Let’s be clear, Forest won gameweek 34
#nffc
Gap to 17th & 18th maintained 4 GD with three points fewer now available for teams below to catch us with
2 points gained to 15th
3 points gained to 14th
Spurs now need a 6 turnaround in 4 games to go above us. Historically closing a 5 point gap over the final four games for any team has only happened 41/4778 times = less than 1%.
Just one more point for Forest makes that turnaround 7 and therefore they will need results in 3/4 games, 2 wins and a draw at least.
Just 2 more points for Forest means they need to either win 3/4 or get something from every game including 2 wins and 2 draws.
The next round of games are tough for all three teams at the most risk. Wins for all seems unlikely. Something will change.