🌍 🇬🇧🇿🇲🇬🇬🇨🇦🇳🇬 Generalist, complexity, Cynefin, OODA, crisis management, risk & resilience, SRMC/ISRM, BushWars, polyticks. RT≠

Joined May 2022
751 Photos and videos
#CHOG another run at a Monte Carlo simulation using another platform this time @oldfarmhorace
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#CHOG looking at probability of SOG voting against implementing GST - with p_against_base = 0.55 If you were a betting person where would you put your £££
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Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 retweeted
Le contrôle des américains sur nos joueurs c’est abusé et c’est même un manque de respect pour moi. Plus jamais de compétition dans ce pays de merde.

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#CHOG I wonder if SoG risk register has ever saved £1 or is it just Governance theatre ? any deputies want to wade in ? Or any so Island risk professionals
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#CHOG is terms of our resilliance of critical infrastructure I wonder what standards we aspire to ? eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/20…

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#CHOG Maybe just maybe we could have a lot to learn from Estonia
Much of Estonia’s strength revolves around digital technology, argues John Kampfner. It is ranked among the most efficient systems of e-government, alongside one of the strongest systems of cybersecurity. foreignpolicy.com/2026/06/04…
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Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 retweeted
Ever wondered where your fish comes from?🎣 1 in 5🐟️ comes from illegal, unreported & unregulated fishing—depleting our oceans, rivers and lakes of precious resources. But together we can help change that! Share your commitment to #FightIUUFishing buff.ly/bRRiitO
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Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 retweeted
May 30
Two economists just published a mathematical proof that AI will destroy the economy. Not might. Not could. Will — if nothing changes. The paper is called "The AI Layoff Trap." Published March 2, 2026. Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Boston University. Peer reviewed. Mathematically modeled. The conclusion is one sentence. "At the limit, firms automate their way to boundless productivity and zero demand." An economy that produces everything. And sells it to nobody. Here is how you get there. A company fires 500 workers and replaces them with AI. A competitor fires 700 to keep up. Another fires 1,000. Every company is behaving rationally. Every company is following the incentives correctly. And every company is building a trap for itself. Because the workers who were fired were also customers. When they lose their jobs faster than the economy can absorb them, they stop spending. Consumer demand falls. Companies respond by cutting costs — which means automating more workers — which means less spending — which means more falling demand — which means more automation. The loop has no natural exit. The researchers tested every proposed solution. Universal basic income. Capital income taxes. Worker equity participation. Upskilling programs. Corporate coordination agreements. Every single one failed in the model. The only intervention that worked: a Pigouvian automation tax — a per-task levy charged every time a company replaces a human with AI, forcing them to price in the demand they are destroying before they pull the trigger. No government has implemented this. No major economy is seriously discussing it. Meanwhile the numbers are already tracking the curve. 100,000 tech workers laid off in 2025. 92,000 more in the first months of 2026. Jack Dorsey fired half of Block's workforce and said publicly: "Within the next year, the majority of companies will reach the same conclusion." Nobody is doing anything wrong. Companies are following their incentives perfectly. That is exactly the problem. Rational behavior. At scale. Simultaneously. With no mechanism to stop it. Two economists built the math. The math leads to one place. Source: Falk & Tsoukalas · Wharton School Boston University ·
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#CHOG and why are we pursuing Net 0 here , make it make sense
🚨Tony Blair tells Labour to ditch Miliband's Net Zero targets. “Are you advising Keir Starmer to rip up Ed Miliband's green energy targets?” he's asked on @TimesRadio. “Yes, I am.”
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#CHOG after reading a very stupid idea being presented on the front of the GP today what guarentees do we have that SoG wont be selling our data as a money earner? was this the the real reason behind the EPR project? & looking at the health contexts of an Island community ?
PALANTIR? Very bad for our health and data, and yet …. this is on you Wes
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#CHOG and my be of interest for Deputy Ross @RossLeBrun as I know he has an interest in our food security.
Replying to @Selyst
2/2 I have my bus pass now. Having worked and lived underground through 6 WINTEX / ABLE ARCHER cycles, IMHO the world is more dangerous today than ever. Having taxation policy competing with #FoodSecurity damages national security. Departments need to integrate not compete!
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If Deputies had not voted to spaff £3million of tax payers money yearly to the private schools and used that to better fund the state sector maybe we wouldn’t see these adverts
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Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 retweeted
Immigration makes Britain brilliant.
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Why do we need consultations on things that just need doing to modernise and bring into 21st Century ?
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Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 retweeted
Çin’de iş bulamayan genç erkeklerin hepsi, Teslimat Görevlisi (Kurye) olarak görev yaparken… İşsiz genç kızların hepsi de yayıncılık yapıyor. Erkekler aldıkları maaşlarla, yayıncı kızlara yayınlarında hediye alarak para kazandırırken. Kızlar da kazandıkları paralarla yemek ve makyaj malzemesi siparişi vererek kuryelere iş olanağı sağlıyor. Sosyal medyada döneminde oluşan dünyanın en garip ve birbirine bağımlı iş döngüsü.
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Cup n Saucer , ViaerFou 🦋 retweeted
AI can assist our thinking, but it shouldn't replace our judgment. Join Dave Snowden at “Balancing Human & AI Reasoning in a Complex World” in Dublin, July 1-2, 2026. 👉 thecynefin.co/product/explor… #AIResearch #AIStudy #AIPolicy #policymakers #designthinking #cynefin
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