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Vince Cooper @VTCoop
Joined April 2016
  • Tweets 86
  • Following 226
  • Followers 147
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Vince Cooper retweeted
Zeke Hausfather
@hausfath
Feb 2
Recent assessments have found the last glacial maximum implies a climate sensitivity of 2.4C (1.4C to 5.0C): science.org/doi/10.1126/scia… And the Pliocene implies a sensitivity of 3.1C (2.3C to 4.7C): pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.25… Paleoclimate evidence generally provides the strongest constraint on high ECS.
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Vince Cooper retweeted
PNASNews@PNASNews
Jan 30
The Pliocene climate was more sensitive than the current climate, suggesting that the upper bound of potential 21st-century warming—an estimate informed by Pliocene warming—should be revised down from 5 °C to 4 °C, according to the authors. In PNAS: ow.ly/clo450Y5yUn
Modern climate sensitivity and 21st-century warming, accounting for paleoclimate pattern effects.

ALT Modern climate sensitivity and 21st-century warming, accounting for paleoclimate pattern effects.
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🌎 New paper out: Narrowing uncertainty in modern climate sensitivity with paleoclimate evidence 🌍 doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2511370… How much will the Earth warm from greenhouse-gas emissions? 📈

Paleoclimate pattern effects help constrain climate sensitivity and 21st-century warming | PNAS

Paleoclimates provide examples of past climate change that inform estimates of modern warming from greenhouse-gas emissions, known as Earth’s clima...

pnas.org
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🔗Open-access version: eartharxiv.org/repository/vi…

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Co-authors: Kyle Armour, Greg Hakim, Jessica Tierney, Natalie Burls, Cristian Proistosescu, Tim Andrews, Wenhao Dong, Michelle Dvorak, Ran Feng, Matthew Osman, and Yue Dong
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Vince Cooper@VTCoop
2 Sep 2024
Great post diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/… from @micefearboggis about a new surface temperature dataset

Finally, a really new global temperature dataset

New-global-temperature-dataset day is better than Christmas.

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com
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Vince Cooper@VTCoop
2 Sep 2024
Check out the original study from @chan_duo here: nature.com/articles/s41597-0…

A Dynamically Consistent ENsemble of Temperature at the Earth surface since 1850 from the DCENT...

Scientific Data - A Dynamically Consistent ENsemble of Temperature at the Earth surface since 1850 from the DCENT dataset

nature.com
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Vince Cooper@VTCoop
11 Aug 2024
New paper led by Dan Lunt (@ClimateSamwell) showing how paleoclimates can be used to test whether climate models have plausible responses to CO2, check it out here: nature.com/articles/s43247-0…

Paleoclimate data provide constraints on climate models' large-scale response to past CO2 changes

Communications Earth & Environment - Changes in global mean surface temperature and polar amplification found in the CMIP6/PMIP4 model ensemble mean can be constrained with paleoclimate data,...

nature.com
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Vince Cooper retweeted
Harvard Statistics Department@HarvardStats
27 Jun 2024
Excited to share that the Harvard Department of Statistics is seeking to appoint tenure-track faculty! Please share our posting with your graduating graduate students and postdocs: statistics.fas.harvard.edu/n… #HarvardStats

Harvard Department of Statistics Seeks Tenure-Track Faculty | Department of Statistics

statistics.fas.harvard.edu
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Vince Cooper retweeted
Adam Sokol@AdamBSokol
30 Apr 2024
Our new paper on tropical cloud feedbacks is out in @NatureGeosci. We show that changes in high cloud area do not provide a negative feedback on climate change like previously thought. Instead, high clouds become thinner with warming, which acts as a... nature.com/articles/s41561-0…

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Vince Cooper retweeted
Carbon Brief
@CarbonBrief
2 May 2024
Guest post: Ice-age analysis suggests worst-case global warming is less likely | @VTCoop @karmour_uw Read here: buff.ly/44rHvKU
Modern-day ECS estimates from recent assessments, including the Sherwood, Webb et al (2020 study (yellow), IPCC AR6 (red) and this study (blue). Dots show central estimates. The coloured bars show the likely range and the very likely range is given by whiskers. Chart by Carbon Brief based on data provided by V Cooper and K Armour

ALT Modern-day ECS estimates from recent assessments, including the Sherwood, Webb et al (2020 study (yellow), IPCC AR6 (red) and this study (blue). Dots show central estimates. The coloured bars show the likely range and the very likely range is given by whiskers. Chart by Carbon Brief based on data provided by V Cooper and K Armour

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Vince Cooper retweeted
Zeke Hausfather
@hausfath
2 May 2024
Excellent @CarbonBrief article by @VTCoop and @karmour_uw discussing their recent paper finding that new estimates from the last glacial maximum suggest that high climate sensitivity (>4C per doubling CO2) may be less likely than previously thought: carbonbrief.org/guest-post-i…
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Vince Cooper retweeted
Carbon Brief
@CarbonBrief
1 May 2024
NEW – Guest post: Ice-age analysis suggests worst-case global warming is less likely | @VTCoop @karmour_uw Read here: buff.ly/3UHairx
Modern-day ECS estimates from recent assessments, including the Sherwood, Webb et al (2020 study (yellow), IPCC AR6 (red) and this study (blue). Dots show central estimates. The coloured bars show the likely range and the very likely range is given by whiskers. Chart by Carbon Brief based on data provided by V Cooper and K Armour

ALT Modern-day ECS estimates from recent assessments, including the Sherwood, Webb et al (2020 study (yellow), IPCC AR6 (red) and this study (blue). Dots show central estimates. The coloured bars show the likely range and the very likely range is given by whiskers. Chart by Carbon Brief based on data provided by V Cooper and K Armour

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Vince Cooper retweeted
Zeke Hausfather
@hausfath
18 Apr 2024
Theres an important new study from many of the leading researchers on paleoclimate and climate sensitivity. They provide a new, more robust estimate of climate sensitivity from the last glacial maximum, suggesting a sensitivity of 2.9C (95%: 2.1 to 4.1C) science.org/doi/10.1126/scia…
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