Joined March 2009
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Global markets starting to feel way too complacent about Iran War. Not only are costs beginning to spike in things like shipping .. .but we are weeks (days?) away from hearing about shortages in things like fertilizer, jet fuel, and more. Poor countries are going to feel it first. Stay focused and nimble.
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Brian Sullivan retweeted
Some great insights here about a hypothetical ‘wealth tax.’
Lots of calls for a wealth tax lately. It sounds good: tax the super-rich more so we can have more money for government services. But a couple of quick things you won't hear in the sound bites. Europe tried a wealth tax and mostly abandoned it. One big reason is that countries found that the cost of enforcing it were often higher than the tax revenue it brought in. Little to no money actually made it to those who needed it. To tax 'wealth' you need an army of new, highly trained (and highly paid) IRS agents to comb through super complex situations. Taxing income is relatively easy. Just take a specific % of a specific number and deduct a few things. Taxing wealth is hard, messy and incredibly complex (again, don't believe me .. ask the European nations who tried and abandoned it). And then what do you do when wealth falls? Let's say a family is worth $20 billion. They are taxed. Their family stock (and remember that 'wealth' is going to almost always be in stock, never in income) falls by 50%. Does the IRS have to write a billion-dollar refund check back to the family for taxing them on wealth that no longer exists? The family will sue for the money back. Which means another army of IRS agents will spend years tied up in analysis and litigation. Everyday taxpayers can and will fight audits over relatively small sums of money. What do you think the rich and their team of accountants are going to do? But we are a democracy and its voters demand it or Congress votes for it, let's give it a try. Maybe we can do taxes better than Europe. We certainly are a lot richer these days as they've driven themselves into a ditch. One upside of a new wealth tax would certainly be on DC real estate. We'd have to hire a massive number of new, well-paid auditors who will need a place to live. Anyway, you don't have to believe me. I work for CNBC know a lot of rich people so this will largely be discounted anyway. Do some quick research or use Chat or Gemini or whatever and let it give you an unvarnished answer. But like all things you hear ... things are usually more complex than simple sound bites -- or X posts -- can relate. Always happy to have polite, kind and fair debates on any topic. Look forward to further discussion. Go USA soccer and Go Knicks!
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If congress passes the law to add a fee on wealth, what choice do we have?
Let’s give it a try?
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That would make it just another income tax. Its legal congressional mandate is for health care and retirement.
Replying to @SullyCNBC
Start with no ceiling on income taxed for SS/FICA?
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Lots of calls for a wealth tax lately. It sounds good: tax the super-rich more so we can have more money for government services. But a couple of quick things you won't hear in the sound bites. Europe tried a wealth tax and mostly abandoned it. One big reason is that countries found that the cost of enforcing it were often higher than the tax revenue it brought in. Little to no money actually made it to those who needed it. To tax 'wealth' you need an army of new, highly trained (and highly paid) IRS agents to comb through super complex situations. Taxing income is relatively easy. Just take a specific % of a specific number and deduct a few things. Taxing wealth is hard, messy and incredibly complex (again, don't believe me .. ask the European nations who tried and abandoned it). And then what do you do when wealth falls? Let's say a family is worth $20 billion. They are taxed. Their family stock (and remember that 'wealth' is going to almost always be in stock, never in income) falls by 50%. Does the IRS have to write a billion-dollar refund check back to the family for taxing them on wealth that no longer exists? The family will sue for the money back. Which means another army of IRS agents will spend years tied up in analysis and litigation. Everyday taxpayers can and will fight audits over relatively small sums of money. What do you think the rich and their team of accountants are going to do? But we are a democracy and its voters demand it or Congress votes for it, let's give it a try. Maybe we can do taxes better than Europe. We certainly are a lot richer these days as they've driven themselves into a ditch. One upside of a new wealth tax would certainly be on DC real estate. We'd have to hire a massive number of new, well-paid auditors who will need a place to live. Anyway, you don't have to believe me. I work for CNBC know a lot of rich people so this will largely be discounted anyway. Do some quick research or use Chat or Gemini or whatever and let it give you an unvarnished answer. But like all things you hear ... things are usually more complex than simple sound bites -- or X posts -- can relate. Always happy to have polite, kind and fair debates on any topic. Look forward to further discussion. Go USA soccer and Go Knicks!
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World Cup 2022. I watched the USA v Netherlands in a bar in Amsterdam. I was the only American. Everyone was super nice until we tied the game 1-1. Then it got a little serious. Then they scored again and everyone was nice. Because … soccer!
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Space is cold, dark and dangerous. I believe one day we will see data centers in space .. but it may take a lot longer than we think. Or maybe the space robots do the maintenance? Exciting times, either way
Replying to @SullyCNBC
If they can get a data center in space next year. Makes me wonder why others didn't try before all that capex on the ground that requires more power that they can't even get so far
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Rockets get the love but its just a part of the SpaceX biz. It's really more of an AI and connectivity company.
Replying to @SullyCNBC
And what kind of profit have they made off of all that? Are people waiting in line to buy rockets?
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The SpaceX IPO is likely going to generate billions and billions and billions of tax revenue for the Federal government and some states where employees live, pay taxes and buy stuff. This could be a tax windfall for the ages. So 'congrats' to them too!

ALT Simpsons Taxes GIF

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Brian Sullivan retweeted
POWER POLL: Will SpaceX finish the year higher or lower?
48% Higher
52% Lower
71 votes • Final results
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SpaceX is a data center and internet company with a rocket business attached. Darn impressive.
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Give me your best time estimate of when we see the first share of SpaceX trade ... I'll go with 2:01pm. Just random time guess connected to absolutely nothing at all You?
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One part of Iran is the "Galibaf wing" ... hard liner. They may be having a say. Impossible to know. But its why there's often contradictory 'news' coming out of Iran.
Forget about who controls Iran. Who controls Iran State Media that ridicules Trump and USA at every turn? @SullyCNBC @MCaruso_Cabrera @mmcassella @CNBCTheExchange

ALT monty python and the holy grail insult GIF

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news --> TRUMP CALLS OFF ATTACKS TONIGHT ON IRAN stocks a' rocking more now on @CNBC
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Important to remember that there is no oil production on Kharg Island. It's an offshore loading port with some storage. If we 'take' it, Iran could still pump oil, it just has nowhere to put it .. which means it will have to shut it off (aka no money). Without oil money, Iran's options dwindle over time. More discussion on @PowerLunch and @CNBCTheExchange @CNBC today
There's been a significant buildup of U.S. military power and equipment in the Gulf. Not just naval ships, but air and amphibious power as well. Many friends in the Tidewater, Virginia area know people who are now deployed. A 'taking' of Kharg wouldn't be a surprise. Deep market players have known this is a possibility. The question is how Iran and NIOC (the Iranian oil company) might react. My take --> 25% chance of happening. But it's not 0%. #oil #iran #khargisland
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Because you don't want the oil destroyed. That's ~2m b/d off the market. Youd want to keep production the same (or even increase it over time) Just my take but hard not to see that as the case. We will have more on @PowerLunch
Replying to @SullyCNBC
Why take it when you could just destroy the terminals or interdict the ships? It doesn't make sense. Taking out leadership is the next best step or arming insurgents
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There's been a significant buildup of U.S. military power and equipment in the Gulf. Not just naval ships, but air and amphibious power as well. Many friends in the Tidewater, Virginia area know people who are now deployed. A 'taking' of Kharg wouldn't be a surprise. Deep market players have known this is a possibility. The question is how Iran and NIOC (the Iranian oil company) might react. My take --> 25% chance of happening. But it's not 0%. #oil #iran #khargisland
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MIRACLE ON 33RD STREET (tm)
Got home and wrapping writing Power Insider. Turned on the Knicks game. Turning off the Knicks game.

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Got home and wrapping writing Power Insider. Turned on the Knicks game. Turning off the Knicks game.

ALT топ GIF

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Brian Sullivan retweeted
⚡️Sign up for Power Insider⚡️ Get @SullyCNBC's energy insight straight to your inbox: cnbc.com/newsletter-power-in…
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