Projections truther. Co-owner @StatlineScout Former @MLB@NBA & @Mojo “One of those analytical model is god never seen dudes actually play before type guy”
Teruaki Sato does not have Munetaka Murakami's lengthy track record of brilliance in NPB, but his combined age '26 and '27 seasons have been all-time with improved K:BB and elite ISOs. All-world max EVs and bat speed.
Expected to be posted this offseason.
Top 5 1B in @StatlineScout model by peak WAR projections.
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (4.3)
2. Nick Kurtz
3. Munetaka Murakami
4. Ben Rice
5. Bryce Harper (3.8)
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Angels' SP Grayson Rodriguez is a juicy buy low target.
@steamerpro and Oopsy (@StatlineScout model) project 3.80 and 3.57 ERA in 16 starts (top ~30-40 SP). He cruised through the minors before he was roughed up in his debut, but stuff / velo looks good.
Buy low SP comparing ERA to projected ERA in Oopsy (the @StatlineScout model)
1. Nick Lodolo (-3.44)
2. Garrett Crochet (-3.25)
3. Luis Castillo (-2.63, lost rotation spot)
4. Aaron Nola (-1.97)
5. Jack Flaherty (-1.55)
Others include Eury, Luzardo, Webb, Gilbert, Sheehan
Mets prospect Chris Suero 📈 checks every box for being overlooked:
Low BABIP ✅
Primary C ✅
Elevated K% ✅
Whack @fangraphs grade ✅
Profiles as 20/20 regular in OF. 3 WAR projection in @StatlineScout model despite a sub 10% @Fantrax ownership.
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"He rakes in Somerset."
Chris Suero (@Mets No. 14 prospect) leaves the yard for the second time this series! He has 7️⃣ home runs this season.
Binghamton trails by four in the eighth inning.
🎠x #DefendOurHome x @MetsPlayerDev
4 WAR club in the @StatlineScout model among rookie-eligible prospect bats:
- Konnor Griffin (4.8)
- Emmanuel Rodriguez (4.1) 👀
- Munetaka Murakami (4.0)
It's cool to whiff a ton if you can do other stuff at an elite level.
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⭐️ 3-3.9 WAR club in @StatlineScout (excl. C)
Franklin Arias, S. Walcott, A.J. Ewing, Aidan Miller, Colt Emerson, Henry Bolte, Dax Kilby, C. Bonemer, Jett Williams, Luis Pena, Max Clark, L. De Vries, Luis Lara , Sam Antonacci, Jesus Made, D. Fitz-Gerald, Walker Jenkins, J Lawlar
⭐️ 3-3.9 WAR club in @StatlineScout (excl. C)
Franklin Arias, S. Walcott, A.J. Ewing, Aidan Miller, Colt Emerson, Henry Bolte, Dax Kilby, C. Bonemer, Jett Williams, Luis Pena, Max Clark, L. De Vries, Luis Lara , Sam Antonacci, Jesus Made, D. Fitz-Gerald, Walker Jenkins, J Lawlar
4 WAR club in the @StatlineScout model among rookie-eligible prospect bats:
- Konnor Griffin (4.8)
- Emmanuel Rodriguez (4.1) 👀
- Munetaka Murakami (4.0)
It's cool to whiff a ton if you can do other stuff at an elite level.
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Zack Gelof has looped back around from a sell high in '23 when he had a 132 wRC in '23 to a buy high before managers fall back in love. His 2.9 peak WAR projection in @StatlineScout is good for 139th in pro baseball (includes all prospects). 20/20 fantasy-friendly profile.
All-time, age 27, peak projected wRC leaders for NPB/KBO hitters based only on each player's pre-MLB debut NPB/KBO age/stats.
Glad Ohtani pops at no. 1. Too bad Matsui didn't come at a younger age. Sato power is real. Kenji Johjima is the blemish on the model's track record.
The top 10 pitching prospects in the OOPSY Peak Model!
1. Kade Anderson
2. Anthony Eyanson
3. Travis Sykora 🏥
4. Payton Tolle
5. Jonah Tong
6. Trey Yesavage
7. Robby Snelling 🏥
8. Jarlin Susana 🏥
9. Seth Hernandez
10. Ty Johnson 🎦
Join today to see how all 3800 rank!
Tigers 3B Jace Jung could be the long-term answer at 3rd when Gage Workman cools off from his heater. Jung was on base 5x last night and his 2.5 peak WAR projection would be 6th best in the org among their MLB bats. Bret Baty-ish platoon risk, though.
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I hope these continue to get more niche.
"Depth Charts increases Zack Gelof rest of season PA projection by 50."
"OOPSY alters Griffin Jax usage assumption to SP instead of RP."
"THE BAT unveils projection for A.J. Ewing"
The INTL prospects with the most upside are 22-year-old KBO stars Do Yeong Kim and Hyun Min Ahn, Korea's lead off and cleanup hitters in the WBC.
Both are well ahead of Jung Hoo Lee at the same age, but with superior physical traits. Project as plus Major Leaguers, ETA 2030-31.
NPB 3B Teruaki Sato doesn't have the pristine resumé and BB:K ratio of Seiya Suzuki or Munetaka Murakami, but he has plus to elite bat speed, barrel rate, max EVs and having an all-time '26 season statistically.
Expect a power-heavy 120-125 wRC with a '27 ETA in the Majors.
A's OF prospect Henry Bolte has a 40 grade in @fangraphs but he is 10th among prospect eligible bats by peak projected WAR in the @StatlineScout model.
He is 3rd among prospects in per PA fantasy value fueled by a 600 PA projection of 20 HR and 34 SB at peak. BUY BUY BUY.
Before his MLB debut, Mets prospect AJ Ewing had a peak projection in @StatlineScout of 3.5 WAR (5th best among MiLB hitters), 110 wRC , 13 HR, 35 SB.
He is years away from peak, but a buy high is warranted based on where he's ranked on other popular sources.
Trusting that insanely productive pro hitters will become good big leaguers instead of trying to discount them bc of scout-brain is a superpower.
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