face the same fate as $RIVN against $TSLA? Only time will tell. Not financial advice.
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I think future AI models will be trained outside of the United States. Perhaps in a less restricted environment.
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Here we goโ€ฆ.
If Iโ€™m not mistaken, the Iran war ends on this date. Could this be the signal? Just 2 more days.
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If Iโ€™m not mistaken, the Iran war ends on this date. Could this be the signal? Just 2 more days.
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