Joined August 2015
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Beck shows a 30 year-old clip of an Iranian describing exactly how they are operating now to exhaust the USA and win this war. He's still a warmonger but he makes at least a few good points.
Here's the hard truth about the Iran war: Iran isn't trying to win. It's trying to outlast. This has been their plan for decades. We even have footage of them saying EXACTLY THAT in the 1990s. By every conventional measurement, Iran has lost. But they learned something important over the past decades: The only wars America has ever lost are the ones we've grown tired of. So, they have kept the war JUST hot enough to wear the American people out. They know they can’t beat us on the battlefield. So they hurt us at the gas pump and wait for us to vote in new people. That has always been their ultimate plan.
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Not everyone understands that there is no military "solution" to the Iran situation without 500,000 boots on the ground. Brett is one of few who do, though. He also understands that Iran gets a say—and they won't accept a US blockade forever.
One of the most concerning aspects about the United States’ Iran War strategy is that it significantly underestimates the availability of Iranian response IF the economic pain from the blockade and Operation Economic Fury become severe. This is one of the core reasons why I hold the belief that Iran is not particularly concerned about mass domestic uprisings, and why they are not moving an inch at the negotiating table. Throughout the past month in particular, the term “escalation dominance” has been used so many times it’s almost a joke at this point. But it is true. Iran has a plethora of options they COULD use if need be, and each of these options would be downright catastrophic for the global economy. Most notably, and this is something people have been talking about since the very first day of the war, is that Iran could quite easily shut down the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. In effect, this would more or less double the current global economic crisis spiral. As we have seen with maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, just a few drones or missiles is enough of a threat for vessels to halt their navigation. Iran can cut undersea Internet cables. This is something that they themselves have threatened just in the past few weeks. Again… a pretty extreme move, but for a country legitimately facing an existential threat from what they consider to be the “Great and Little Satan”? I’d count on it. They can strike and destroy even more Gulf energy infrastructure. Time and time again, we see that U.S. defenses that the Gulf countries depend on for their safety fail to be able to effectively protect against Iranian attacks. The only reason the global energy crisis is not far worse, is purely due to restraint from Iran. These are only a few of the MANY options Iran would have to escalate if need be. At this time, however, Iran seems MORE confident in their control on power. Not less. Just this past week, Iran reactivated the Internet for the population after a historically long shut down. Now, to be fair, it is still heavily filtered and restricted, but this is not the action of a government fearful of being overthrown. The Iranian stock exchange also reopened just a few weeks ago, and just last week saw the first time all positions ended the day in the green. If Iran was fearful of mass chaos, reopening the stock market would not be the move they would take. All of these are actions of a regime MORE confident in their support from the people… not less. But IF, and it is a very major if, they find that they miscalculated on the economic warfare battle between Iran and the United States. IF they find that they are losing the battle of the Dueling Blockades… then they can escalate. Iran has calculated that they can endure economic pain far longer than not just the United States, but more importantly, the global economy. And so far? They’re 100% correct. Inflation in Iran, while absolutely eye popping at ~80% year over year, has not notably risen since the blockade was imposed. In fact, over the previous 11 months, inflation averaged out to about 6.5% month over month. Since the blockade? About 8%. Bad? Absolutely. Notable worse than Iranian’s were already accustomed to? No. Exchange Rates between the Iranian Toman and the U.S. Dollar also has not been impacted… hardly at all? On February 27th, the exchange rate between the Rial and USD stood at 172,050:$1. Terrible, obviously. But now a full three months into the conflict, and 51 days into the blockade? 173,900:$1. Total percent change over the last 3 months? 1.08%. Month over month change? 0.36%. Oil well shut-ins? Oil storage capacity issues? Give me a break. So, while the United States and Iran continue to wage the Battle of Blockades, while the global economy hangs in the balance of the outcome, Iran does not need to cross their fingers and hope the same way that the Trump Administration does. If the time comes? Iran will escalate. Hard.
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Vaccine Course retweeted
I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue. On April 21st, the left screen moved first. I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug. At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy. On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me. At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire. Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83. I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags. My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports. The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026: Reviewed. That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one. Let me show you my flags. March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it. March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it. April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it. April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it. April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it. That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one. The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March. Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012. Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence. Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets. The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade. I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email. The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action. One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared. One account is a coincidence. But there were six. Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000. My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger. March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes. The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event. The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting." Then the White House sent the email again. I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread. I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated. But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed. Zero prosecutions. As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations. I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations. The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still. In my field, we call this price discovery.
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Vaccine Course retweeted
I am currently undergoing Life saving Treatment from horrific damage from the Pfizer COVID 19 vaccines. I am here in Japan at Edogawa Hospital. The Treatment is to clear spike proteins, amyloid blood clots, autoantibodies, and misfolding proteins from the blood using dual filter plasmapheresis and using pre-growth stem cells to help my own body repair itself. This is the only place on the entire planet that offers this treatment. I am patient number 14 here and am witnessing nothing short of miracles. Thanks to the brilliant scientist Kevin McCairn and Dr. Mary Talley Bowden for sending me here. It is truly a miracle watching these patients come back to life. It is the most incredible bonding experience of my life with these amazing survivors. I want to give Pfizer a special thank you for the heart damage, severe blood clotting, multiple organ damage, central nervous system damage, brain damage, microvascular small vessel disease, bleeding from the stomach, esophagus, lungs, and sinuses, destroying my thyroid and having it removed, destruction of my sinus cavities, and the graves disease, gastritis, bleeding under the skin that opens up to sores, and best of all, the small fiber neuropathy. For all of the skeptics of vaccine injury, my labs 100% tell the entire story. Follow the science.
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== USA Oil Assessment == • The Saudi pipeline was hit so a blockade removes 20mbd. • This amount is actually about 45% of exported oil—that's what sets the global price. It's much more important than people think. • The USA is not an overall exporter. For some unknown reason, the EIA includes natural gas liquids in its totals but that's not oil. So actual CRUDE oil is 3mbd less than what is published. You have to look at the weekly report to see what's actually going on (attached). h/t @chrismartenson
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== Not a Rescue, a Failed Nuclear Extraction == It's all over X so I'm just adding this article from a month ago.
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== Water from Desal Plants More Precious than Oil == h/t AsianBoss youtube.com/watch?v=F9hSsmd4…
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Iran has outmaneuvered Trump in every axis: • Iran completely controls the Strait • Iran still has the uranium • Iran still has its scientists • Iran is demanding $2MM per ship—paid in yuan—helping to break the petrodollar • Iran can decimate the region with one ballistic missile in each of the five largest desalination plants in the world (2 in SA, 2 in UAE and 1 in Israel) Meanwhile, Trump has asked for another $200B of money the USA doesn't have. Add that to the debt that is spiraling out of control. This is very likely the pivotal point when we will look back and say that the American empire started to contract. This fateful decision by Trump and Israel has cemented Trump as the worst President in US History. Consider this with your next fillup, when the mass inflation arrives that is about to hit like a missile and the mass layoffs around the world that are about to begin. The harm hasn't even begun to start, as the International Energy Agency suggests by pointing out that "the conflict in the Middle East has created the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market." Oh, and did I mention that Trump didn't even fill the Strategic Oil Reserve before doing this? As of March 11, 2026 the reserve is at just 58%. energy.gov/hgeo/opr/strategi… iea.blob.core.windows.net/as…
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Vaccine Course retweeted
The stupidity continues, upwards and onwards, until it all comes crashing down.
BREAKING: SpaceX has boosted its target IPO valuation to above $2 trillion, per Bloomberg. This would make SpaceX bigger than all but 5 companies in the S&P 500.
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First of all, isn't this a war crime? Ukraine let Russia do this for a long time before it started targeting thermal power plants, particularly around Belgorod. Will Iran wait years before it strikes the desalination plants of its neighbors?
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Vaccine Course retweeted
Khamenei is dead. Good. But I have family in Iran. My dad is there right now. And I'm not celebrating yet. Here's why. Iran built the most layered contingency plan on Earth for this exact moment. Four levels of succession for every key position. Pre-authorized military strikes. Regional commanders who don't need orders from Tehran to act. As you read this, there is already a new Supreme Leader. We just don't know who. This isn't Maduro. The government didn't get overthrown. The system absorbed the hit. That's what it was designed to do. Every credible intel assessment says the same thing: a post-Khamenei Iran is more likely to get harder, not softer. More IRGC. More dangerous. Potentially worse for the Iranian people than Khamenei himself. Don't breathe yet. There's a long way to go.
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Vaccine Course retweeted
Replying to @PattyMurray
You should look up newborns in SSRI withdrawal before deciding they’re safe. Do some research before acting greater than thou. Easy to call science junk when you’re not researching anything at all. Sincerely, someone harmed by being put on these “safe” meds as a kid.
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Vaccine Course retweeted
Week 47 of 2025 "All Things Pandemic" Update Now for the less-encouraging news. Cancer. From our independent data and cross-sectional analyses, this rise is not from - Delayed screening and treatment disruption (2020–2021) - screening senstivie cancers FELL and younger age cancers (not screening senstive) ROSE. This period of disruption is over now - and yet cancer is still rising. - Risk factor deterioration (metabolic health, diet, stress, alcohol) - these are generational effects (already reflected in the baseline) and do not inflect. This data INFLECTED HARD at Wk 14 2021. - Aging/growing population - already in the baseline, and we lost 1.2 million older citizens during Covid. The heavy growth in cancer was in the YOUNG, not the old. Traditional older-age cancers FELL in count. - Better diagnosis - dead is dead, in any diagnosis. Patients are dying now BEFORE cancer can be certified for the death certificate (MCoD registries soared) - this only bolsters the case. Accordingly, we do not find support for the common backlog/behavioral hand-waving at the scale required to produce this inflection, magnitude, and persistence. The data indicate an inflection beginning around March–April 2021, consistent with either an administrative change or a biological effect. Only one of these two bear established mechanism. This is corroborated by diagnosis, drug use, Medicaid data, treatment expenditure, and social chatter analyses.
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Vaccine Course retweeted
Across all major cancer-tracking indices - diagnosis rates, treatment expenditures, public and institutional attention, and mortality - a clear and consistent signal is observable. All four inflected in temporal concurrence following the introduction of mRNA vaccination. In systems terms, this cancer signal is coherent and persistent, with increased Shannon entropy in the cancer-type distribution—indicating a shift away from dominance by historically primary cancers toward a broader array of secondary and less common types, increasingly observed in younger age brackets compared to just seven years ago. What makes this signal concerning is the combination of factors: the rise in less common cancers, their novel prevalence among traditionally less-susceptible cohorts, and the signal’s overall magnitude (despite a shrink-reduced candidate population) As a system-level phenomenon, it exceeds by a wide margin, the corresponding signals historically associated with tobacco exposure, SV40, or the introduction of agricultural pesticides (Panel 4).
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Great news!
BREAKING: American Society of Plastic Surgeons issues new position statement opposing "gender-affirming" surgeries in adolescents under the age of 19. ASPS also acknowledges risks of endocrine interventions, poor guidelines, and inappropriate use of "autonomy" principle.
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Holy moly, these fireworks are astonishing.
Normal widows: “I miss my husband” Erika Kirk:
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Vaccine Course retweeted
For decades, vaccines were recognized to cause brain injury and mental retardation. So, they banned "retarded," relabeled the injuries as autism and used autism's ambiguity to hide all of it. Here I reveal all the games they've played to bury vax injuries midwesterndoctor.com/p/erasi…
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Vaccine Course retweeted
Look at this plunge in deaths. If a drug achieved this, it wouldn't just be a blockbuster—it would be the most famous in history.
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Vaccine Course retweeted
How much aluminum is in vaccines? A single dose of Pediarix contains 850 micrograms. Kinrix has 600. Even the lowest—Prevnar 13—has 125. At one visit, a child may receive over 1,200 micrograms of aluminum—and these shots are repeated multiple times by 6 months of age. Get the facts in the full Aluminum Vaccine Risk Statement: 👉 picdata.org/aluminum #vaccines
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