Breadth expanded strongly to close the week, but indices are sitting right at resistance. One more dip or straight to all-time highs? The Iran deal this weekend, and Warsh's first FOMC on Wednesday, hold the answer. youtu.be/-ECwO8vpi3o

Macro Week Ahead 🗓️ Wednesday 06/17 • Core Retail Sales m/m · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 0.5% • Retail Sales m/m · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 0.5% • President Trump Speaks · 9:30 AM ET · fcst N/A • Federal Funds Rate · 2:00 PM ET · fcst 3.75% • FOMC Economic Projections · 2:00 PM ET · fcst N/A • FOMC Statement · 2:00 PM ET · fcst N/A • FOMC Press Conference · 2:30 PM ET · fcst N/A Thursday 06/18 • Philly Fed Manufacturing Index · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 11.4 • Unemployment Claims · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 225K $SPY #StockMarket #Trading Trade Alerts · Daily Market Analysis · 14 Live Screeners · TradingView Indicators patreon.com/TradingApologist

Latest News: U.s. unemployment rate drops to 3.6%, lowest since 1969.

Latest News: Metaplanet to acquire Siiibo Securities and rename it Metaplanet Securities as part of its Bitcoin finance strategy in Japan.

BREAKING: A diplomat involved in US-Iran peace talks says Israeli strikes on Beirut, Lebanon, today have created issues with finalizing a deal, per Fox News. The diplomat says the strikes are an attempt to "sabotage President Trump's deal and drag the US back into war." Yesterday, President Trump said a peace deal was scheduled to be signed today.

Latest News: Aryon Security closed a $29M Series A to develop preventive enforcement technology for cloud security, shifting the focus from reactive to proactive threat mitigation. $TEL

Latest News: Bitcoin nears $65k as markets price in reduced geopolitical risk from potential Iran peace negotiations under Trump administration.

Latest News: Trump administration to sign Iran peace deal Sunday despite Tehran's stated objections. Markets watching for potential geopolitical de-escalation impact on oil, equities and crypto.

Latest News: Oil traders betting on sanction relief as U.S.-Iran talks approach June 30 deadline, with Tehran signaling willingness to curb nuclear activity in exchange for easing restrictions.

Latest News: Iran's foreign minister claims Iran won its conflict with the U.S., signaling continued escalation rhetoric amid Middle East tensions affecting oil markets and geopolitical risk premiums.

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AMD CEO LISA SU HELD A MINI PC ON STAGE THAT RUNS A 235B MODEL AND REPLACES YOUR $440/MONTH AI STACK amd's ryzen ai max 395 is the first x86 chip that runs a 200 billion parameter model on one piece of silicon. cpu and gpu share 128gb of unified memory, no separate graphics card needed the gmktec evo-x2 runs qwen3 235b fully, deepseek v3 comfortably and llama 3.3 70b with headroom. on linux you get 110gb of usable vram out of 128gb amd claimed the chip beat an nvidia rtx 5080 by more than 3x on deepseek r1 inference. a lunchbox sized pc outrunning a $1,000 discrete gpu on a real ai workload a heavy ai user pays $200 for claude code max, $200 for chatgpt pro, $20 for cursor and $20 for gemini. that's $5,280 a year and the box pays itself off in 9 to 10 months install ollama, pull the model, point claude code at localhost. same interface, nothing leaves the machine, nothing costs per request bookmark this and read the article below

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Latest News: Trump's proposed tariffs are creating uncertainty for importers as businesses await clarity on implementation details and potential scope.

Latest News: Netanyahu's reelection odds on Polymarket sit at 36% yes, 64% no, reflecting significant uncertainty despite his current leadership position. Heavy trading volume suggests traders remain divided on his political future.

I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.

Latest News: Trump claims Iran nuclear deal will be signed Sunday. SpaceX prepares next test flight. Markets await clarity on Iran developments and geopolitical implications.

Does buying $MSTR get you more bitcoin than buying $BTC? Right now, yes. MSTR trades below the value of the bitcoin it holds, so each share is about 241,000 sats and a dollar buys roughly 28% more bitcoin than spot. Free calculator, tracks it live: mstr-arb.tradingapologist.co… #Bitcoin #MSTR #Arbitrage #Trading

This is the real reason for the worldwide pause of Fable 5, but the bigger moral question of my last post still holds.

Splitting the atom gave us both abundant energy and the most destructive weapons ever built. The same duality is playing out with AI. It is already accelerating breakthroughs across science, medicine, and engineering, and yes, it carries real potential for harm in the wrong hands. But the upside is not abstract. We have a genuine shot at curing diseases, expanding opportunity, and handing imaginative, driven people anywhere in the world tools that were unthinkable a decade ago. Those gains come with risk, and we should take that risk seriously. What we should not do is surrender enormous social, economic, and human progress in the name of eliminating a danger we cannot eliminate anyway. Bad actors will pursue this regardless of what we do, and other nations are not going to pause development out of courtesy. Every powerful technology in history has been open to misuse, and we did not abandon nuclear physics, the internet, or biotech because of it. We learned to manage them. I would argue the same logic holds here. Like the atom, AI hands us far more than it threatens to take away, and the smart move is to steer it well, not to stand still. @AnthropicAI @DavidSacks #AI #freedom